Hacker News Reader

Comment by stefan_ | Hacker News Reader

Like it hasn't already? They are already spending massive reserves to keep it up after the initial drop from the invasion.

View on HN

A measly 6% in relation to USD (0) since this started. Shockingly little, I was expecting to see it cratered when I first check, like their stock market (1), i.e. ERUS at -34% (bottomed -42%).

Think you're right they must've been buying it up. Would make sense to bid up the currency and not the stock market too, can only imagine how bad the bank runs would be if the ruble craters on top of all this.

0: https://www.google.com/search?q=ruble%20to%20usd

1: https://www.google.com/search?q=erus

There has been pretty heavy buying, both on the stock and the money markets, to prop things up. The weird thing is that this allows Putin and his buddies to buy up large amounts of stock at a huge discount.

Plus they're actually able to ensure the rightfulness of their ownership in said stock, unlike other participants which can get expropriated should they decide it is in their interest [0]. Would also expect insiders won't be blissfully scamming a shareholder if said shareholder is the state (or a friend of).

0: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/warren-buffe...

They are buying back rouble like crazy, they burn billions of dollars per day in foreign exchange

Is that a strategy to make money long term or a necessity at this point? I kind of understand stock buybacks companies do but I'm not familiar with currency buybacks.

It's to keep the exchange rate stable. Although that can't happen if the FX reserves are frozen.

To keep people from selling the ruble and buying dollars and euros because they fear their money will become worthless.

If Russians stop accepting rubles and use foreign currency for transactions, the Russian govt stockpile of rubles, and it's ability to print more rubles, becomes worthless. They will need foreign currency to pay people.

> they burn billions of dollars per day in foreign exchange

Well, given the sanctions they might as well burn these dollars/euros. So maybe it's not that bad to pump their currency rate here.

They could well unload to China, though I'm not sure if that route is still open.

My understanding was that China had restricted to some degree dollar denominated trading.

So, I think they can move their yuan freely to China still, but USD and Euros are harder to move (though not impossible?) in China

Reply on news.ycombinator.com