The Bay Area has a mild climate but I’ve never seen a heat pump here.
Don't do it today to save money today. Do it to save the planet and help ensure that you're not beholden to $9000/hour bills because the people selling you the precious hydrocarbons have you backed into a corner that you cannot possibly dig yourself out of.
You know, so like you can't be screwed by the like of ERCOT when they tell Texans "oh, that sure is a nice grid you've got there. It would be a real shame if it were to be shut down simply because some of the electrical generating plants haven't been properly weatherized. Hmm, I wonder how many of these plants we should take offline on the coldest day of the year????"