It's a convincing fallacy because sometimes you do take N+1 steps. But just like in the article, heuristics aren't always right.
It's a convincing fallacy because sometimes you do take N+1 steps. But just like in the article, heuristics aren't always right.
The argument can certainly be used in a fallacious manner (e.g. by greatly exaggerating the probability of the further steps, saying they are inevitable if the first step is taken, etc.). It's logically valid to say that the first step enables subsequent steps to be taken.
Edit: I'd say that the slippery slope is perfectly valid rule of thumb in a lot of 'adversarial' situations. Once one side makes an error or fails somehow, the balance between the two sides can be disrupted leading to one 'side' gaining momentum. Just as between people, a similar 'adversarial' process can occur within the minds of individuals: between two ideas or patterns of thought/behaviour, one idea can gain momentum after a decision has been reached. Precedence is a strong force.
Just because you can justify the next climb on the same basis, that doesn't mean you will. You could decide that you've already tested the odds one too many times.
Of course if you add in "you could decide that you've already tested the odds one too many times" then it's a fallacy to invoke slippery slope because an off-ramp is explicitly specified. In this case slippery slope was mentioned only because N was dismissed as irrelevant.
Do you really think this slippery slope argument is a fallacy? FWIW, wikipedia acknowledges slippery slope can be a legit argument when the slope, and it's chain of consequences, are actually real. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slippery_slope . Indeed, this is the very basis of mathematical induction.
> The fallacious sense of "slippery slope" is often used synonymously with continuum fallacy, in that it ignores the possibility of middle ground and assumes a discrete transition from category A to category B. In this sense, it constitutes an informal fallacy.
"If you take N steps, you will take N+1 steps" is a fallacy whenever it's possible that you won't take N+1 steps.
"Not A -> Not B" is different logic than "A -> B". A is necessary but not sufficient for B.
Reminds me of Terry Pratchett quote "No excuses. No excuses at all. Once you had a good excuse, you opened the door to bad excuses.”
Full quote is fifth here: <https://www.goodreads.com/work/quotes/819104-thud>
A fallacy should be a incorrect shape of an argument, a incorrect reasoning, not just a false statement.
Otherwise, it's just a regular d argument.