Wait, this suggests that Canada and Australia are highly misreporting, but Russia isn't? I thought it was well established that Russia's count was very, very off. This would imply that this model doesn't work very well.
Ontario officially admitted they inflated numbers significantly early in the pandemic because we didn't fit the global trends. The numbers were fudged by over 50%.
We also had the problem of Fauci chastising Ontario for running PCR cycles far too high causing significant false positives. This actually accounts for the significant portion of 'symptomless spreader' having not actually been covid but rather just false positives.
Vaccination numbers were also impossibly high. We had a shortage of vaccines available and it was reported ~80% of the population had 1 shot when nobody under 40 could have the shot without some high risk diseases. The numbers were either false or Ontario is far worse off than official numbers allow in terms of aging population and illness. The assumption is that Ontario also misreported how many people were vaccinated. The actual real numbers seem to be much more in line with the USA, at that time period it was most likely more like 30-40%.
The next problem is the misrpresentation of covid being the problem. How many people go to the hospital for not-covid and get tested but test positive. They aren't there for covid but they are represented as being there for only covid. Which is not right.