An important caveat is that this is according to Russia.
Ukraine's version is quite different (it was Russia's attempt to lure Ukraine's top officials to Minsk, which is the only place where Russia is prepared to conduct the talks).
In any event, it seems pretty clear that there was no actual ceasefire yesterday or today.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russia-ukraine...
Judging by the many videos of interrogations of Russian POWs, many of them are just kids who barely know where they are, are unmotivated and poorly equipped. Hardly a professional and well-equipped army. There are also indications of logistical challenges (videos of Russian military vehicles running out of fuel, that sort of thing).
Drivers are supposed to track how far they have driven, but if its driven by multiple people and someone forgets to log distance or the vehicle is forced to idle for a long time the distance can be off.
Also a broken fuel gauge will not mark the vehicle as a casualty. Its not critical equipment as your supposed to be tracking fuel usage as a driver.
They constantly lose their mates, move in a line like they are on a parade, move without deployed AA.
This is beyond "unmotivated and poorly equipped", this is Africa/Middle East levels of incompetency.
There is something very, very fishy going there.
https://www.stopfake.org/en/strana-ua-or-strana-ru-how-a-san...
> This "evidently Ukrainian site" is a Kremlin propaganda outlet
I'm not going reasoning here about how propagandistic is stopfake itself, because, as I already said, if you only wanted, you could easily find some information about this s*ithole for example: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t05R_cPVjtU
but I ask you:
did you find any confirmation or refutation of my words?
is the current advisor of the president of Ukraine any pro russian?
For the past several months Russia’s stated efforts at diplomacy have been an utter farce, the saying “pissing on you and saying it’s rain” does not go far enough.
Now all of a sudden Russia says they paused for negotiations… “fool me once shame on you; fool me 100 times with the same ruse, I should stop taking drugs”
It seems that the Russians are having logistical issues. They are running out of gas. Not sure how but it seems like it.
We are hearing today about them sending in more armored divisions. These will re enforce the supply lines. But this is a really risky play. It is a double edge sword. Now that they send more in they need even more gas. And if they run out they suffer a larger loss. What good are 4,000 tanks without fuel? Suddenly your armored division are infantry divisions who are outgunned on foreign soil.
The less risky play would be to withdraw there armor pretty far back. But this means an extend war. Which they should lose do to basically endless international support to the Ukraine and their willingness to fight.
So the play would be to pull back and stick to claiming the small section of the separateness region they have capture so far. This is will happened when the last of the armored units cross the line to cover the retreat. Given Ukraine can last four more days and keep the supply lines broken.