Highly recommend Ray Dalio's new book: Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail [1]. If you want interview style he was on the Lex Fridman Podcast #251 too [2].
Takes a look at historical ups and downs and gives hard data without too much colour being added.
[1] https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/...