The iPhone is already mainstream. And the 3GS is now free, it doesn't get more affordable than that.
I paid $200 for an LG Androidy thing (an Optimus V, if anyone really cares) and now I pay $25 a month for 300 minutes per month and unlimited data. It's a crazy better deal than anything else out there.
5% market share is not mainstream in mind. I guess I was referring to huge market share...
But after thinking about this more, I just don't think it is helpful to analogize to the iPod. The difference in markets is huge, and I doubt the iPhone's share will ever be like what the iPod's was (and still is).