Panic of the Plutocrats
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
It's a great tactic, because Americans generally are not hostile toward very wealthy individuals when they perceive these individuals as wealth creators - in fact, they actually admire these people [1]. Yes, most support progressive taxation and would support higher taxes for the rich (even wealth creators whose activities we want to support), but they'd oppose a "soak the rich" kind of class warfare, on practical and moral grounds.
No surprise, then, that people who profited, first from risky and economically worthless activities [2], and next from a massive taxpayer supported bailout, would want to get real close to the founders of tech companies in silicon valley and hope that nobody notices the difference.
I'm not surprised that the movement against "wall street" is incoherent right now. There are so many angles, so many different opinions. You have the anarchists who protest globalization in general, but you also have Tim O'Reilly stating that he thinks wall street bankers got away with a crime [3] (and kept the money too).
As someone in high tech, the most important thing to me is to make sure that financial "engineers" don't get to associate themselves with the wealth creation of real engineers and other people who are wealthy because they created wealth.
[1] An interesting article about this in the nytimes titled "How we value the super rich" talks ab it about the mentality behind this distinction...
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/28/weekinreview/28stone.html
[2] For a pretty comprehensive version of the argument that much of investment banking is useless, check out a New Yorker article "what good is wall street"...
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/11/29/101129fa_fact_...
[3] https://plus.google.com/107033731246200681024/posts/Sy8Z2uWy...
And before I get completely flayed by the big company supporters, I'll also state that I don't have a problem with money lenders and brokers making a living ... but what we're watching today is flat-out usury.
It's very related to the interest rate set by the Fed, which is very low right now.
I was at the Apple Store in Chicago yesterday and the glass wall was covered in sticky notes and there were flowers and apples on the sidewalk in front of the store. Tourists were gathered around to take pictures of the impromptu memorial, for a man who was worth about $7 billion when he died. These same people wouldn't piss on Lloyd Blankfein to save his life, even though he is worth less than $0.5 billion.
I'm not going to defend rampant mortgage speculation and public bailouts. But be careful at the venom you heap on Wall St. We will miss it when it's gone.
An interesting statistic is that Google's is more profitable than Goldman Sachs by almost every metric. They have higher revenues per employee, higher profits per employee, higher profits per unit of equity, etc. Nobody is demonstrating in Amphitheatre Parkway about how Google is ruining the country. Because people are smarter than you give them credit for.
Did you check out the new yorker article I mentioned about ("what good is wall street"). Even an article like this, which takes a very dim view of wall street, notes the vital role that banking (and, yes, wall street itself) plays in a modern economy. "Moving money from where it is to where it is needed", is unbelievably important and good work, even if it is transactional in nature. A system that can get money from savings accounts and turn it into capital for businesses is spectacular.
The problem (well, according to the article) is that this core, economically useful activity is not the main function of walk street anymore (one academic cited in the article estimates that if the financial sector were limited to the useful activities, it would be one-third to one-half of its current size).
Venture capital has been around for centuries, and in its modern form, since about the 1950s. Very little of it comes from Wall Street.
Why do we assume that "rich people" are all wall street people? Does everyone that makes over $200K a year work on Wall Street? I, frankly, am offended that people like my neighbor (who owns a local chain of muffler shops, and works his ass off) is representative of a Wall Street "financial barrron". Sure, he makes probably a few hundred K a year, but did he earn it? Hell yes he earned it. The comparison is obsurd.
The way people like Krugman use one unrelated issue to argue for another...is offensive. Elizabeth Warren is not trying to punish Wall Street, she is trying to punish the rich. There is a big difference. Krugman, you sir are a useful idiot.
Elizabeth Warren's point is simple, if you don't want to pay taxes, then don't expect any of the services that are paid for by those taxes. Plain and simple, otherwise you end up with a society that has extremely sharp inequalities and then you will really know what "class warfare" is. I think the point here is simple, buy your nice house and drive your nice car et al, but please save a little for the next guy.
The "next guy" here implies anyone who needs it more than you. Be it that inner city school child, or old man with cancer who has to rob a bank in order to get treatment ( http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/man-robs-bank-medical-ca... ) or even the next entrepreneur who will need roads, educated workers and security in order to build his business.
On a different note, I must say that I blame more the system that made it possible to give people mortgages who can't pay. Even more, I blame a system that demolishes houses ( http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124148169574985359.html ) instead of pricing them better. As a bonus http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predatory_lending
Yes, but you only need open a single newspaper to learn that inner city children and old men with cancer are NOT the recipients of the money you're being asked to fork over. So framing tax increases in terms of those worthy causes is essentially fraud.
> On a different note, I must say that I blame more the system that made it possible to give people mortgages who can't pay.
Sure. But it's the exact same system that asks for your tax money to clean up its mess.
In case of the US it went too over board. With tax payers money being used to supposedly bail out large corporation and banks. Instead that money went into paying Jets, paying bonuses and insane severance packages to executives.
This makes the system even worse! It's like a cancer, and if you look closely, the people who benefited the most are the ones who created the mess. Not, what I'd call, biggest victims who lost their jobs because of the mess and ended up not affording what they could afford before. I'm not sure the mess was cleaned up either, I think it was whitewashed.
On the issue of where taxes go, instead of the rich refusing to be taxed to fund wars and give bailouts, why not insist on policy change and frugality to ensure that taxes are utilized properly and efficiently. Much as it will never be perfect, it can be close to perfect if with the same vigor that people fight taxes, they would fight for better utilization of the taxes.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/30-yea...
Fundamentally, the banks' role in the subprime crisis was to remove the incentive for lenders to do their due diligence before offering mortgages to people. There was a whole chain of "just take the money" - from the janitor buying a mansion, to the lender transferring the loan, to the banks packaging the loans into derivatives, to ratings agencies rubber-stamping AAAs.
At every level, money was offered, and money was taken. This is what this much-maligned 1% has done, in their own eyes. I believe this is no different from what happens to the 1% in the Valley. Witness the recent spate of startups cashing out. People on HN rose to defend (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3089634) this behavior. "The VCs offered money, founders have no reason not to take it", seems to be the general consensus. Pot, kettle, black?
I work at a startup myself. I believe things like Twitter and Reddit et al., while unprofitable, still contribute to human wealth in the sense of changing society and fostering communication. But I don't believe this sort of thing gives us the right to cast stones at the financial industry, whether or not they want to call themselves engineers.
We wouldn't exist without them.
(99%s and 1%s intentionally hyperbolic, just like the protest.)
I'd also debate your point that the average quant understands statistics and probability much better than startup founders. The former have created a system where the expected payoff is negatively asymmetric, the latter a system where the expected payoff is positively asymmetric. Which world do you want to live in?
And do I even need to mention how quants' recent attempt to use Gaussian statistics to model a non-Gaussian world became one of the primary causes of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?
Yes there are smart, savy quants like Paul Wilmott & Co. whose intellectual integrity is impeccable. But so far they've been the exception, not the rule.
More precisely, protests in Middle east and India were driven by a sense of desperation and last resort of helplessness. Protests in the US seem to be driven by frustration. There is a very evident thing that is emerging out of this protests. Lack of urgency and co operation from all segments of American society. By reading articles on internet what I see is, a very large section of the American society is still in two minds about how to go about it. This isn't a great sign for any revolution.
Besides Americans don't face the same problems as the developing nations. There is genuine sense of urgency and desire among youth in developing nations to do some thing big and change their lives. They see macro changes in government policy as a way to achieve that. They feel such way because for decades they have been starved off opportunities, growth, money and development. There fore they see a genuine urgency in fighting for what they need right now.
America doesn't have those kind of problems. You've had honeymoon period for decades now. You've had fastest developing Urban cities. Clean roads, great infrastructure. Values for capitalism inculcated in your culture. You've had the money and muscle power to twist any foreign government to do what you want. You gone to war and with little resistance achieved what you want.
The problem seems to have started recently, after excessive spending on wars. Employment problems due emergence of China and India on world scene. Mess in the financial system due lack of regulations.
You still don't have that magnitude of pain nor desperation to go to a tipping point to drive a full scale revolution. The American ego that its invincible as a nation is still carried by a lot of people. Although there is hardly any nation on earth today whose glory has remained for ever.
If there's one guiding principle that Americans should believe in, it's that we're all Americans, and that America is all of us. There's really nothing more un-American than calling someone who lives here un-American.
But of course ya can't say that.
The 60's counterculture still managed to have a huge cultural impact. Refusing to take part in a system which is apparently working against your interests is a necessary step one, even if you don't know what step two is.
These editorials carry zero information in the Shannon sense.
In fact, the more reasonable and moderate a critic sounds, the more urgently he or she must be demonized
He may or may not be right, but either way it's a valid viewpoint, and one I find interesting. IMO, that's where the real signal is in this piece.
> These editorials carry zero information in the Shannon sense.
Hyperbole much?I want to see this kind of article on HN because it's hard to find a high-level discussion of these issues elsewhere.
Still, a forum for political debate that's both open and inhabited mostly by the reasonable and well-informed... I don't know if it's possible, but I'd like to see it.
*Edit: as for the why, I'd argue that most non-tech editorials shouldn't be here, period. Krugman's in particular -- even though I often agree with him -- because he's partisan and something of a lightning rod for the right.
Probably not: http://www.paulgraham.com/identity.html
Paul Graham wrote a very well though out article on why debating politics, even with the best intentions, is extraordinarily difficult.
More generally, you can have a fruitful discussion about a topic only if it doesn't engage the identities of any of the participants. What makes politics and religion such minefields is that they engage so many people's identities.
Krugman gives off the vibe that you'd have to be an idiot to disagree with him. But I've read many thoughtful writers who disagree with Krguman, giving him far more credit than he would ever give someone on the other side.
Goldman Sachs $1,013,091 JPMorgan Chase & Co $808,799 Citigroup Inc $736,771 UBS AG $532,674 US Government $517,908 Morgan Stanley $512,232
Source: http://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/contrib.php?cid=N00009638
Clearly, the narrative that it is only Republicans coddling the upper strata of the American plutocracy is failing.
"The Obama administration squandered a lot of potential good will early on by adopting banker-friendly policies that failed to deliver economic recovery even as bankers repaid the favor by turning on the president."
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/07/opinion/krugman-confrontin...
I can't really speak to his relationship with powerful people.
I found this pizza place that accepted online orders. http://www.majesticpizzatogo.com/
Though personally i will not order the pizza or do anything else that would leave records trail on the government servers and till the end of my life can be mined with "an active sympathizer to extremists" result.
The people who owe $300,000 on a house they never should have bought? They're going to be left with no debt and a house to live under. The people with $700m in net worth are going to lose everything they can't fit in their pockets; their houses are all going to get looted and razed the night of the collapse.
So why the hell is the guy with debt working hard to prop up the system, and the guy with investments doesn't seem to care what happens to it?
[Edit] They will be the biggest losers because by the time the cataclysmic implosion occurs, the middle class they depend on so much will not have much left to back the up with. If you think that 2007 was something, brace yourself for what is next if things don't change. The sad thing is that I doubt that President Obama has what it takes to make the necessary changes.
And, by the way, your disgusting cheering for violent robbery is exactly why, even though I sympathise with some of the fundamental grievances of the movement, you will never find me expressing support for it.
Shit, I'm not wealthy, but I'm upper middle class. You think I'm coming out on top in this scenario? It's pure self interest: I'm the guy who doesn't want to get looted.
Seems like both the Tea Party and OWS demonstrations are peaceful (I'm sure there are a couple of knuckleheads in each group).
The Fannie and Freddie bailout is still sucking money. TARP was a disaster.
And, the less said about Obama's green initiative, the better.
That said, to claim that they were "too big to fail", bail them out, and then not address that "too big" issue is bullshit. Either they're too big and need to be broken up, or they weren't, and should've been allowed to fail. Trying to have it both ways is, in my estimation, part of the reason for discontent today.
Lots of things were bundled together. I'm pointing out what cost money and what didn't.
> That said, to claim that they were "too big to fail", bail them out, and then not address that "too big" issue is bullshit. Either they're too big and need to be broken up, or they weren't, and should've been allowed to fail.
I agree, but point out that there's no good reason to limit that argument to financial institutions.
For example, it applies to govt institutions (fannie and freddie come to mind) and even govts (the US govt being a prime example).
Just like unions. You can't have it both ways.
That is categorically false. This protest is about as organic as they come.
"Adbusters Media Foundation is a not-for-profit, anti-consumerist, pro-environment organization"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adbusters
They concocted the idea, started it, Anonymous did some promotion, and it caught on with people
I also consider PETA as a media organization as they are all about propaganda for their agenda, which is apparently killing animals to save them from us.
You have a Ron Paul supporter next to a guy who wants to nationalize the banks. You have a guy supporting Obama next to a guy who thinks Mitt Romney will "fix the country".
And of course the folks "letting their freak flag fly"
So this movement stands for nothing. Except for maybe "we're unhappy with the world right now" and really who isn't unhappy with the world right now? The only thing more ridiculous then the Occupy Wall St crowd are the pundits and politicians trying to use them to make their own points (which includes Krugman and the people he's criticizing)
It is a not-so-subtle reminder that while those other guys may fund their election campaigns, the rest of us are the ones who can take up pitchforks and torches, and have a good old-fashioned mob lynching if things go too far in the wrong direction.
I disagree that the movement lacks intellectual grounding -- "heads we privatize profits, tails we nationalize the loss" is about as clear as you can get. Doesn't matter if your anti-corporate or anti-government, corporate/government collusion permits right wingers and left wingers to get on the same page.
The political spectrum isn't really a spectrum or a line. It's a circle. There is always a point where right meets left, where people agree on the solution, but disagree on the problem that necessitates that solution.
That wonderful point is where the lunatics from either side meet, shake hands, and agree that everything must be destroyed and you have to start over. Of course, once they actually achieve that solution, they'll be at each other's throats again, since they never agreed on what the original problem was. Revolutionary Politics 101.
But are the people who protest the current setup insane, or is it the people who think dumping trillions of dollars into a broken system while doing nothing amidst historic unemployment and stagnation who are nuts?
But recognize that there is a populist frustration with the way America is going. It's no coincidence that Obama's election, Election 2010 (Tea Party), and OWN (2011) all intertie heavily with populism. There is a rising level of frustration.
The odd part about having the union members march along in NYC is many of them are very highly compensated both in yearly pay and retirement whereas the majority of protesters look like they still need mom and dad.
There is a rising level of frustration but I don't think OWS has the answer. The local Atlanta version very impolitely chased on Representative John Lewis shows that at is basis they are not aligned with any particular party. So attempts by the DNC machine to co-opt this to give them a legitimate counterpoint to the Tea Party are going to fail, and fail badly.
That's the real story.
I read your comment, shrugged, then read the op-Ed. When I got back, I found myself scratching my head as to whether you'd even bothered reading it.
The thread of common anger among the protesters is the notion that banks took risk, enjoyed protection by tax payers and then, once resuscitated by the people, bought politicians to prevent regulation that would prevent future indiscretions.
I don't need to have philosophical agreement with my neighbor for us to be joined in outrage when the guy across the street gets mugged while we're watching. These guys have a legitimate beef. I'm not going to quibble about whether their proposed solutions are in agreement.
However, the expressions of anger at the occupy* protests has been running the gamut. From moderate calls for financial reform all the way to straight up marxist wealth redistribution.
There may be fairly broad public support behind the sentiment that there's a fair number of problems with the system as it exists today, but there is nothing like widespread support for the gamut of messages coming out of occupy*.
The narrative "OWS has no message" was started by media pundits. It's unfortunate they all decided on that exact narrative at almost the same time.
The conspiracy theorist in me, combined with an intense cynicism, wonders if the corporate parents of the media weren't the originators of this idea, but I'll leave that up to the reader to speculate.
Yeah, I know it's reddit, but this comment from a P/R person was pretty eye-opening:
"Right at this moment, hundreds of journalists are receiving calls and emails from communication agencies, pitching them on the 'lack of focus' keypoints on the behalf of their clients. This is why the coverage we get only revolves on this point, because there is a concerted effort behind it. Sounds terrible? Well, that the way things work."
http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/l428p/occupy_wall_...
Obviously opinion pieces are going to take that and run with it based on their own agenda, but the essence of the argument is correct -even though it is the kind of thing that can kill a protest. This is a problem OWS, et al will have to fix.
To their credit, it seems occupy boston formed a committee to ratify some resolutions.
To their credit, it seems at least occupy boston formed a committee to ratify resolutions
Since when is a popular protest movement required to come up with a detailed policy paper? This isn't the Brookings Institute. What we see is exactly what you'd expect: a diverse group, overlapping agendas, a few common themes. It's not like those themes are hard to identify (viz., large banks were rewarded for wrecking the economy, the political process has been corrupted by money, most people are stagnating or suffering economically).
It's not hard to see what market-oriented types and anti-corporate types have in common here. They're both opposed to socialism for oligarchs.
In any sense, from what I understand it seems that the group isn't necessarily pushing for any particular policy but the fact that the Government is systemically broken. They feel there isn't any democratic say from the average citizen in the policies made by Congress and the Presidency. It seems that they choose Wall Street as their target because their large financial abilities allow for them to give massive amounts of financial contributions to key politicians, essentially cutting out the average voter.
However, I haven't been to the movement in person, so it's difficult for me to be sure with any certainty.
Most people who are capable of rationally evaluating the standards of living we currently enjoy versus that of any other point in human history usually aren't that unhappy with the world right now.
I say this in the general sense; of course at any given time, N individuals will be hitting the bottom of the barrel, but the barrel is getting shallower and shallower with each generation.
Edit: Thanks for the downvotes; apparently I'm factually incorrect, and the Global Human Development Index is actually declining?
It's hardly news, the protesters have been there a while. And it's not an objective analysis of the economics involved -- in fact, there's hardly any economics in there at all.
Sure, he's a Nobel laureate. But this particular piece by him is clearly partisan. He calls parties and politicians by name.
Is this what Hacker News is going to turn into? Linking to partisan political columns?
My favorite comment this morning is geebee's (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3094614), arguing that Wall St. should not get away with identifying themselves with true wealth creators in the public mind. It's reasonable, insightful, and has an HN slant. It's also the most upvoted at the moment, so things aren't too bad.
What I would have appreciated was an article that took a step back and offered something more general about human nature, history, social movements, banking, various conflicts of interest, relationships between large corporations and government, small business versus large, etc.
I haven't really been following the protests, mostly because I'm waiting for them to start suggesting concrete actions and plans (which can take a while; I'm not disparaging them for not having a plan on day one). And even with essentially a blank slate, I read that article and learned nothing.
"My favorite comment this morning is geebee's"
While an interesting point, there are two problems: the comment format is not long enough to really flesh out an idea like that; and it's still well off-topic for HN. Regardless, every political discussion will elicit some insightful comments. There are plenty of other places to get something like that.
Anyway, it's pretty obvious that people wanted this discussion to happen here. The downvotes pretty much proved that I was wrong about the scope of HN.
Oh well, I guess I'll stop coming if that's the way this site is going. I'm sure you won't feel any sense of loss. But I think something was lost -- a site where we could set aside these kinds of things and focus on the details objectively, or perhaps some personalities and interests that are more related to hackers and technology.
Perhaps Krugman has done some great research, etc (I don't really know). But this wasn't a link to his research or some summary thereof. This was just a run-of-the-mill political op-ed with no real economic analysis to it. No thanks.
"A party tried to vote on a bill today. A leader of that party said it was a good idea."
Since HN is targeted at the startup crowd, many of whom hope to become or are already wealthy, this seems applicable. Doubly so, since Krugman is pointing out that the financial industry is using a false association with productive rich people to cloak their behavior. If the hammer end up falling anyway, Silicon Valley might be wishing that Wall Street didn't drag their name down into the mud alongside their own.
FDR praise...complaints on "Republican politicians"...Cantor criticism...Obama the victim...
you could write a bayesian classifier to determine how a columnist votes :P
Wow. Now that's a stretch.
This is an honest question: is hacker news the place for that criticism? Of course, a site like hacker news is defined by its readers, so if you say "yes" you are at least partially right, and maybe entirely right.
It's just that I thought HN wasn't that kind of place.
Personally, I don't see any topic as off-limits on HN (with the possible exception of cute cat photos with captions), as I'm always curious to get the community's take on a wide range of subjects. Once a topic has landed on the front page, I consider the argument settled, and the verdict delivered. Beyond that, it's a problem for the editorial staff to deal with somehow. Me, I'll just go with it, and I am rarely disappointed.
Anyway, I admit it's a stretch, but Krugman is one of our most valuable economists, and this can be read as a social assessment of the current dynamics in our economy, including these growing protests. This has ramifications for us all, most certainly including hackers.
I disagree that Krugman's piece is overly partisan; it's not his fault that virtually all the plutocrats at fault happen to be Republicans.
Many recipients of the financial bailouts OWS is protesting have traditionally been big Democratic donors. Both Bush and Obama passed financial industry bailouts - this isn't a partisan issue.
Krugman knows this, and has chosen to highlight just the Republicans' responsibility and their crude attempts to rile up their base ('this is class war!') instead of the Democrats' responsibility and their attempts, largely through paid union staffers, to transform the protests into a pro-Democratic movement. (Who can blame them for trying? I think the Republicans came out ahead by co-opting the Tea Party, nominating goofs like Christine O'Donnell and Sharron Angle excepted.)
That's why this is a partisan piece. It's not what Krugman said, it's what he chose to omit.
No association at all.
"This has ramifications for us all, most certainly including hackers."
By that reasoning, we should just post any political op-ed we happen to agree with, and we can just upvote as practice before the polls open. It's just not hacker news, or not what HN used to be anyway.
"I disagree that Krugman's piece is overly partisan"
I didn't say it was overly partisan. I said it was partisan. That's perfectly fine -- nothing wrong with being partisan. But it's just not the kind of thing I come to HN for.
Since you've been here you have submitted exactly one article, over a year ago.
Maybe before you start complaining about the content, you should start contributing to it?
So, I wrote what I thought was a very innovative peer-reviewed feature to a prominent open source product, which took me a long time. Then, I carefully wrote an article about it and submitted it myself. It fell off the front page very quickly. That's OK -- maybe someone will think my next feature is interesting. But these things take me a while to do.
So, I'm really more puzzled by your comment than anything else. I write some truly new content (in every sense) that is highly applicable, and that gets little interest. A political op-ed piece gets upvoted. And then you criticize me for not contributing to the discussion.