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I think the hope is that we bootstrap the renewable capable complex society on top of fossil fuels and then it can continue to function with the renewables it builds.

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I know that that's the hope, but there are some very questionable assumptions it's based on. The more I dig into it the more I get the sense that while there are solutions being investigated across a wide variety of domains for how to replace fossil fuels, there isn't an integrated picture of what such an endgame looks like and what size society it will actually support.

Then there's things like sand, water tables, synthetic fertilizers, and demographics to take into account too. You're essentially in a race against time to retool the entirety of society before the effects of fossil fuels either through climate change or human conflict destabilize the society past the point of being capable of doing so.

I would almost certainly bet against us.

Every society does this. We grow, change, and evolve… or perish. Our generation has an opportunity to build a sustainable and robust society. If we do succeed, that’ll be up to us.

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