Graphene magnetologic gates could replace silicon transistor logic
extremetech.com
extremetech.com
And silicon is going to be pretty damn hard to beat for many decades to come. Just ask the GaAs guys.
The question is whether, when silicon runs out, something else can take over, or whether we just put our hands up and say "OK, that's it, that's about as fast as our computers are ever gonna get".
There's the possibility that alternative technologies will exist but that they'll be much more expensive. So consumer electronics will be based on silicon, and outrageously expensive supercomputers will use graphene or diamond or any one of a number of currently speculative technologies. So far, though, none of 'em is even close to being able to compete with silicon for any price.
I think there is some interesting research work going into chip stacking but it wouldn't be accessible for public consumption until it's cost effective.
The first thing I'd wonder is what the susceptibility to radiation is for spintronics. The paper "Spintronics: a new paradigm for electronics for the new millennium" says that it is as hardened as the silicon. So then I'd question how hard the graphene is and found a couple of papers about that: Unzipping and folding of graphene by swift heavy ions, Effect of electron-beam irradiation on graphene field effect devices.
Researchers out there realize the problems popping up with silicon and are working to find the solutions. It's a really cool time to be in material sciences, physics and/or electrical engineering.
Yeah, but good luck doping it n-type.
Again: The issue is not the material science or the physics, it is the economy of scale.
Even if miniturization stopped tomorrow, there would be bigger wafers, or 3D stacking, or wafer-scale integration, or (insert favorite technology here.)
Those economics are very tough to compete with. The net effect is that other materials are relegated to markets where there is an honest differentiator. For example: III-V's are much superior lasers compared to Si-based technologies. (Look up "Direct Bandgap" as to why.)
The single-core speed trend has already started to level-out, which is why we went to multi-cores.
There are some relevant slides in the talk by http://www.stanford.edu/class/ee380/Abstracts/111005.html
Outrageously expensive supercomputers are massively parallel. For massively parallel loads, the fastest chips are the cheapest chips. If the new stuff cannot break into consumer space, there is no market for it above consumer space.