I don’t find these arguments convincing for AGI to appear. Saying scale is not the answer isn’t not argument for AGI.

Saying the ball is “rolling” and that AI will design AGI just isn’t convincing. We don’t understand how biological machines learn and especially not our own brain. And admittedly our AI is unrelated to how human intelligence is created which is our gold standard for AGI…

So why would anyone think the singularity is close? When I read this is still seems impossibly far away.