From a quick google: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9220841
I do also remember reading about researchers at Cambridge University who were looking at this maybe 7-8 years ago.
Either way though, this is different from skimming. Skimming allows the skimmer to make future transactions which is much much worse.
Right now with most contactless in shops in the UK you're left thinking "did they key that amount in right?" and if you're paranoid you ask for a receipt (from the machine, although merchants often drag their feet or try to give you one from the till not the reader!) and/or you check on the phone afterwards (which would be a pain if it showed an issue because by then it's a bit late!)
There will be no way of an app to display a fake payment screen in front of the real one, or accessing the NFT apis themselves. It's clearly one of the key reasons why Apple have not opened up the NFC hardware for outside developers.
The main protections against this are maximum limits for unverified contactless purchases (about €50, depending on the country) and banks outright guaranteeing customers against fraud (https://europa.eu/youreurope/citizens/consumers/financial-pr...).
No idea how that can translate directly onto phone-based terminals though. On cards, the extra-validation backup for suspicious/over the daily limit transactions is that the contactless machine asks you for your pin, but there's no way anybody should be typing their card pin into a random stranger's iPhone.
(page 18, with pages 10 and 12 showing the Visa/MC limits) https://i.blackhat.com/asia-20/Thursday/asia-20-Galloway-Fir...
You can guarantee that the merchants collateral, or any unpaid funds will be taken and used to automatically refund anyone that went near their readers, and if the money can't be claimed from the merchant, then the payment processor or acquirer will be forced to cough up.
All the card networks take this type of fraud very seriously. They understand that they only get to keep their very lucrative positions in this world if people 100% trust card readers to not rip them off, and to get easy compensation if they do. So they come down hard on businesses that threaten that trust.