Provided that the world continues to rally around Ukraine and gets critical supplies to the population centers they may avoid grievous additional losses, but Ukraine is unavoidably much worse off than it was pre-invasion.
https://reliefweb.int/report/ukraine/landmines-still-pose-th...
The Ukrainian people also seem to have a strong will to build/rebuild and defend Ukraine so they are reliable partners unlike the cases we've seen in other countries.
I don't think there's a single scenario where Russia wins.
I suppose that a lot of the Russian elites, locked out of their wealth and prospects, would be more than happy to see and even effect a serious change of the leadership. I hope they have a fair chance.
A huge lot of non-elites would support that, too.
Ukraine agreeing to the loan would mean agreeing to debt slavery.
Russia leaves Ukraine in defeat in at some point in the future. The question is largely how many innocent dead are left in the wake.
Thinking like a person: no more wars in Europe.
We now have the perfect excuse to unleash all the decades long pent up hate of Putins regime.
Ursula Von de Leyen seemed to capture the zeitgeist when she slipped up and said "Ukraine is part of us" or words to that effect. Attack on Ukraine is felt as an attack on the West .. even on the other side of the world.
Rebuilding infrastructure lost this week will take billions of dollars and years of time. Some displaced people won’t come back. More of both with every passing week of this tragedy. That’s completely discounting people who died.
Russian people, the normal citizens, also lost, and lost big. The currency and market sanctions have blown up savings and businesses basically overnight. Also, don’t forget that every other Russian family has Ukrainian relatives.
Germany took Poland to start WW2. Did Poland lose?
Kind of, yeah: After WW2, Poland was part of the Warsaw[1] Pact for forty years. And if Communism hadn't fallen, they'd still be.
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[1]: The name becomes doubly ironic in this specific context.