/r/antiwork: A tragedy of sanewashing and social gentrification
tracingwoodgrains.medium.com
tracingwoodgrains.medium.com
To me anti-work is the recognition that forced wage labor is not acceptable, and that technological advancement and automation should enable greater freedom for individuals to spend their time how they choose. We could already have this reality today if we just implemented a universal basic income, but until the boomers retire from office that's just not happening.
I haven't browsed the subreddit in forever but just took a look, and it's sad to see it's just a bunch of stupid memes now. Every decent subreddit eventually devolved into a bunch of stupid memes. Travel and digital nomad subreddits are just people posting Instagram style pictures of themselves or asking the same dumb questions over and over again. Crypto subreddits seem to consist primarily of 14 year olds asking "when moon".
Reddit in 2008 was amazing - similar to Hacker News in comment quality (which has also lowered significantly). I watched the site devolve - with the advent of memes, pun threads (thankfully that's gone now), hivemind, and quality discourse being replaced by sarcastic low-effort one-liners and downvote sabotaging of any contrarian viewpoints regardless of the substance of one's post.
We need better alternatives to Reddit, or Reddit needs to fix the mess because the post/comment quality there is straight trash there. All the default homepage subreddits are trash. I don't know how any co-founder of Reddit could look at Reddit today and be proud of what they've created knowing the forum of intelligent and productive discourse it could've been.
(Not a philosophy I agree with, but one that I observe as pretty cornerstone).
People can still get jobs if they want. In fact, most people probably still will. Otherwise nobody would be working in countries where welfare isn't capped, which obviously isn't the case.
Also just think back to all the rich trust fund kids and financially independent people you know (eg. multimillionaires). What percentage of them don't work anymore? In my experience, most continue to work even though they could just live off of their savings/investments. That's because they are free to work on what they themselves enjoy, rather than simply having to sell their labor to make ends meet.
I wish everyone had that freedom. If it were not possible, then at the least it should be a goal we strive towards.
This sounds just about as superficial as the dude on fox news who wants to walk dogs and teach philosophy as their profession. Surprisingly or not, none of the antiwork activists are queuing to work in rice fields or other gritty but absolutely necessary jobs.
Look into the vast plethora of research on universal basic income before you dismiss it as "superficial" without even understanding what it even is.
Protip: we’re experiencing the same effect right now thanks to liberal money-printing for ”covid relief”
>Universal basic income
I'm going to sound like I'm being snarky here, and I promise I'm not.How exactly is this supposed to work? The government prints money and gives it away for free, nobody has to work?
I don't say this from a place of privilege. I grew up lower class trailer trash and have been homeless.
Maybe I don't understand the concept fully but it seems a bit absurd and unfeasible
And yet I have 22% of my equity sold and sent straight to the IRS every year. This is behind the scenes a complex multi-step process, and yet it happens like clockwork, easy as pie.
You need a better accountant / portfolio manager.
The federal deficit is 2.8T for 1 year.
If we confiscated the 100% assets of the top 10 US billionaires we don't even get close to half of 1 year of federal spending. It's not plausible that a massive increase in taxes would pay for UBI.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/201426/the-richest-peopl...
As is, people not participating in the workforce right now is implicated in large parts of the various shortages. It's not clear how UBI improves things.
Somehow we still get away with funding other welfare programs, even though we have a rising debt ceiling.
Anyways, this is why you increase taxes on the ultra-wealthy, in order to pay for UBI. It doesn't mean more debt.
You want to tax Larry Ellison's yacht and other ludicrous spending, fine by me. But that's the ultra-wealthy's consumption - it's not even their income, much less their wealth. If you can't tell the difference, you're not getting the point of this debate.
If we really think that it is unjust for money to be concentrated in the hands of the rich and should go to the public instead of their heirs or private interests, there should be an option of zeroing out one's bank account. That is, literally destroying money (not to be confused with wealth). This should have roughly the same effect as dividing up one's fortune and distributing it evenly to all holders of that currency.
We can't see taking their money as a viable long term solution to UBI. Our debt is out of control and our day of reckoning will come eventually. Nothing is free; markets will correct for UBI and people will become just as poor as they were over time. Existing UBI studies cannot take into account for the _universal_ aspect of UBI because they are controlled studies — there will be unintended consequences.
https://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/UnintendedConsequences.h...
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/nov/02/viral-imag....
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/01/us/politics/national-debt...
Obviously only part of the picture as quantitative easing and low rates are also driving excess liquidity, and omicron is also driving lower short-term labor participation.
Meanwhile another half our peers want their college debt forgiven because they can't cut it in the real world with their liberal arts degree. Mark my words: if they ever do get around to slashing college debt, those who did what they were supposed to will be left there with their bill in hand while everyone else who made every ill-advised decision gets off for free.
I do expect someday it will be feasible though. Maybe in my lifetime.
Gotta start somewhere :)
From a practical reality, we already have a UBI of $0 guaranteed, and with time cost that increases if people want to seek welfare benefits. A UBI could be implemented, potentially, solely on streamlining of processes to decrease the costs of welfare benefit search.
Likely a realistic funding would be a mix of improving services delivery (lowering costs) and taxation of capital holders (offset some of the gains that put labor out of work). Under neoclassical theory, there are major differences in the two workhorse models of overlapping generations versus infinitely lived agents. An OLG model better approximates groups of people and their lifecycles.
In my view, this is a slow-burn fight w/in the optimal taxation literature, based solely on the papers themselves and having not participated in the conferences!
In some circumstances this is actually a good idea. One core idea of Modern Monetary Theory is that printing money is only inflationary when the economy is at capacity.
So giving money to people that can't or won't work actually drives growth because they can spend.
If you moralize about economics or think MMT is wrong, this sounds like a horrible idea. If you only care about results, then it's a great idea.
I'm not a committed supporter of UBI, so my opinion should be taken with a grain of salt (or more) but I assume the whole point is to promote wealth redistribution. Not print money. So you give everyone some amount, say 12K/year, and then support it with taxes.
It sounds infeasible with the current budget, because of course it is. But modeling the final result isn't that simple I'd guess. More money into the circle, so the circle gets bigger, etc. So while it'd be easy to shoot it down using a single iteration of the circle, I'd like to see someone do a longer term simulation. I'm sure they have, I just haven't seen it.
I’m trying to say this with utmost respect. But $12k x 330M is $4T/year.
In 2021, the US collected about $4T [0]. The US spent about $7T [1]. So it would take lots of iterations to figure this out.
I think there are some efficiencies so you can reduce some of this budget but introducing a UBI like this would up the spent to $10T and require an extra $6T in taxes every year.
It just seems so non-sensible. As the only way to reach this level would be to inflate money so it bought nothing much.
Proposing this seems less likely than just researching Star Trek replicators to reduce the need to buy food or something.
Or free housing for everyone is more feasible since that seems more achievable than increasing tax revenue by 150%.
Even if you seize every penny of US billionaires assets that’s only $4.2T [2]. At least that covers the first year but then those assets are gone.
[0] https://datalab.usaspending.gov/americas-finance-guide/reven...
[1] https://apnews.com/article/business-economy-government-spend...
The problem with that is, without UBI, replicators don't solve the problem. The corporation that invents such a thing would get rich and charge the poorest to use it.
We currently HAVE enough food, shelter, and health care as a society to cover everyone, but the efficiency/productivity gains haven't sufficiently sufficiently benefited everyone. UBI is one proposed option for correcting that situation.
As for the actual cost - just as an exercise for trimming, without going into excessive detail:
* About 80 million of the 330 million in the US are under 18[1]. Let's assume 4 year olds don't need UBI. Maybe there's a childcare credit, maybe not, but for the sake of NOT encouraging parents to have kids just for the paycheck, let's start UBI at 18+ years old
* About half of US households make over $75k right now[2]. 33% make over 100k. I'm handwaving a bit here, but let's say the tax changes to support UBI result in increased taxes, and the "breakeven" point is somewhere around the 75k mark (i.e., above 75k household income - which would be 87k for a 1 person home, or 99k for a 2 person home, with the UBI - there's enough taxed off that the household is paying as much or more in taxes than they get from UBI).
With those two tweaks, you're down to 125 million people or less that are getting more than they put in. And that comes to about 1.25T USD. And... if you look at our spending trends[3], that 7T USD number for 2021 you quoted already includes 1.6T in "income security". So it might actually be possible to hit UBI with the current budget/deficit by rearranging how the money is distributed.
[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the...
[2] https://www.statista.com/statistics/203183/percentage-distri...
[3] https://datalab.usaspending.gov/americas-finance-guide/spend...
I think this is parallel to “free college.” I don’t think we should give everyone $20k/year to go to college. We should make college free and low cost.
I don’t think it’s fair to funnel UBI to billionaires as the goal is to help people, but make some people really rich with the new transfers.
I don't disagree, it sounds infeasible. But it's such a massive stimulus that I think it's really hard to model the real outcome. I just think it's probably not accurate to try and model it using a single iteration of the current budget.
Ultimately I think we have to collectively decide whether or not our society can support a basic level of civilized existence for all members, or if there is a core requirement that some people are going to need to suffer so that a plurality will be able to live comfortably. Same for health care -- can we simply not afford for everyone to have a basic level of health care? Must someone else suffer so that I can get adequate care for myself and family?
UBI and things like it are just a means to that end.
It’s like saying “it’s hard to model how prepend will marry Katherine Hepburn.” It’s true, I suppose. But it’s true because that’s an impossible situation on many dimensions.
And again, it’s not about some suffering so others don’t (although I think that’s an unhealthy way of looking at it). Even if you take all money from all billionaires. Like every penny and they suffer. That doesn’t even support a simple UBI of only $13k/year. So there’s not a suffering model that works out. There’s no proposed taxation plan that would account for this.
That's generally not the expectation. The expectation is that there's more than enough wealth to allow for everyone to have a baseline of income to meet their most basic needs. You want to buy a house, buy a car, travel, eat at fancy restaurants, buy expensive things, you still have to work. But if you want to quit your job and find another one you don't need to fear starvation or eviction because you are without income for a few months.
It's the same logic as preventative medicine. Instead of dishing out money for surgery you can catch problems earlier when they are cheaper to fix.
Yes, that's what they said: nobody has to work. They can if they want the additional perks you've described, but they don't have to.
If you just pay people to sit on their asses, many of them are just going to sit on their asses, creating nothing, simply consuming resources. The host (civilized society) cannot survive when everyone is a leech.
A lot of people also believe that a huge percentage of society is engaging in "bullshit" jobs because there isn't enough real work that needs to be done.
In all honesty I don't see UBI becoming a thing until we start automating ourselves into unemployment. People say this would increase inflation. Maybe. Let's trial it with 1% of the population and find out.
From a political stability perspective, I expect this would be wise to get in front of.
Still waiting for steam engines to replace human labour...
The only way you can raise rents (in a way that nets a profit) under a LVT is to improve the property or provide services. If you own a 4 unit complex and you want a higher return, you need to build more units, a gym or provide on-site dry cleaning. This also means more efficient land-use in areas of high land value (i.e. densely built town/city centers). Since no more land can be produced, and speculation cannot produce profit, the incentivized usage is a productive one (building more housing where it's in high demand).
Philosophically, a person who supports this concept wouldn't view it as the landlords paying everyone's UBI. We can respect every American's right to enjoy private property, while also holding the value of that property as a public trust. The LVT payments represent the capture of that value, and the UBI is the mechanism by which the public share is distributed.
Then there's land that doesn't have buildings but still has high value because of the resources (oil, natural gas, minerals, etc) that sit underneath.
I think this works swell, but we should maybe have a variable VAT too that makes it so even UBI recipients pay some taxes back on everything they purchase, etc...and I think the system should be pegged at making the amount doled out and taxes raised from land-owners equivalent to 3x rent, aka rent should account on average 1/3rd of the amount given out.
Could also simply have a program where everyone's given 1k, plus vouchers for rent upto a limit, plus foodstamps... could be foodstamps are usable to pay rent, to make it easier to manage, and whatever's left over is your food budget... then the extra 1k pays utilities, insurance, etc... of course there should be free healthcare and better education deal....
Personally I'd prefer usd moves to crypto and only allows 1 account per person with a 50 million dollar max-limit, basically making all income over a threshold taxed, so billionaires can't even exist...and redistributes to those who hodl less and spend more. but I'm a bit more radical in my thinking....
UBI, anarchism, antiwork and other radical ideas are proposed patches to the cold and lonely reality of modern metropolitan life. They would probably not work, but they are not really the point. The point is to imagine some escape from the current crushing system.
Nobody starves to death in the US. Nobody is denied medical care in the emergency room. In many places (though not everywhere), there are shelters where a person can sleep inside. There are food stamps and a patchwork of welfare programs.
However meager they may seem, things like this amount to a form of universal basic income. Does it prevent people from working?
In some cases, you could say it does--there are populations in every city that survive off this safety net, though they don't live well.
But in most cases, it doesn't prevent people from working. The vast majority of people are willing to work for a better life than what the US "basic income" can provide.
What makes you think this would be any less true if the basic income was, say, $30k per year instead of whatever the equivalent is now to provide the meager safety net we have?
It's certainly possible to survive on a $30k basic income in many places in the US, but for most, it won't be an easy or especially pleasant life. Most people will want better.
With a basic income that's a bit more substantial (and has no strings or stigma attached), people will have more freedom to make choices that can truly improve their circumstances, rather than being stuck on a treadmill of barely making ends meet with no space to come up for air and consider education or career changes.
GDP grows instantly by at least 13% (in the US) if doing a $1,000/month UBI, for example.
Etc.
Andrew Yang has looked into this a lot - his last two books: “The War On Normal People: The Truth About America's Disappearing Jobs and Why Universal Basic Income Is Our Future”, and “Forward: Notes on the Future of Our Democracy”
That really does not track though, sure GDP will go up if the money is spent, but its just spending money that we either borrowed or just printed. Not to mention a ton of that money would be saved, essentially removing it from circulation. Inflation would go out of control. If not, then why not just print 100,000 for each person?
12k a year for 300 million people is ~3.6 trillion. ~20% of gdp a year being printed.
Yang also has said you make up most of the difference with a Value Added Tax (consumption tax) - and you can say make Facebook ads have an 80% tax, and diapers - necessities having 0% tax, that way poorer people aren't impacted by the tax; if everyone's receiving $12,000 / year in UBI then you can design it so only people spending more than $200,000 per year are actually paying back into the system - otherwise the taxes you pay is just putting that $12k UBI back into the system. What Yang points out is with the UBI tied to inflation + VAT you can have many levers to pull on if you need to to increase/decrease tax.
Another chunk of covering that UBI comes from cash and cash-like social assistance programs that people will have to decide for themselves if the $1,000/month is better for them or if their current social assistance programs (for cash and cash-like things) is better for them; and no, it's not a Trojan Horse, Yang doesn't want to cut social assistance programs - but if people choose the cash because that's better for their specific circumstances (and they get to decide that, not a bureaucratic government) then that program's spending is going down - the cost of what's provided goes down (turned into the UBI) but then also the management/bureaucracy cost of managing different programs will go down as well depending on how many people chose the UBI over the cash/cash-like options.
And then there's even more that ties into this that reduces costs; stress going down, crime going down, emergency services costs (fire/ambulance/police) go down, etc.
And do you think people who are struggling to just survive, who are constantly stressed (which causes mental health issues, poor decision making, and long-term dis-ease progression) will become more productive to society, become more valuable/useful to society if their basic needs are covered - and that people will become less counter-productive (which has a cost too)?
What makes you think people who get UBI also aren't going to want to work? People being lazy isn't attractive.
The logic that people think people given money won't work doesn't fit because billionaires still keep working; yes, some people won't work, but better they don't work than go into crime and hurt society - and then cost society even more if they're caught and we have to pay for them to be in jail.
Dilettantes, neat word - it seems like you're the one who's under-studied in this area though - you seem to have all-or-nothing thinking as well, while catastrophizing while not working from first principles; I am certain you could create a system to efficiently clean a conveyor belt in a mushroom packing plant: high pressure air/water washers, robotic arms that can target specific areas (like how robotic arms move around material to then weld vehicles together, etc) - perhaps requiring innovation on the conveyor belt technology itself.
Have you ever searched for self-washing mushroom packing plant conveyor belt? Maybe someone's already developing/developed one?
What I think is the greatest about automating as much as possible is that that means we free up more time for humans to be creative, to develop themselves and their mind and knowledge, to raise healthy families, to build and strengthen community, etc.
Increased automation will raise living standards but it generally doesn't free up time for humans to do non-work things. People contine working just as much but on different tasks. And let's be realistic. Most people aren't very creative, and even the ones who try to be creative never produce much of value. If they don't have to work then a lot of them are going to sit around getting high and playing Xbox. I'm not a moralizer, I have nothing against people choosing to spend their time on such activities. But there's no way I'm going to vote to raise my own taxes in order to provide UBI for people who are capable of working but choose not to.
What if you don't actually have to raise your taxes because the productivity increase, and reduced inefficiency, actually pays for itself? Or what if it is a temporary tax but then not only elevates the quality of life of the poorest who would arguably benefit the most (at least who's basic needs aren't met so Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs aren't met anywhere near adequately) but that also your own quality of life improves as well - more than the "$1,000"/month you're receiving in addition?
Also realize that companies/businesses avoiding taxes can't avoid a VAT, so that revenue leak is fixed and puts more money into the system that otherwise is draining it without replenishing it.
> In economics, a negative income tax (NIT) is a system which reverses the direction in which tax is paid for incomes below a certain level; in other words, earners above that level pay money to the state while earners below it receive money.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_income_tax
Edit: I'm not economically literate enough to say I fully support this, but the idea is appealing
1. UBI aims to streamline redistribution of wealth and remove a lot of bureaucracy around it, reducing a lot of the cost of the current system
2. Why the middle class specifically? Upper class could shoulder most of the costs (if there are) easily
>I would not be ok going to work to pay people that have decided that they are fine living on the UBI and don't want to work anymore.
Then don't work. We already have taxes for things which are way less useful for society. You could choose not to work and live on with the bare minimum. That's the freedom UBI brings. Now probably you'd do something or another out of boredom which would end up being useful to society anyway. You'd just do it for free instead of having to convince someone to pay for it.
EDIT: A better way to put it is to see UBI as an investment into people instead of as a cost. You give them what they need to live so that, in aggregate, they can innovate more and worry less about making ends meet. Notwithstanding the fact that this is something we can do, for somewhat cheap and would help a lot of people.
What makes you think so?
There are a lot of discussion online about the costs/benefits of UBI. This article has an US-centric view on how this could be afforded
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/14/budget-neutral-universal-bas...
I'm not sure which veteran benefits they want to get rid of specifically, but this could be a bad idea. One of the main ways to increase economic class if one is poor is to serve in the military and have the pay for college after they get out (yes, the payment could cover part of it, assuming they aren't using it for living expenses which would be mostly covered during their enlistment). The VA is under funded and doesn't have a great record, but that's so highly beneficial to many.
… as well various special-purpose programs including housing benefits, SSI, SNAP, TANF, veteran's benefits, WIC, Medicaid, SS Disability, and disaster relief. I'm sure those currently receiving these benefits will be thrilled to find out that they're being replaced by a flat UBI payment of $15k/yr (minus taxes) with no allowance for special circumstances or hardship.
> [SS and Medicare removal] would be a massive windfall for most if the money paid-in was returned.
Undoubtedly, but what are the odds of that happening?
To whom? The government, sure. The individuals using those programs, probably not. Healthcare costs alone would likely wipe that out (for the demographics using Medicare). Rent in many areas would eat more than half.
Affordable housing is a separate issue and point of concern no matter who is paying.
You could say that housing costs are a larger issue. However that issue is largely a non-issue for the demographic we are talking about currently since they qualify for stuff like HUD assistance (which would be removed under the plan).
The actual amount varies by region and income, but e.g. the Housing Authority of the City of Los Angeles (which is financed by HUD) says[0]:
> For CY2020, HACLA paid more than $582 Million to private Landlords on behalf of more than 44,000 participant families.
That works out to an average (mean) of $13.2k per year per family—and they're only covering a portion of the rent. A couple living on UBI and no longer receiving Section 8 vouchers would spend about half of two UBI payments making up for the loss of Section 8, while the other $16.8k/year needs to cover the rest of their rent, food, clothing, transportation, medicine, and any other necessary expenses for both of them.
Spending 50% of household income is fairly cost burdened, but not unworkable. The same problem exists under the current scheme as well.
Living in a big city affords more opportunities to earn income. Some would use their initial UBI payments to move to cheaper locales. Grants could help.
Over 85% of HACLA's revenues in 2020 came directly from HUD[0]. Another 10% were from other government grants (which would also be cut). The numbers reported before were just for the Section 8 program, which AFAICT is administered by HACLA but fully funded by HUD.
> Spending 50% of household income is fairly cost burdened, but not unworkable.
That 50% is the part paid by Section 8. The part not paid by Section 8 is expected to be about 30% of income, which at the 2020 poverty level for a family of two would be about $5k (30% of $17.2k), so the total rent is more like $20k or 65% of their pooled UBIs. And again, this is just Section 8. If you qualify for Section 8 housing you probably qualify for some of the other programs which are also being eliminated.
> Living in a big city affords more opportunities to earn income.
Possibly, but then again we're talking about people who are already living in these places and still qualify for housing assistance. Telling them to get a (better) job or move somewhere cheaper isn't a viable solution. If these were reasonably solutions with UBI they would also be reasonable solutions without UBI.
> Grants could help.
I hope you're not suggesting federal grants since those, too, would be eliminated under this proposal. And really that just gets back to programs targeting specific needs.
An excellent point to keep in mind that receiving assistance doesn’t mean you have no other source of income, so the situation likely would not be as dire as you suggest.
You seem to be hung up on the proposal from the CNBC link? Which is a strawman purposely designed by the right wing think tank AEI with the flaws you’ve keyed in on, so that it can be easily batted down like a strawman should.
No, and it's pretty disingenuous for you to put words in my mouth.
It's not so much what HUD spends as what those individuals would need to pay. $500 is an extremely low estimate that would still mean $6k per year (assuming they live in the cheapest stuff they can find). Average costs in most cities for a studio apartment are generally over $1k, giving about $12k per year.
This is only one of the many things eliminated under the proposal. Healthcare is the real big rock and could bankrupt anyone needing substantial care. Even just premiums run from $150-300 per month for the cheapest plans (depending on various factors).
That's just Medicaid; it gets worse when you consider all the other programs being cut.
Even allowing for realistic reductions in bureaucratic overhead, you can't just cut narrowly targeted programs and spread the same amount of money evenly across the entire population without significantly reducing the money available, on average, to the original beneficiaries.
[0] https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/medicaid-facts-and-...
The sensible move would be to keep disability, etc. as a form of insurance where costs are spread across the populace.
And now you're back where you started—you haven't eliminated these need-based programs at all, or reduced the bureaucracy. You've just added the UBI as an extra expense.
This is a transfer from the very poorest to the middle and upper middle class (how much revenue does a tax on millionaires really accomplish?)
I'll take it because it would benefit me, but that doesn't make it great policy. Also most UBI supporters aren't usually on the same side of an issue as AEI.
Although this is fixable by taxing more the middle class if that's what we wish to do (aka, not being "budget-neutral")
It seems like 45tn in asset seizures would cover the additional 15k/yr for around 10 years.
But I would be very worried about the impact on capital markets and company formation.
I would immediately leave the US if this kind of seizure got through the House and looked like it might pass the Senate.
And the country did not collapsed. It actually entered a era or unparalleled prosperity ( but that had little to do with taxes )
In 1945 tax rate was around 90% IIRC
Honest question : you do understand that a 100% tax rate means that 100% of revenu are taxed correct. ( as opposed to 100% are taken by the state ). Of those 100% only a percentage of it is actually “lost”.
Sorry if it’s obvious but the catastrophic scenario you are describing seems to correspond to “let’s take all the rich folks money, all of it”
Source on high historical tax rate in the US around 1950 https://teachinghistory.org/history-content/ask-a-historian/...
Marginal income tax rate of 90% != Wealth tax (for which we haven't even tested constitutionality)
Also, nobody paid close to 90% thanks to generous loop holes and strategic tax avoidance: https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-nocera-tax-avoidance-...
I was pointing out a historical period where taxes were setup differently than now. We tend to forget it was the case; and it seems to be out of the collective psyché.
Indeed in 2022 nobody pays close to 90%. I was referring to the 1945 to 1960 period. ( see linked article, nice read )
Then you replied "It actually happened not that long ago, in the US" and cited that the US used to have a 90% marginal income tax bracket.
A 90% marginal income rate is not in the same universe as a 100% wealth tax rate.
Reach people have disproportionate political influence so the can carve some exemptions for themselves and they have resources to exploit unintentionally created loopholes. Middle class typically have no ways to avoid taxes.
You already pay taxes, and they are already used to fund other people. The idea would be to allow people to choose individually how to spend this money. The goal is efficiency, fair distribution of benefits and elimination of bureaucracy and administrative overhead.
No, ideally, we would raise taxes on the upper class, to give money (compared to the status quo system where we already have means-tested poverty support aid) to the people choosing to do more work (since means-tested aid gets cut with additional income, but UBI doesn't, except by the effects of progressive taxation.)
One way to do part of this:
* Roll payroll taxes into progressive income tax (including basing eligibility for payroll-tax funded programs on total income, not just income currently subject to payroll taxes.) For Social Security, this may involve adding one or more additional “bend points” to the benefit formula.
* Eliminate favorable rates for long-term capital gains, taxing them at normal income tax rates; to better target fairness for gains that genuinely require an extended period and which would be overtaxed if treated as income in the year of realization, allow freely recognizing income (not just capital income) for tax purposes in advance of realization, and additionally allow deferral of some portion of windfall (based on recent past years as baseline) gains over a period of several years.
> see if its worth the second earner working or if they make more just staying home
The available experimental outcomes show that by and large, people that stay at home on a properly-designed UBI are those who can thereby make highly-valued contributions to the household, such as by raising young kids. Otherwise, they choose to work just as much.
Of course, there's a huge administrative overhead involved as well, plus there's a big case going on now of people falsely being accused of defrauding the system because some department got rewarded for finding fraudsters, or whatever the issue was. It financially ruined many people because they went from getting a bit of money to help make ends meet, to getting charged €30,000 or more in back pay and fines.
Otherwise, you’d have looked at other comparable economic powers worldwide that provide a more socialist alternative and see that they are nowhere near the inflation rate you’re describing, e.g. France.
Granted, it’s not $30K a year, but $7.5K for a single person, with free healthcare & education that could be considered a form of income. Doing the same maths as you did, round it $10K per person and you’re at 30% of GDP.
It’s been running for years and debt levels didn’t skyrocket much higher than the US.
Is a VAT a regressive tax? The poor likely spend 100% of their income so are taxed 20% on everything. The rich are able to save a good portion of it, so get to keep it tax free after income taxes.
Not sure I would be willing to pay essentially 30 - 35% more in taxes for 'free' health care. That's more than I save for retirement. How would I retire? Retirement would essentially be living on the UBI.
Frances Debt to GDP is similar to the US. What happens as population decline affects France and less people work? The Debt to GDP keeps climbing and begins to do so faster and faster.
Doctors and medical professionals would likely have to take paycuts as the federal government cannot afford to pay them 325k a year. You could argue that we could make up the difference by cutting military spending which I agree with, but the military is very much a jobs program as is, so a ton of those soldiers and military contractors including high paying engineering jobs at places like Lockheed go away now. Once that happens and the US can no longer afford to project force in europe, what happens in France when Russia gets aggressive, do they in turn have to raise defense spending and reduce benefits. If we have a military conflict, are we bringing back the draft?
So again I am not disagreeing, I think certain benefits should be given, including universal health care, I am just saying its very complicated and I don't have all the answers and would love to hear some.
Yes taxes are higher in France. Yes some budgets and jobs might need a pay cut to apply a similar model in the US. That doesn’t sound like an impossible task.
All I’m saying is that dismissing the whole idea of your parent comment by saying that a basic income representing a high portion of GDP would imply absurdly high inflation rates is not true, as there are at least a few counter-examples. Maybe the amount is too high. But the idea is not as unreasonable as you made it sound.
Note regarding population decline: France is reaching its peak of aged population / younger blood to infuse the economy following WW2’s baby boom. It will likely not have a higher impact than it currently has today in the upcoming years.
Then the important part is to not think of those jobs as disappearing. Think of those bodies - educated, professionally trained bodies - that can now alleviate the hiring shortage faced by industry.
Think of the boost to GDP when that effort is applied to productive enterprise.
2. we put almost a trillion dollars into welfare every year.
3. You don't have to provide Equal UBI to every citizen regardless of their income. You can make it like a reverse tax that decreases as you go higher in income that peters out at 100k or so (which 30% of Americans make).
No point in taking the plan someone gave as an example so literally. These are econimic problems that experts spent decades thinking aobut and would take months to draft in order to prevent these obvious counterarguments.
The working poor do get a lot out of social services that are available if they take advantage of those programs, though some states make it as hard as possible.
But I’m on the same page that UBI is a good thing and better for everybody. People have basic needs and they should be provided for.
I still don’t see how we get there in the US, sadly. The fact that the childcare tax credit was enough to lift so many families out of poverty speaks volumes and yet it seems to be politically ignored by conservatives/republican voters despite the fact that these programs and other social services benefit those communities in red states more than blue states.
The best trick the wealthy pulled was convincing the working poor that all the people they don’t like are abusing the system and living like kings while the working stiff is just getting by.
Taxing the middle class.
Also I don't understand how any low-trust society like ours would survive the transition phase into UBI when people (even though they like working) might take an extended holiday if the UBI pays for all living costs. Suddenly millions of critical positions would be left unoccupied.
If a position is critical enough it should probably be a higher paid position.
No one is going to raise wages for a particular position just because it was arbitrarily classified as "critical".
The increase profit margins will attract competitive companies or existing companies will be forced to pay workers more for overtime to satisfy the demand.
The negative of this is that the poor or unemployed have very few dollars with which to vote. A UBI solves this by giving them at least some small percentage of the vote.
But, putting that part aside, the idea is that it's just the barest of basics. So if you have a decent salary now, the UBI that is 1/5th or less than that is not gonna help you pay your rent/mortgage that has gone from 30% of your salary to 150% of your UBI. People could likely realign their life though over time which would be massively impactful. Perhaps some would prefer having their basic needs met + working a very part amount of time for some spending money + engaging in a different core life pursuit. But, with that part taking time the market could presumably correct.
That's just for high earners though who can't currently just drop out / transition overnight due to present obligations. The folks who are closer to where a UBI would be putting them anyway it gets way more difficult. A negative income tax might work there, so that keeping the job is still more regardless of what that currently salary is. That flat UBI tends to have some problems in that regard. Then again, those same folks might be over night doubling their take home cash or being able to have no change in cash for a complete reduction in work and the temptation to just go to zero hours would be high (assuming they aren't in financial pain already where the current amount is still not enough). A flat UBI would probably need to be slowly rolled out. Basically get folks used to being more well off so that the flat UBI only can be appropriately viewed as less ideal than their (new) current situation.
I grew up around a lot of poor people. One issue in the US is healthcare. If you make <13k (or whatever your state limit is) you dont qualify for government healthcare. Also, 13k is too little to actually purchase private healthcare, so there is a "donut hole" where it makes sense not to work below a certain wage since you get less with income than with no income.
The solution here is obvious to me -- if you provide some of the benefits without means-testing (i.e., the "U" in "UBI") then people are incentivized to work even bits without risking losting healthcare/foodstamps.
Another example was in college -- if you earned even a bit of money, your student aid often went down commensurately. At that point, why would you work? You were no better off unless you could make a LOT of money. I realize this has changed over the past 20yrs.
Also, as someone who's gone thru this -- this is a very delicate process. You do one thing wrong, and you're in bureaucratic hell for months without benefits. The "safe" thing to do is to earn nothing -- God forbid you earn a thousand here or there and lose medical care. The whole system of means-testing makes no sense. It seems to be more a way to create jobs for bureaucrats.
Nobody HAS to work, correct. If they only want to survive, they don't need to work. Everyone gets money for food, water, shelter and education; no questions asked.
If you want an iPhone or eat something nice, you should probably get some money though.
Universal basic income isn't much usually, it's enough to survive, enough for a livable life.
That's paid by taxes of the majority of people that will still work, because people usually want more than just to survive, so they'll work. They'll just not work at Starbucks for 10 years to pay their student loan, they'll find a job that they like, a job with meaning.
Teach someone to fish and they can eat + sell the fish.
But if I make a fish-catching machine to catch fish for everyone, does everyone eat, or does everyone starve?
UBI is essentially a means of ensuring that in a world where the robots catch all the fish, people can still afford to buy a fish.
Right now we also need to look at how we can provide job for those who are affected by automation and not just say that the coal miners need "learn to code" and move.
Edit to add: We have some industries that are highly automated, ie. semiconductor manufacturing. Yet they still have raw inputs that take non-automated work. If we were able to develop a complete automated line, I would support gov/private group "socializing" the output.
I liked the description of the Universal Constructors in Diamond Age, toothed gears that captured atoms and placed them into buckets, sorting the elements out of the ocean water.
That is probably more fantasy though, more likely to like like how it does now with modular rock crushers, moving belts, etc.
Food supply is going to be interesting(read difficult), we can automate harvesting grains(rice, wheat, corn) easily. But things like tomatoes, lettuce, spinach rely heavily on human labor to tend and harvest. One of the things that is noticeable is that as we select foods that ship and store better(which we will be doing more of as we automate more) they are less tasty. Maybe we can engineer foods that are easy to harvest, tasty and transport well but that will necessitate us to get over our fear of GMO.
On the societal front, I would not want the government to have control of the manufacturing systems because the temptation to use control against political adversaries would be to great(See Biden's recent comments on how Spotify should do more about Joe Rogan and how Trump used his influence(Not taking a stance on any issues, just showing the issues exist and would have grave ramifications).
My thought would be that as you have a product more and more automated and vertically integrated, let's say bread. Planting, harvest, milling, mixing, baking are all owned by a handful of companies with minimum human labor. Government should then hold bids to see who gets to supply the market, limiting each supplier to below a 20%(?) share as to keep multiple suppliers in the market but also spread the risk so you don't have a too big to fail.
The companies would be paid via taxes and everyone would get free bread.
Now, you would have to deal with the effects of that; people wasting bread because it's free, health effects of eating more bread because it's free are two that I can think of off the top of my head.
One other thought on the after effects: We will have no way to educate and no way to punish those who commit crime. I like kids but I doubt I would want to spend the majority of my day trying to get a group of them to learn when I don't have to. And honestly, they would also feel like it is a waste of time because it is not needed.
No one will want to spend their time policing ,running prisons, jails or courthouses either. Hell, you have a hard enough time trying to get people to serve jury duty now.
I know we like to that crime will cease to exist if we have plenty, but there is more than the lust for physical items that drives crime. Desire to control others, lust.
The transition to a society where everyone can get what they want, when they want it is fraught with pitfalls and traps. The best cases would end with up something like the Isaac Asimov's utopias or Ian M. Bank's Culture universe. Middle case is dystopias like Snow Crash and Diamond Age. Worst case is that humanity falls into a hedonistic loop, people stop learning and then things break. Probably wouldn't kill everyone but humanity would be reset at that point.
Random tidbit that I didn't work in: If you can't design a system that is 100% perfect and requires no maintenance, you should design one that requires ~yearly maintenance. If the maintenance cycles are too far apart, no one will remember when to do it and how to do it. Later when it breaks, there might not be anyone who knows how to fix it.
The automation challenge is often conveniently underplayed, while it's an insanely hard problem. You might as wel say a wizard will do it.
Will it be possible some day in the future? Probably? In a relevant time frame? Probably not.
I believed more in "corporate welfare" when a corporation finds a way to create a free product for large group of people while selling something else. But closer and closer connections between the government and corporations made this possibility less likely from my opinion.
Now I certainly agree that there is no realistic scenario where any significant portion of people can just choose free fish in 5 or even 10 years[1]. But the automation of work tasks is like Mike's bankruptcy: it builds slowly until we have the sudden realization that we're over the cliff. Robots making and repairing robots, people watched over by machines of loving grace, the whole 9 yards.
Personally, I would like to have the UBI parachute strapped on before we find ourselves floating Wile E. Coyote style over an economic collapse. Given the rate at which new legislation passes in today's society, the time to start the fight is at least 20 years before you really need it.
[1] Unless those singulatarian types are right, and human-level machine intelligence is 7 years out: https://longbets.org/1/
We definitely have machines, not saying there’s no labor involved but it’s certainly less than it has been historically. It really is similar to the village where one person operates a fish catching machine.
For the last few hundred years, human productivity has vastly increased. Thanks to technological progress, farming has gone from what the bulk of people do to a niche activity that most see only driving by.
Who benefits most from the productivity increases? The rich. We are approaching gilded-age levels of inequality, while the wage for most workers is stagnant. What if instead of concentrating that wealth on a few people who won the "ovarian lottery" [1] we split the dividends of our ancestors' achievements among everybody?
This isn't totally ridiculous. For example, Alaska has spent decade giving each resident about $1000/year from a fund built up with oil revenues: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_Permanent_Fund
So imagine a program like that but bigger. Maybe a poverty-level income for each person, like $1000/month. What would happen? Some people wouldn't work. But that's nothing unusual; only 63% of people in the US work right now. (And really, how many people are doing bullshit jobs that don't add much to the economy?) Others would keep working because they wanted more money, or just because they like working. (Personally, I'm in that last group.)
Could this work? Personally, I'm skeptical but curious. But it's definitely not impossible.
[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/16/warren-buffett-says-being-a-...
Someone has to wash dishes, dig ditches, empty bedpans, make sandwiches, etc. Further, the sandwich shop which employs family members etc. and doesn't pay an unskilled laborer $30/hour will crush the ones that do. Multiple businesses have demonstrated that virtue alone doesn't make overpriced goods sustainable in the long term. And nobody seems to want to examine the basic math behind adding $10 per hour to everyone's hourly wage.
So, let's say there's some amount X that is enough for a person to afford housing, food, reasonable transport etc. It's as simple as saying "everyone gets this amount now, rich or poor".
For a rich person, it'll be a drop in the bucket, but for a poor person it could mean the economic freedom to quit a bad job. A few quick points around this:
* inflation. People keep worrying about this. Wages have stagnated since the 70s, and whenever raising minimum wage is mentioned, people say it will cause inflation. My counter-question is, how have we stagnated wages and still have inflation as high as it is now? It kinda feels like inflation isn't a result of growing wages but tied to economic growth in general. If inflation will just happen as part of economic growth, why not cut poor people in on the pie a little bit? (I know why, I'm asking rhetorically)
* welfare. People think we're doing something like this already with welfare, except welfare comes with all kinds of random classist baggage. Should the person get welfare if they, say, try to buy some 'luxury' item that's not strictly needed to live but might give them a small hint of joy in an otherwise tough situation? This version just takes away the restrictions and qualifying conditions by saying everyone just qualifies.
* no one working. Of course people would still work. It's just they wouldn't be forced to do so under pain of homelessness or starvation. Imagine saying "I quit" and still getting your base needs met. What kind of working conditions would people have to give you to keep you wanting to work? What kind of job satisfaction would need to become the norm?
I realize many of these don't apply to many of the people in this forum, but it can make a huge difference in industries like food service, where working conditions and perks are... a bit different from tech.
a) The amount of actual human labor required in the developed world to maintain an acceptable standard of living for everyone in the society is decreasing (with no end in sight),
b) Much of the profit and control of that decreasing cost of providing for the society is concentrating in the hands of a very small number of extraordinarily wealthy people
c) The process you noted:
> The government prints money and gives it away for free, nobody has to work?
... is already how things work, we just dress it up in a byzantine (and expensive!) welfare/social insurance/corporate bailout system and the proliferation of "jobs" that provide no meaningful value to society [0].
If a system could be created that replaces the indirect spending with direct spending, the people who need to be could still be motivated to do the societally valuable jobs (because people want more things still!), and the people who want to do things that are prosocial but not well-remunerated by the capitalist system (arts, education/research, activism/humanitarianism/social work [because there will assuredly still be problems]) will be more able to do so.
The US should have a single land tax and every American should be paid a citizen's dividend out of that. A "UBI" easily emerges from this fair and rational tax system.
Economists across the political spectrum have advocated a single land tax. How we would force politicians to enact it is left as an exercise for the reader.
Like the other commenter said, the concept of a UBI is already practically the reality in countries with strong welfare states where no one technically needs to work. We just disguise it with all this means-testing because as a society we're still devoted to this pro-work capitalist grind mental model of everyone needing to make a buck to justify their existence.
note that what we should instead be doing is pushing for more meaningful work up and down the economy.
Would you give up your job just to spend all day doing nothing, or would you end up doing something productive?
If you had infinite money, would you do nothing?
What do uber rich people do all day? Why do they work?
For the most part they are the "uber rich" precisely because they prioritize earning, saving, and investing much more than average individuals, who for the most part put in just enough effort to fund what they deem an acceptable lifestyle comparable to their peers. If you want to know what UBI would look like for the average person, don't look at the handful of exceptionally successful entrepreneurs—instead, look at lottery winners, ordinary people with ordinary priorities who are suddenly given enough money to guarantee them a basic (or more than basic) income for life. It doesn't usually end well.
> If you had infinite money, would you do nothing?
Not "nothing", no. But I probably wouldn't care much about whether the things I choose to do have any value to other people, since I don't need to worry about whether they'll pay me to do them. Therein lies the core economic problem with eliminating the need to work or otherwise offer something of value (like access to capital) to earn a living: People will do things, sure—but most of what they'll choose to do in the absence of meaningful economic incentives will be unproductive.
I live in the US, and from what I understand you guys have little to no benefits.
But in place where it does exists, similar sums are already being spend between unemployment, rent assistance, affordable healthcare and the likes.
To give you a idea the RSA in France is around 400€ / month. That’s pretty much a given if you do some paperwork )
A transition to UBI would mean to consolidate it to reach higher level.
And make it non conditional.
That’s a shift for sure.
Given the tremendous inflation occurring because of non-universal benefits, UBI pretty well died as a subject. Everything the anti-UBI people have said would happen, is happening. So if it were universal, it would be worse than this.
Trying to discuss UBI is complex because every single attempt at it has failed.
There is a simplistic idea of UBI = $1000/month to every single person. Just start delivering cheques and see what happens? Everyone earns $1000 more and everyone bumps up in the progressive tax and hopefully you tax enough to keep the budget balanced and inflation under control? We know this doesn't work now. MMT is dead as a subject. We must do much more than just free money.
Lets look deeper.
What if we dismantle every single safety net. Welfare goes away, employment insurance, child benefits, old age pensions, indigenous UBI, etc. These all go away. We take those budgets and combine them and disperse equally. In essence what happens is that from a government budget point of view we aren't broke. At exactly the same time we also make a constitutional amendment requiring the government to balance the budget.
What is this exactly? It's a negative income tax that Milton Friedman recommended ages ago.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtpgkX588nM
The amount of inflation is not especially high, it would've been quite normal back in the 1980s (post Volcker, even). That's why the Fed is slow at addressing it. And of course, the global pandemic had much to do with it.
In the latter part of your comment, you're talking about two versions of the same thing. Calling budget constraints 'MMT' does not change how they work.
From a historical point of view sure. The thing about WW1 boomers retiring in the 80s and causing major inflation. Sure it was a huge problem. This time it's the WW2 boomers retiring that will cause major inflation. But that effect hasnt quite kicked in. The inflation stems from benefits and low rates. Which low rates can be just called benefits as well.
> it would've been quite normal back in the 1980s (post Volcker, even). That's why the Fed is slow at addressing it. And of course, the global pandemic had much to do with it.
So here we sit post-benefits. You and I can both agree people who couldn't work because of the pandemic shouldn't be left to starve.
The consequence is extreme inflation, but worse. The USA has entered another recession. Nearby recessions means they are connected and therefore this is a depression. Which we can verify by the high correlation with psychological depression. What do you think, do you find more and more people around you are getting depressed?
>In the latter part of your comment, you're talking about two versions of the same thing. Calling budget constraints 'MMT' does not change how they work.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balanced_budget_amendment
The countries like Germany and Switzerland that have implemented this are brilliant. Though to be fair countries which dont even need the amendment are that much smarter.
It's not a panacea, generally it can make current recipients of means tested transfers well off in exchange for eliminating some problems associated with means tested programs.
Counter question: assuming there's no UBI, and automation eats the world - Amazon Warehouses and delivery are 99% automated, as are Walmart and MacDonalds - nobody can work[1]. Corporations are still paying close to 0% taxes. How exactly is this supposed to work?
Except a few in repairs and automation, and a handful of industries less amenable to robots.
Or something like that :)
Just picking something at random, /r/goldmining hasn't had a story posted in 2 years, yet there is still some activity:
https://old.reddit.com/r/goldmining/comments/
(Doesn’t with with new layout)
This is at best naieve. How can you possibly reduce all of the complexities of a nation's multiple economic wants and needs to that conclusion? This is the problem with the movement, myopic and idealistic notions of being free from work. Universal income basically drives up inflation, if you give everyone a free $10 everything becomes $10 devalued. Money works partly because it is scarce and takes work to accumulate. Other people want to exchange their effort for yours. If there is no effort, there is no value.
Even if the above is not true there are surely numerous other forces at play that don't fit in with your simplistic idealism.
If you think it's the boomers keeping you down, wait until all the YouTube and social media players get into their 40s and see how they feel about giving away their wealth. People are greedy, selfish, family first, and tribal regardless of a generation.
Even if universal basic income was a pipe dream (which I vehemently disagree with, and again point to the examples above as evidence that not needing to work does not lead to societal collapse), I don't see why enabling everyone the freedom to work on whatever they want should not be a goal.
If it were up to me, taxes would be funded via land value tax (commonly referred to as the fairest and most efficient tax since there's no deadweight loss), and the proceeds would be distributed uniformly to the population as a citizen's dividend.
Who evaluates your land value?
Also, if we all do what we want to do who is gonna pick up the garbage, who is going to slaughter cows for your burger that no one wants to flip?
I mean, these are the easy things I can think of.
Additionally any of the welfare states and experiments with UI are with small scale countries who have simpler socio-economic makeups. Try doing what you are prescribing in America where Trump, Bezos, and any number of psycho CEOs and politicians are doing very well for themselves. Not to mention the fundamental myth of America is bootstrap to individual prosperity.
Edit: to expand on "doing what you want", what if what you want to do is build a huge multi national corp and accumulate stinking piles of cash and yachts? What are you going to say to all those folks?
Sounds like a form of communism to me.
I didn’t know there were any countries like this? Would you please link to a few?
In Switzerland, apparently it's possible to work for 2 years, quit your job, then keep something like 60% of your old salary for 2 years until you find your next job. Yet this isn't something that many people actually do.
In Denmark, university students get paid a UBI.
Someone else mentioned taxation. Taxing land value would be the fairest tax and reduce the tax burden on labor, yet none of these countries really do that.
Inflation happens, but the poor benefit much more, as their gains from UBI(as a percentage of their existing income) are more than the loss through inflation.
For rich people, the loss can be more, but this is how inequality is reduced.
That won't be enough. Not just because there are an awful lot of Boomers and post-boomers who can't even go to retirement because they don't have a pension they can live on (which in turn is a problem because all the jobs that the Boomer pensioners occupy can't be done by younger people)... but also because the status quo is not a result of Boomers being Boomers (as group of people born in the decades after WW2), it's a result of how society itself is set up.
In German, we have a saying "wer mit 20 noch kein Kommunist ist, hat kein Herz - und wer es mit 30 immer noch ist, keinen Verstand", roughly translated to "who is not yet a communist by age 20 doesn't have a heart and who still is a communist by age 30, has no common sense".
Basically, society itself has over millennia evolved into acquiring wealth and disbursing that wealth down to one's children (which up to maybe a hundred years ago meant, the male children), and it's no coincidence that age 30 was around the age where young men and women bought their house and "settled down". And once you have that house, your car, your family after a decade of education and another decade of hard work... why would you be incentivized to allow others the same status as you have now, without them having to put in the same work? Why would you risk your freedom, your job, your investment, your assets and go on the streets and riot until the elite comes crashing down like it deserves?
Of course, there are idealists who nevertheless take on that risk, and those who have failed the rat race or got left behind somewhere, but let's be realistic: the numbers alone are an advantage to the elites.
The danger that modern Western capitalist society is now, of course, that it has allowed too many people to fall behind economical progress - which is what fueled the rise of right-wing populism across the US and Europe over the last decades. And I'm afraid that even though it may seem like we have passed over the worst (with Trump and Netanyahu getting booted out of office, BoJo going down in flames, even Italy's right wing being unable to put up a candidate)... I'm afraid that the events of the last six to eight years have only been a tiny warning and we are headed for something much bigger and especially much worse.
The world needs to do a lot of change to hope to tackle the climate crisis... lots of the current standard that us Westerners are used to is simply unsustainable (e.g. always a wide selection of fresh, world-wide sourced produce and meat in the supermarket, cross-continental flights for under a hundred euros) which means that an already disgruntled population will have to cut back, and the population of poor and rising developing countries that sees the Western abundance on Instagram will not be happy to hear that they won't even get the chance of obtaining that wealth level.
Even if one were to not go as far as to support a universal basic income, I don't see why it's not a goal worth striving towards if we can afford it, or at least finding a happy medium. For example I envy that higher education in Europe is free, and in countries like Denmark the government will even pay college students a "basic income" to cover their living expenses (was listening to a podcast the other day where a famous Danish entrepreneur said he used that to help bootstrap his first businesses). Also in countries like Denmark and Germany it's normal for high school graduates to take a year off and travel the world, something extremely rare in the U.S.
UBI for me is the equivalent of VC funding for all. Maybe most won't give much back, but all it takes for 1% building the next innovations for that to be a worthy investment (not that I think the humans should be reduced to profit calculators, and value goes beyond profit)
I've traveled to 43+ countries including living in third world ones. Honestly I don't think life in the west is that much different from the western ones to the point where they're disgruntled at the west or really missing out. Not everyone cares about the rat race and hedonist treadmill.
One might also guess that our generation (you're a year older than me) did not grow up with as much anti-communist propaganda - we were born right after/during the fall of the Soviet/Yugoslav Bloc and there was no need for more.
What we have grown up however is the realization that global problems (especially climate change) are growing ever more dire - and that unlike past global problems like CFC gas or acid rain, politicians not just don't do anything meaningful but actively deny that there is a problem.
I work in ML. Antiwork seems like it takes its understanding of automation’s present capabilities from fiction, imagining that we could automate people’s basic needs today. We can’t. It’s as simple as that. People are working hard (the irony) on advancing the tech, but we can’t do that today.
Not that I disagree with the core point: There are jobs which are both necessary and very unlikely to be automated any time soon.
Reasonable, discourse seeking people left Reddit in droves, the effect being that there's then a distilled concentration of politicized accounts, gen Z, and trolls. A few subreddits buck the trend, but frankly I kind of hate Reddit and hope someone makes a new one for the reasonable masses.
The September that never ends. This has been a problem in the internet since its initial days (in the Usenet for example). The problem with systems like Reddit (less so news.ycombinator) is that the "ethernal september" cultural shift gets amplified by content voting. Given that the masses have equal right to vote content, the "minimum common denominator" is the pattern that arises in the system.
Sites like Slashdot or news.ycombinator try to work around this by giving voting powers to certain "filtered" populations (Slashdot algorithm was actually nice when I read about it). But I feel the current approaches serve to "delay" the inevitable path towards low-effort content, instead of cutting it from the beginning.
The one thing that was nice about usenet is that all comments were equal, so there was no "amplification" of the low-effort content. I think for people to provide higher effort content, there should be some kind of incentive. Social incentives is what StackOverflow or Quora used to have, as well as Slashdot at certain level (you knew you were in a conversation with highly technical individuals). I also think that using real names would help.
I feel like once any community starts growing faster than a certain rate, its core focus inevitably dilutes because there are not enough older members to impress the culture of the community onto newer members.
It feels TBD how stable something like this would be, but feels fundamentally workable. I think you could at the least tune the amount of the UBI until it does become stable; I don't think the only stable value would be $0.
If too many (which with any reasonable near-future level of productive capacity, and any level of UBI, is a lot short of “everyone”) people don't work with fixed nominal or dedicated-revenue-stream-based UBI, inflation erodes the value of UBI decreasing the lifestyle sustainable on UBI alone until enough fewer people opt out of work to stabilize things.
With inflation-indexed UBI you get a positive feedback UBI -> price feedback loop, so don't do UBI that way.
But mostly “what happens if too many people don’t work” is irrelevant to real-world UBI proposals: these tend to target a poverty-level income, replace existing means-tested poverty-support programs, and remove barriers to outside income that come with existing means-tested programs.
As such, they structurally incentivize more people choosing to work than under the status quo system (and a move from under-the-table to above-board work.)
If you learn to hunt, fish, farm and forage, you can sustain yourself. You can move to Alaska or the Canadian wilderness and do so. If you don't like the cold, there is the Amazon.
There are people who live like this.
The problem is: we want modern medicine, TV shows, cellphones, nice clothes, etc.
Living is the fight against entropy. In order to live, you have to put in effort.
It's not acceptable, but it is necessary. People always point to increasing automation and productivity, but they gloss over the fact that those aren't uniform. Most of the economy is only more productive because of other parts of the economy. A trucker today is only more productive because the stuff in their truck is more valuable, not because anything has changed about the job. We need just as many truckers, if not more, now that their 'productivity' us up.
There are tons of jobs no one wants to do, but everyone needs done. What keeps wages in check for those jobs is that 1) they are low skilled and 2) people have to work, so the segment of people that have been unable to make themselves valuable in other ways trickle down into those functions. It's a harsh and shitty reality, but, until we have a big population of people laying around that love scrubbing shit off walls and drowning baby chickens, this is where we're at.
It's wild to me that people don't see this. Literally every utopian uprising has been followed by an immediate famine.
All that being said, uniform supplemental income isn't necessarily bad, but there is definitely a threshold where the harms out-weight the benefits, even for those it is intended to help.
If these jobs truly are necessary, then wages would rise to the point where people would be attracted to do them. If truck driving paid as much as FAANG software engineering, I assure you there'd be no shortage of truck drivers (even if it required grinding a trucker Leetcode).
Higher wages further incentivize automation, or alternative means of coping. Truck driving for example will most definitely be automated within the next decade or two. If chickens became so expensive, then more people would opt for vegetables and subsistence farming (actually I heard it's feasible to have a pet chicken in one's apartment. There's your morning eggs).
This is exactly the problem though. The costs for all of those basic necessities that aren't fun go up relative to everything else. Most of the things poor people rely on fall into this category.
Actually those at the bottom are homeless, and UBI would virtually eliminate involuntary homelessness, so the idea that UBI makes poor people off is ludicrous and divorced from reality.
You're assuming two things that exclude each other. Wages will only rise if some people drop out of the workforce, lowering supply. Those who drop out then don't benefit from the raising wages, and only end up paying increased costs.
The likely result is a kind of bullwhip, where people drop out, prices and wages rise, the value of the UBI diminishes, this forces the people who dropped out right back into the shitty jobs they left a year or two prior, now with the relative prices of many goods jacked up until a new equilibrium is found. Depending on the UBI the new equilibrium may be better for them, it may be worse, but, as of now, some people will be forced to do those shitty jobs.
No amount of Government intervention will prevent low skilled labor from being low paid relative to other goods. Market competition just won't allow it.
All these market conditions for wages don't work with all the policies set in place to depress worker wage increase.
Social networks, in their design, are destined to degrade over time no matter how much technology is used, because it is a refection of the collective corrupt human nature.
I thought Linkedin was an exception until https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30215033
HN is not a social network and hopefully stays that way. The slight degradation you see might be due to COVID, where people flooded online in general. But you can still find great content because its core community and function remain fundamentally the same since inception.
Note: I mainly use HN as a information filter and research tool.
I don't see any problem with where r/antiwork wound up.
Look at what the right wing does tactically to get their message across. They setup forums which are gateway drugs, which offer watered down cryptic messages where they go around joking to "hide their power levels" and shit. If you remember the nazi babytalk subreddits that were all about "frens" you know what I mean.
That is effective outreach of propaganda efforts. They do it because it works.
Leftists had a great, popular tool here with the new r/antiwork which nudged people one very small step in the leftist direction. Leftists should embrace that for it became and the function it was serving. Instead it sounds like you're going to burn it down because it is insufficiently pure.
Even if they're only talking about how and why their boss sucks and they want a new boss, you should focus on the fact that you've created a common place in the public where everyone can start commiserating on how their bosses suck. That's not a zero. It just also isn't the glorious workers revolution I guess so we have to burn it all down.
EDIT: looks like there's been a switch in the mod group and the people currently running the show are actually NOT taking a hard line and are more in line with exactly what I'm talking about:
https://old.reddit.com/r/antiwork/comments/sm4l3z/update_on_...
The linked youtube video in there is pretty short and good as well:
Good. Then it should be acceptable to let people starve. Why feed someone who can't accept that he has to contribute to society?
Imagine if HN could have pro-free market articles in the same volume as submissions like this. Every day there's a submission from Jacobin, The Guardian or something truly partisan (some might say deranged) like this Medium write up. Yet, laissez-faire articles are immediately flagged. The comments fill with drivel about Koch brothers or "the oil companies funded this".
>We need better alternatives to Reddit, or Reddit needs to fix the mess because the post/comment quality there is straight trash there. All the default homepage subreddits are trash.
Yes HN, a site for entrepreneurs. A site for people who like to build stuff, ideally profitable things which can sustain them. A site with only one homepage for both people who would like to build. HN, a site not just for visionaries and entrepreneurs, but also those who demand that work is slavery?
When I say 'not just for', I should clarify. The site's editorial position is to promote these communist diatribes and shadow ban mises.org.
>...everyone must effectively sell their labor to someone else (unless they're rich enough to opt out, or clever enough to create some business or invest their way out).
I've looked for years but nothing's popped up. Everytime I saw a lead it had other issues either with population, or cultural problems which would make it even worse than reddit.
I don't even want a true reddit alternative per se either. Just a subspace where I could talk about games and anime and not feel like I'm walking on landmines just because some people see a one-off potentially offensive scene and think suddenly that games/anime are the source of all problems.
>All the default homepage subreddits are trash
FWIW, defaults aren't a thing anymore. It still is in spirit because the design of reddit means the old defaults still have the most subscribers. But new users aren't instantly being thrown into gifs/videos/earthporn/etc.
Represents the "movement", or represents the sub? They obviously still represented the sub - they were there when it got created, were a moderator, were picked by other moderators to be a representative of the subreddit in media events (which is conflated with the nebulous concept of "the movement")
The issue here is that the "movement" may not be represented by Doreen, but there may not even be a movement outside of the sub, and they do represent the sub. A lot of people treat "the movement" and "the sub" as basically being equivalent. They may actually be equivalent. If the sub shut down, there isn't really any guarantee that the same kind of antiwork internet discourse would be as loud, focused and frequent as it is right at this moment.
Does it represent a movement, or a TV channel?
If it's a movement, by what process was it elected?
Point being I doubt anyone at Fox was unhappy with how the Doreen interview turned out.
Did they ask to interview anyone else from the sub?
All this really does is highlight the difference between online opinionation - always easy - and effective activism. The latter is much harder and absolutely needs informed - ideally effective and professional - handling of public presentation and messaging.
That sounds like a ton of work.
It's one of the issues with subreddits as they get larger. Low effort "look how great I am for standing up to my boss" posts win the day.
Yeah, and what else could you expect from Jessie Waters? He's a smug propagandist, and people like Doreen Ford are perfect for his message. It's pretty stupid to cooperate with him unless you 1) agree with him, or 2) have good reason to believe you're up to effectively representing yourself to a hostile audience through a sleazy host, all of whom are more interested in mocking you than listening to you. And frankly, if they ask you for an interview, it that's probably good reason to believe #2 is false.
The broader social epistemic question of "what makes someone a representative?" or "How do people gain the social status: representative?" is the most interesting part of this. Reddit itself plays a role in the construction of representative status by visually framing mods in the sidebar under the subreddit rules section leading people to mentally label both as the rules and rule-makers of the space. There are examples of mods in other subreddits also being representatives, making it natural to apply that syllogistically and generally to all Reddit communities.
If a mod created the sub, and actively participates, but is disavowed as a representative, are they still a representative? Would this have changed if the interview had gone well? How does representation work when communities disagree? Antiwork members don't see Doreen as a representative, but individuals outside of antiwork do. Does that make her a representative or not? It's fascinating that what is obvious to one person is a tremendous number of questions to another.
by reddit's rules, yes. You have to be fundamentally destroying a decently large and active sub before the admins step in and kick out a mod. But the number of times this has happened in 15 years can be counted on one hand.
Otherwise, admins don't care about what mods do with their subs. seniority first, most senior mods ultimately has the power to kick out everyone else and ban every user if they wish. And that's why these kinds of "movements" are doomed to fail under reddit's structure.
The phenomenon of a movement's founders going on to reject what the movement has become (or maybe has always been) is pretty common. If I take the article's claims at face value, this is just the inverse of that. The movement became something that rejected its founder.
As someone completely detached and not a part of this “antiwork” movement in any way, your post reads to me like someone who joined the community in its later stages and are bristling at what you think is a takedown that is trying to misrepresent your “totally normal, reasonable views of advocating for better working conditions”. And maybe the replacement of anarcho-communists with people advocating better working condition is a good thing! The tragedy is that the current, moderate ideals are mismatched with the original, extremist group name and ideals. Thus the need for “sane-washing” like so—
New member: “Actually anti-work isn’t about not working, it’s really about improving working conditions.”
Original anti-work founder: “No we literally are anti-work and want to abolish work.”
New member: “Nooooo you don’t represent us!!”
Like that is the exact process described. Same dynamic if you s/antiwork/abolish the police/
whenever i have cake, i tend to eat it also?
EDIT:
Let me make it more clear, as English may not be your first language, if you're asking this question in truth (I sometimes miss sarcasm online, sorry).
Cakes can be beautiful things which people (of a certain time period, especially) wanted to show off as a sign of their wealth, as refined sugar was expensive. Once it was eaten, you could no longer display such wasteful extravagance.
It's a forum where everyone was typing in English, so my first assumption was that English was your fist language. I didn't say anything about American. And I tried to fix my mistake =/
You can either eat your cake or have your cake. You cannot eat your cake, and then also have it too.
More on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/You_can%27t_have_your_cake_and...
The author has a very clear agenda here, and while they're welcome to construct a case for that view, they've left out inconvenient details while attempting to appear neutral.
The core issue is that the subreddit already had an agreement that no one would attempt to represent the movement or do interviews. The forethought there was that a reddit mod (or similar) are unlikely to be sufficiently prepared to act as a spokesperson for a politically sensitive movement. Doreen's actions were entirely self-serving and the subreddit was absolutely right to make a stand, especially as Doreen did not represent the community or its views - as given by the enormous backlash.
It's deeply disingenuous to suggest that the work reform principles of the subreddit are moot because a mod started the original subreddit as a protest against work.
This point might stand better using a word other than "principle," from principium (beginning), from princeps (initiator).
On Reddit, r/AskHistorians has a good approach. The blogging model (as revived by Substack) also seems to work.
These are explicitly non-democratic. AskHistorians gives historians higher status. A blog is about whatever the blog author wants it to be about.
Hacker News has good moderation but it's a lot more anti-tech than it used to be and that's a reflection of the broader culture. If they really wanted to resist that then it would require stronger moderation at the expense of growth.
That's the very force of the reddit hivemind. I have no interest in /r/antiwork nor their ideologies, but they kept popping up on /r/all, so they get a constant influx of people aligned with the reddit mean opinion, which in turn changes the original community.
As long as the popularity of a subreddit is below a certain threshold, it gets to foster specific discussions on whatever fringe ideology you are interested in, but it never stays that way for long.
It can stay that way, but it's a hard decision to untick these boxes: https://i.imgur.com/E2G9SUh.png
Too early and the sub dies, too late, and you'll wish it died.
https://old.reddit.com/r/changelog/comments/2a32sq/experimen...
Apparently, there were some subreddits that got bombarded with unwanted comments which prompted the new feature.
It's located on a page that you only visit once to set up the subreddit, or to make large subreddit changes. (On old reddit, not sure about new reddit)
To Reddit's credit, they have been adding new features over the years to help separate communities and ensure they are somewhat able to maintain their culture.
E.g. Crowd Control which limits the posting / commenting abilities of individual users based on their history or other heuristics.
Aren't you of the opinion this could be misused?
If admins wanted to disappear a viewpoint, it would be a lot easier to just autosuspend the accounts, or shadowban without a trace.
The /r/popular and /r/all pages are intensively manipulated by a constellation of leftist activists. Have you ever noticed just how often the same "screenshots of tweets" submissions from people like AOC end up being reposted ad nauseum across several subreddits that basically share the same message - and most importantly - moderators and power users?
However, you are onto something.
Almost every single post on r/MurderedByAOC is made by u/LrlOurPresident, and those posts hit the front page on a nearly daily basis.
Do you see the same content when browsing in an incognito window?
I ask because I've long suspected Reddit tracks even logged out users, and generates a front page showing them more of things that keep them on the site.
Obviously the site itself leans left.
If the NFL craps astroturfing all over the online sports community that still constitutes manipulation even if the occupants of the sites in question were marginally more predisposed to those ideas than the general population. What the mainstream left does to Reddit with their astroturfing is no different.
I'm not sure Asia, Africa, and the Middle East are hugely fond of progressive politics.
No, by definition, it does not lean in any direction on the political compass.
> at least compared with the US Left/Right divide
More precisely, the overton window of the US goes from center to the far right.
There's a difference between a large amount of users who lean left making posts and comments that align with their views and what looks to be an obviously coordinated effort from a few dozen powermods and powerusers who seem to work 365 days a year to shape the content and discourse of the site through what appears on the frontpage and in the default subreddits.
It's well known that SRS engaged in brigading, but they'll never be held to the same standard as those with ideologies that are less sympathetic.
Don't you think those Redditors are a bit too often bit too dumb to argue with? They ARE! 9/10ths are corporate shills and half of them are bots and the rest are complete boneheads, yeah yeah I agree wholeheartedly. Why not relieve yourself of duties and use that extra time to morally ascend yourself a bit? Watch them run into walls and cry from couple miles away. MSMs are gonna cover them, you won't be missing single bit of it.
Just quit. Click "logout". Going back is as easy as buying a pack of cigarettes and lighting it.
That's what I like about 4chan. In a sea of ungodly acidic garbage lies a golden heart of contrarianism. The posters will argue for a side one day, and 2 hours later will vehemently adopt opposite arguments. Some of the best leftist arguments I have ever read came from /pol/.
4chan argues for the sake of arguing, and I think that is absolutely beautiful in today's environment of everyone taking everything so seriously.
The result is that only stuff that the majority of users allow will get displayed.
I think bigger problem is poor moderation. Most of the mods are driven by some agenda and even propaganda.
Instead of focusing on quality, they focus on how their subreddit content can be aligned to their agenda.
Any user who doesn't comply, gets banned. Since roughly only 1% user actively engage in a subreddit, update macha end with Eco chamber.
HN is no different. Anyone can come here and make any argument.
I'm sorry, what exactly makes the current wars neoliberal?
I can't make the connection you make. When people were protesting against the Iraq War, they were told that they didn't believe in anything. I don't understand personal tragedy as an argument against 4chan; everybody you know is going to die eventually, and virtually everybody you're speaking to has known two people who died prematurely and preventably. I, in particular, don't understand people who traveled to kill instead being killed as an argument against humor.
The idea that a 4chan that didn't exist created Judith Miller is bizarre.
When the internet media and regular media merged one of two things had to happen. Either expose how much of a performance act the old school media was from jump street. Or make the idea of believing everything online at first pass a reasonable position to have.
Q anon grew and continues to exist precisely because it is in the best interests of "respectable" media outlets to not teach media literacy to their consumers.
My null hypothesis is that there are some really loud people on the internet who like to talk loudly about their unpopular ideas. And they're unaware of how deeply unpopular those ideas are until their little corner of the internet suddenly gets mainstream public attention.
I'm seeing this happen now, with r/streamentry.
Maybe there's something about Reddit's algorithm and mechanics that predisposes it to low effort neutered meme content. After all, the default Reddit homepage subreddits are all trash (by the way this isn't unique to Reddit, same goes for say Youtube).
This is why we need platforms where users actually own their data, and can customize their own algorithms and UIs (ie. what web3 hopes to solve).
Simply by exposing conversations to the greater mob. No fascist master plan required.
It's like removing the fence from around a garden.
Like AntiWork, It seems to have been started by those who genuinely wanted to abolish the police. But as time went on people joined who instead wanted to reform the police by dramatically cutting back what they were meant to respond to. But the slogan stayed, and was very misleading and puzzling to most people.
I have a hard time figuring out whether:
1) all the people who are saying "no we don't really mean defund the police" are just the moderate elements battling it out with the extreme elements (eg. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/12/opinion/sunday/floyd-abol...)
2) most of them actually want the police to be abolished, but they're doing a motte and bailey[1] whenever they're confronted.
We spend a whole lot on policing compared to most other developed nations, and we're not getting terrific outcomes either on civil liberties or crime rates. It might be time to take a different approach where we spend a lot less on direct policing, and redeploy a lot of those resources to fight crime in other ways.
The developed countries that spend more or similar amounts tend to do it by spending on more highly trained officers than we do.
On the other hand, maybe we're just so socioculturally fucked that it requires massive authoritarian investment to keep a crummy level of peace. I'm undecided.
making defense and police funding continue to increase but at a slightly slower rate is referred to by opponents as "defunding"
This statement disturbs me. Please clarify.
- The money is poorly spent, and better (perhaps less) spending would obtain better outcomes
- Because of other factors, we're doing approximately as well as we can: if we deployed resources away from the authoritarian, heavy-handed mechanisms, we'd have even more crimes and bad outcomes.
I think the former is more likely, but I can't entirely exclude the latter.
I think people both understate how splintered the US society really is, and overstate the importance of this divide.
Imagine a country with a HUGE historical and current influx of immigrants that bring tons of different cultures and ideologies into the mix. The country has traditionally been hard to govern, especially at the federal level, precisely because it encourages freedom of thought and expression through both law and immigration policy. Its economic structure further encourages division by being one of the most meritocratic systems on the planet, where material gains for good decisions are quite the norm, but where the divide between the haves and have nots is always growing, and always on display.
In a country I describe, why is it any surprise to anyone that criminal behavior will be more common than in a more cohesive environment, therefore necessitating a more strict policing approach? And in what world does it make sense to reduce police powers in such a country without suffering the obvious increase in crime that will follow that?
It's not that US is fundamentally broken or fucked up, it's just a very different place compared to the "liberal utopias" of Northern Europe, so often cited by leftist activists in the states.
- is splintered
- is divided
- is hard to govern
- has an economic structure that encourages division
- has an increasing dive between the haves and have nots
Or they can move to a country that is already more in line with what they want out of society.
Relying on the police to prevent crime is like relying on firefighters to prevent fires or paramedics to prevent injuries. Sure they have a role to play, but logically they should only be the last resort in case everything else goes wrong.
I would likewise think that anyone who wanted to "defund NASA" had the intention of getting rid of the agency, rather than a more nuanced position of "we should stop funding SLS so that we can reallocate the money on high school STEM outreach and climate satellites."
You fund something when it has too little money.
You defund something when it has too much money.
If you wanted to abolish or eliminate something you would use those words, not defund.
As a thought experiment, I'm going to conjure a slogan: "Defund the Humane Society".
What is the first thing that comes to mind? I expect most people would think "you want to get rid of the animal shelter?" And I would reply, "no what I actually want is to re-allocate money from the euthanasia program so that we can have increased adoption rates and make this a no-kill shelter."
Putting aside the vernacular implications of "defund", my slogan is totally ineffective at actually capturing what I am trying to accomplish. And, it has the added downside of giving people a terrible and inaccurate first impression.
I think there’s an assumption that crime is random and that people randomly commit them. In that case it doesn’t matter if you arrest because what’s the point, it’s random.
But people usually commit crimes intentionally. And they commit multiple crimes.
Fire is different than crime in that it’s not conscious.
I don’t think police are alone in preventing crime but they aren’t a last resort. I also think we spend too much on police. And we spend on the wrong things. I want to reform the police to make them more effective.
Gaslighting is very mainstream and seems so commonplace in even banal, insubstantial things like debating whether “defund police” means to remove funding from the police or something else.
If someone advocates for more funding for social workers and mental health care, they can just say so. That funding doesn't necessarily need to come from police budgets.
If someone advocates to "defund Planned Parenthood", they would be disappointed with a mere reduction in funding.
That slogan was straight up political malpractice. If you have to explain your position, then you're already losing.
Something like "government accountability" or "serve the people" probably could have gotten wider support than "defund the police."
https://www.propublica.org/article/medicare-for-all-is-not-m...
Or "Make American Great Again" or "Build Back Better". Any slogan can be questioned. IMO, "Defund the Police" is almost the most straightforward political slogan I can think of and if you Google it, near the top result is a website explaining exactly what it means.
The problem with a lot of people who were questioning "Defund the Police" in my experience is that they would go to BLM protests but then be much more moderate and not actually interested in what the protests meant or what defunding the police actually means; the slogan wasn't unclear, it was wanting to look like you cared but not actually doing the work to convince yourself or learn more.
I think this is a really good example of an effective slogan, both in Reagan's initial use and later Trump's. It has some really critical properties: it's easy to comprehend, while also nimble enough to fit anyone's notions, and you can't argue against it directly.
If you have to direct people to "Google it," then your slogan is a non-starter. I'm not a marketing expert (hence the rather dry alternatives), but I am aware of how wildly effective conservative-leaning messaging is compared to the often off-putting (even if well-intentioned) liberal-messaging on the other side. So then, why not use the same tactics? Government accountability is a good thing, and you really can't argue against it. If it makes sense to demand a lot of accountability at a high standard from teachers (and teacher unions), then the very same demands should be put on police (and police unions). Use the same exact messaging.
"Defund the Police" had a specific meaning which was to actually defund the police but, as with any actual implementation, when you get to the specifics people have a lot of different views and opinions. I don't think you combat that by making a better slogan, I think you just deal with it. The handwringing over what "Defund the Police" means was a huge distraction IMO and mostly bad actors who disagreed with the premise fundamentally and weren't looking for real ways to implement policies.
> If it makes sense to demand a lot of accountability at a high standard from teachers (and teacher unions), then the very same demands should be put on police (and police unions). Use the same exact messaging.
Okay, what's the exact, unquestionable slogan you would use here? Good luck.
I absolutely agree with you here, and this is the point I'm trying to emphasize. Slogans have to be aspirational and adaptable and unassailable. "MAGA" is all three. "Defund the police" is really only aspirational and sort-of-adaptable. Its weakness is that it's easy to oppose it and look like you have the moral high ground (i.e., being a crime-fighter). You can't attack "MAGA" directly without sounding like you hate America. That's the brilliance of it.
>"Defund the Police" had a specific meaning which was to actually defund the police but, as with any actual implementation, when you get to the specifics people have a lot of different views and opinions. I don't think you combat that by making a better slogan, I think you just deal with it. The handwringing over what "Defund the Police" means was a huge distraction IMO and mostly bad actors who disagreed with the premise fundamentally and weren't looking for real ways to implement policies.
This is where we disagree. The policy specifics don't matter. Not at the slogan/rallying level. "Defund the police" has a pretty clear policy roadmap, even if it could take on varying shades. "MAGA" is completely devoid of policy, and that's what makes it such a strong talking point. Anyone can attach whatever aspiration they want to it without getting mired up in boring details. This results in widespread acceptance.
>Okay, what's the exact, unquestionable slogan you would use here? Good luck.
I never claimed to have the correct answer here. All I'm doing is pointing out how horrifically bad "defund the police" is and offering field-tested examples of slogans that are so much better at inspiring action, for better or worse (e.g., MAGA). Something closer to a jazzed-up version of "government accountability" or "police competence" would have all the desirable properties of "MAGA" that I've described: aspirational and adaptable and unassailable. "Defund the police" ain't it.
And anyways, again, I highly disagree that any slogan is unassailable. A lot of people still attacked "MAGA" so where is the line that you measure "unassailablity"? I could say to someone against "Defund the Police" that you hate Black people but there just isn't widespread support for that opinion like there is with being anti american. "Defund the Police" is a compromise slogan, "Abolish the Police" is the more radical version and arguably even clearer and less assailable but again mainstream US culture just doesn't want to face that reality.
Also, adaptable slogans are great for campaigns (where you probably don't want to assign policy specifics) and conservatives (who largely agree on everything already) but not for positions that are supposed to end up with policy changes. What adaptable slogan is there for leftist movement that's asking specifically to tackle the issue of police violence? The problem with adaptable slogans is they become compromised or co-opted. "Black Lives Matter" became a the conservative rally "All Lives Matter" and "Blue Lives Matter". Can this be avoided on the left by a more adaptable slogan? I doubt it.
So, okay maybe there's some slightly better slogan than "Defund the Police" but at the end of the day it's not the slogan that's the issue, it's liberals that don't actually agree with the basic idea but want to pretend they're still pro-left or whatever.
Edit: to complete the thought, all of this is to say, all the disagreement with the slogan is overall to a bad faith, pointless end. If the media and liberals and whoever are spending a bunch of time arguing about the slogan, it's time that could have been spent discussing and negotiating policy specifics. But liberals and mainstream media didn't want to do that. So we ended up with a lot of arguing about a slogan and not much actual policy and the police won.
> If there's footage of police killing unarmed people in their homes or in broad daylight, then we should absolutely demand more competence and professionalism from them
This happened so much. Did you see all the videos of police violence during BLM and before and after? I don't think the problem is the slogan.
It was just adopted by a bunch of people that didn't actually agree with it, which is why it doesn't make sense.
And it wasn't a misinterpretation because the movement literally tried to entirely defund several major police departments.
Who do you mean when you say "the movement"?
Defund the police means defunding the police. Over half of all city taxes go to funding the police forces, who do little to no good for the community with the money they're given. Buying more tanks and assault weapons and fancy cars and employing people who live in big macmansions in the suburbs isn't helping us.
Concervatives act like the word "defund" means the same as "abolish" when talking about the police, but then are happy to talk about defunding education, or defunding planned parenthood, or defunding medicare, defunding social security, defunding sanctuary cities, etc fully expecting their base to understand that they don't mean "abolish".
They want to abolish sanctuary cities, abolish planned parenthood, abolish medicare, abolish social security and abolish state-run education standards.
Moderates don't want to abolish most of those things, but hardcore conservatives completely do.
Another facet of the same view is that the police are assumed to be inherently so far gone and corrupt that reform is not possible, and to assume that it is is futile.
"Defund the police!"
"Do you mean 'defund the police'?"
"Of course not!"
The budget moved to mental health & rehab would be handled under a different agency than the police, which is something that is constantly argued over. Many opponents of defund the police agree with the overall budget reallocation, but they believe the budget should not change agencies.
What opponents need to understand about the movement is that police would have less to do, as many emergency calls would be handled by actual professionals. So if they still need their mini tanks, assault weapons, and SWAT gear, they can still make a case based on their newly lightened responsibilities.
The amount of funding a police department has is determined at the beginning of the fiscal year and by how much was spent by the previous year, including any shortfalls or excesses in budgetary spending. City councils and Mayors/DA's are always looking to trim the police budget (believe it or not), so a lot of the time, the department will take any excess budget they have at the end of the year and spend it on military auction items (a whole other mess), in order to keep their budget and show that they've been able to stretch their budget as far as they can and get the most value for their dollar (I read a very good article about it like 2 years ago, or so and can't find it). But departments do this so they don't lose their future budgets, "just in case" they need to hire future officers, need more "real" equipment, etc. etc.
This has lead to the increase in militarization of the police and the militarization of the tactics of the police as military personnel are already familiar with the equipment. There has been no same said impetus to increase nonviolent intervention tactics on an ever increasingly divisive nation, who's "news" cycle and social networks actively work to stoke division and tension as it feeds interaction, which provides more eyes on advertisement (sorry, I went down a rabbithole in the end, there).
It would be better, well it would be a start, to have quarterly budget reviews and performance reviews tied to the needs of the community and training. But, we all know that isn't how politics works =(
…to you. Not everyone agrees and the simple fact that this discussion is taking place and you are defending this slogan would seem to render this purported clarity moot.
I think some radicals wanted to remove all funding, and radicals on the other side latched onto that and spread that as if it were the truth.
Defund the police has mostly been about reallocating budgets between agencies. There are, however, a few specific branches of police that protestors have want shut down, but not to remove policing entirely.
Specifically, the perspective I'm bothered by, is that of being pro-police intervention when it's for a cause you don't support, but calling to defund the police when they're disrupting a protest you _do_ support.
Edit: The analogue on the right (but not as clean I guess) would be the attempt to reframe the Jan 6 protests after that utter "embarrassment." They wanted to overturn the election but now the right is spinning hard to reframe the rhetoric. Basically your radicals work hard building a groundswell and excitement around some idea, eventually embarrass themselves, and you have to do damage control. That's modern day national politics.
What? It always meant lower police funding. If it meant abolish the police, the slogan would have been abolish the police
The police abolition movement coined the slogan.
A subreddit getting co-opted by the masses to change its intentions is a story as old as reddit. See my username for how I know that to be true.
Hopefully more subreddits will wake up and realize that being included in high activity feeds (r/all, popular) is not necessarily a good thing. We have.
> Speaking of unflattering stereotypes, let’s be blunt for a moment: Most of what you read on the internet is written by insane people.
I wholeheartedly agree with this.
I think r/wallstreetbets is still a fantastic place and more or less true to its purpose of finding interesting and novel trades.
Much of the discussion has expanded, to discord (600K users, the limit) as well as the daily reddit talks (Think clubhouse but for reddit).
The daily thread is still fantastic for a very quick list of interesting topics, which you can jump into and have a conversation with anyone.
There still remains a decent sense of camraderie, but there are definitely fewer recognizable names amongst the volume of comments. More time being invested into handing out unique flairs will help with this
Weekday meme restrictions over the past week has largely undone all the damage to the main feed and brought back a larger array of high quality discussion.
Predictions add an interesting dimension to the subreddit where all users can participate regardless of personal wealth.
---
So overall, I'd say it's going very well. There seems to be a significant amount of misconceptions both in the general population, as well as even our regular users, but as long as we continue to do the right thing and protect discussion quality, people will slowly but surely see the light.
Just not the same anymore.
It is very unlikely (I hope) that this environment will happen again.
Nonetheless, can you express exactly what it is that "just [isn't] the same anymore"?
That culture shift extends well beyond WSB, but I think its at least somewhat less obvious here. In my experience, most of the time when people throw out price targets, at most they're predicting a 20%, 25% move, and not the 10x, 100x, or 10,000x you see elsewhere.
I don't think there's really a way, from a moderation perspective at least, to take the dreamers out of the equation... other then waiting and letting them get blown up by their high risk plays.
And just a note, r/wallstreetbets hasn't allowed penny stocks, crypto, or NFTs for many years. (NFTs never)
I find this interesting because to me one of the biggest attractions to Reddit (and HN for that matter) is how deemphasized the user is. I almost never read usernames and rarely remember who anyone is.
For example, in the voice chats, its great when users follow up with one another on their trades, or know each other's specialties so they can call them to provide insight.
On the other hand, deemphasizing the user makes it more about the content and less about the person creating that content, which at best avoids bandwagoning and the whole "I called $foo, so listen to me when I say buy $bar".
You confront authentic (troubled) person doing what she wants with another human so meticulously styled, plucked, tanned and dressed at corporate expense, walking at extremely shot leash with every one of his words tightly controlled, with all the scripted emotions. He looks as if he was a voice box made of plastic.
With this contrast you see how bad the work is, even if antiwork is not perfect either at the moment.
You usually watch news as if it was normal. You look at news anchors as if they were people, not corporate half-robots. Only such contrast gives you a chance to see them for what they are.
I haven't been able to watch the news in about 20 years. Pro wrestlers are more sincere than most news anchors
We had something of that world. Firing Line was on air for thirty years, and many other countries had or have comparable programmes.
It's been a long de-evolution, not a radical destruction. Every innovation in media communication was that little bit faster, that little bit more palatable, but it's a one-way street, and hard to reverse.
My mother (born 1951) can't enjoy any film made after 2000, they're too frantic and they stress her. My ex-girlfriend (born 1996) couldn't enjoy any film made before 1990, they were too slow and they bored her to sleep. I have to put effort into reading books rather than relatively short essays nowadays.
I don't think there can be an implosion, at this point. We need a future generation, sometime after Z, that will grow up thinking that ten-second TikTok videos are the peak of uncool and something only old stodgy zoomers can enjoy.
I've dated someone like that too and it only came out during an argument when I started writing down what she literally was saying and she finally said that her choices of words were how she felt in the moment, not descriptions of reality even if they seemed like that to me, the listener of what she was saying.
This has made my life so much better. When I hear something someone says to me now I have an extra filter to run it through. It's no longer a choice just between the person being dishonest about the facts or being unintentionally wrong about the facts. They could mean it in a different way.
I still think their way is wrong, but now I can deal with it in a practical sense, like waiting for someone to calm down or calling out intellectual dishonesty.
I'm with you, but to me, this is just operationalized dishonesty, assuming it's not a significant cognitive deficit relative to those who are capable of engaging with reality. The solution I landed on was to avoid assuming adult levels of cognition until someone proves they have it. It's much less common than you'd think, especially if you have a foot in many different social circles.
I will say that your gf example touches on something related but importantly different, in my experience. The women I've dated generally met the bar I'm describing as "adult level cognition" (naturally, as that feeds into our compatibility). But they universally, by their own description, react to even mild conflict by getting emotional and irrational.
I see this as a related phenomenon, but not the same. Loss of rationality in specific emotional circumstances is completely understandable, just as I can lose sensitivity to other's feelings in those moments. The solution we've landed on there is the same as yours: she can press a proverbial button that causes us to table the discussion until she calms down enough to think clearly. It takes a lot of trust on both sides to do this, but it's extremely effective.
To me, people subject to these moments of impairment are importantly different from the people who don't even seem to have a mental model of what intellectual honesty looks like. I often wonder if the latter are even capable of it, in any meaningful sense.
So with that proviso, all I will say in response is that I think it would be helpful to consider the opposing view point:
If the goal is to elicit an emotional or political response that one desires through one's actions, why should perfect, literal truth be in the way of achieving those goals?
My answer to that is that it destroys good faith and good faith is never worth sacrificing. Never. I literally can't think of one instance where mutual understanding exists and I would consider sacrificing good faith. So for me that's what the kettle of fish boils down to, and quite frankly it's one of the main reasons I'm happy I no longer date the person I mentioned above, even if she was otherwise wonderful and my ticket into many fancy parties.
I'd rather have someone honest.
I didn't see this as implying anything about their character or intelligence other than the fact that they weren't perfect. It felt like exactly the same thing as the lapses of compassion that I tend towards when arguing, where the focus on truth makes me choose my words less carefully and casually say hurtful things (this was also something we worked on together in those relationships).
This is in stark contrast to the people for whom dishonesty is core to their being, who literally can't comprehend the level of honesty you and I expect from (and deliver to) those we're close with. It sounds like you're saying that your experience with that gf was closer to that than she was to the good-faith-but-imperfect type of person I was referring to. In that case, good call.
This is what happened to antiwork. They couldn't disseminate existing ideas and absorb the influx of new culture fast enough, so their culture became the incoming culture, which was approximately that of reddit.
But does that give the current de-facto state religion -- cradle-to-grave workaholism (wildly out of proportion to the amount of work we actually need to do to sustain ourselves) -- a pass?
Why is the promotion one position an instance of 'sanewashing', while the normalization of other (no less insane in my view) position is just -- "the way it is"?
The entire piece is about optics, and doesn't take any position. In fact, the only time the piece departs from its neutral tone is to decry the latecomers accused of sanewashing the space and pushing its original community to its periphery. This is sympathetic to the radicals, albeit incidentally.
You've also misunderstood what sanewashing is. Sanewashing is with reference to the mainstream, not some supposed absolute moral truth. It describes the transformation of a radical viewpoint into one that's palatable to the mainstream. It makes no claim about the moral truth of the radical view.
If what the r/antiwork community attempting to do in promoting their position an instance of an (attempted) "transformation of a radical viewpoint into one that's palatable to the mainstream" ...
Then is not the normalization of an unhealthy addiction to overwork (as a kind of "virtue") -- arguably an instance of a successful transformation of a pretty much equally radical viewpoint?
In other words: "If theirs is a 'radical' viewpoint -- how did this shit we actually live under (and which is slowly killing us and the planet with it) get to become a 'normal, sane' viewpoint"?
I again think this is misunderstanding the point. The "transformation" we're talking about is one that betrays the initial goal. It didn't become palatable by convincing the mainstream, it did so by _changing its goal_ to something the mainstream already agreed with, contradicting the core beliefs of the original cause and community.
> "If theirs is a 'radical' viewpoint -- how did this shit we actually live under (and which is slowly killing us and the planet with it) get to become a 'normal, sane' viewpoint"
Apologies, but I really do feel like you're misunderstanding both the article and my response. Your comment is full of claims that something that everybody believes is radical, while the whole framing of the article is defining radical as "things that few people currently believe" and mainstream as "things that many people currently believe".
Your comment asked:
> "Why is the promotion one position an instance of 'sanewashing', while the normalization of other (no less insane in my view) position is just -- "the way it is"?
and the simple, clear answer is that "sane" and "radical" are being used throughout the article in the sense of "popular" and "unpopular".
I'm quite familiar with the author, having interacted with him many times on a couple of small, related message boards for many years. I can guarantee you that he holds and can eloquently defend many views which would be considered radical. _That just has nothing to do with this particular article_, which is about the dynamics of how popular views wash out unpopular ones.
Hence the view that the current workaholic "normal" as a radical departure from the social contract which preceded it.
And that it's worth asking how, exactly, this came to pass -- and in effect become the "new normal", before most people were aware this shift had happened.
As someone who is sympathetic to anarchist positions while being temperamentally a reformist I can see the merit in both positions. But if I held the radical one and saw its slogans appropriated just as it had begun to get traction I'd be cross too, I think.
It's not really a "religion" though. People aren't working "wildly out of proportion to the amount of work we actually need to do to sustain ourselves" so they end up in Valhalla or whatever. They're doing it because they want to be able to buy goods/services with that money, or for the FIRE crowd, doing it so they can stop working a decade or two later.
So, gentrifiers are generally made out of straw is the take-away?
likewise, "no one wants to mine coal" me, I do, I wanna do that, I wanna work out the refining process, I want to lathe 1000 of the same thing. Not every personality is what the author can come up with in his head, other kinds of people exist too
- - -
Moderators are meant to keep their subreddits on track, the moderators found it benificial to themselves to not do so, for number-go-up reasons, at that point, the moderators' views no longer represent the community's views, this is decided by the moderators' actions or rather intentional inaction
You may want to, but the kind of people who talk in online discussions about "What will your job be after the revolution" overwhelmingly do not.
In Capitalism, you raise pay until there is incentive to do the work.
In a communist command economy, some authority decides if more coal miners are needed and takes from some people to gives to coal workers until there are enough workers.
In a cashless anarchists society, I guess you hope that someone invents something to improve conditions?
I guess the Annaco-communist answer would be the latter.
If a group has to choose between an idealized echo chamber of non-action and a washed-out version of the same thing but with real change in peoples' lives, I would take the latter.
Of course, having a position does not make a plan tenable.
There is a pretty stark lack of well paying jobs that require low skill and are enjoyable.
I guess what I'm saying is that employment seems increasingly precarious to me. Not everyone has the luxury of moving between jobs easily, and even those who are stuck in stable but abused positions aren't necessarily clearly better off in some ways.
Add this to the writings about bullshit jobs, and the great resignation, and it feels like something is off about modern human resources, or management, or hiring, or employment, or something. I've never really identified with antiwork — it seems misguided to me — but I do think, like a lot of things, there's probably some kernel of accuracy behind its motivations. I think this is maybe what the article is tapping into, albeit maybe inaccurately itself.
If the mods of antiwork wanted to have a sub for anarchism they could have, should have, and still can forcefully define the rules. Ban people, posts, and content that don't fit their anarchist goals.
...but if the mods of antiwork want to have a wildly popular sub, they can't do that. The mods made their choice, and they chose popularity over ideology. To call that a "tragedy", "sanewashing", or "social gentrification" is pretty disingenuous and revisionist.
However, it's not too late. If the mods really truly want an anarchist sub they can go ahead and start enforcing content rules. Today. Right now. The sub will slowly die away, but they can have the community they want.
Guy went on Fox news (against the communities) wishes and made millions of people's first impression of r/AntiWork to be negative.
In the modern world optics are EVERYTHING and that cannot be understated. Imho the first thing they need to change (which they have with their move to the new subreddit) is renaming it from r/AntiWork to r/WorkReform.
Most of the sub (I'd wager >80%) are Americans asking for workers rights that are the norm in western Europe. Things like paid maternal/paternal leave, greater work life balance and paid overtime, flexibly working and WFH.
The majority of people in America are almost certainly in favour of that, but you get a dog walker going on TV on a notoriously provocative network talking about "anti-work" it's just mind boggling.
That was the biggest thing in my opinion. AntiWork was too open to the type of people who don't care about workers' rights and were just there because they think the world owes them a living. NEETs are horrible for the cause of labor reform.
> In the modern world optics are EVERYTHING and that cannot be understated. Imho the first thing they need to change (which they have with their move to the new subreddit) is renaming it from r/AntiWork to r/WorkReform.
/r/WorkReform exists already.
> Most of the sub (I'd wager >80%) are Americans asking for workers rights that are the norm in western Europe. Things like paid maternal/paternal leave, greater work life balance and paid overtime, flexibly working and WFH.
This is the author's point, that before /r/antiwork realigned itself, their moderator was actually representative of the average /r/antiwork user, that through an influx of left-aligned users, it got "sanewashed". These new users were ashamed of being associated with the original mod, but that mod is still very much the one that was dicussing legitimate /r/antiwork ideas before we ever heard of their fringe community.
Maybe it should be against the rules to say you know it's against the rules, and so on recursively. This loophole is often exploited to make these remarks equally useless and extra snarky.
> Please don't comment on whether someone read an article. "Did you even read the article? It mentions that" can be shortened to "The article mentions that."
My comment sole focus is not that parent didn't read the article. Instead, I chose to answer the comment's question with the answers from the article.
> Useless and extra snarky.
Making a top comment based on an article headline, with no knowledge of what is actually discussed is what's useless and against the HN discussion spirit where we usually try to foster meaningful conversations.
> It's against the rule to say that you did not read the article, so I won't say it, but:
>> In the modern world optics are EVERYTHING and that cannot be understated. Imho the first thing they need to change (which they have with their move to the new subreddit) is renaming it from r/AntiWork to r/WorkReform.
> /r/WorkReform exists already.
Could have been shortened to
>> In the modern world optics are EVERYTHING and that cannot be understated. Imho the first thing they need to change (which they have with their move to the new subreddit) is renaming it from r/AntiWork to r/WorkReform.
> /r/WorkReform exists already.
And it would have been better.
> /r/WorkReform exists already.
Yes, they noted that
No, I don't think this is accurate. They wanted to abolish work for everyone, not for a select few.
They use a specific definition of work, so they maybe aren't necessarily anti-work in the way you are thinking.
What I don't understand is why many see it as acceptable for any business to pay less than a living wage under any circumstance, it's just a roundabout way of making taxpayers pay for a businesses labour force
that's because remuneration isn't based on value, it's based on market conditions. value merely provides an upper bound. as an extreme example, clean water provides near infinite value to you (you need water to survive, so you're willing to pay infinite dollars for it), yet you can get it from your tap at less than a penny per gallon.
>What I don't understand is why many see it as acceptable for any business to pay less than a living wage under any circumstance, it's just a roundabout way of making taxpayers pay for a businesses labour force
But those people on welfare would receive welfare regardless of whether they're hired or not? I don't see how that's "making taxpayers pay for a businesses labour force".
44% of U.S. workers are employed in low wage jobs with a median annual wage of $18,000. [1]
Sure we can staff fast food with only 16-19 year olds but what about every other sector of the service industry and the myriad of other "low skill" jobs? are there 40 million plus "high skill" jobs out there waiting for the taking? The answer is no. [2]
[1] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/minimum-wage-2019-almost-half-o...
[2] https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2019/11/21/low-wag...
I'm obviously too retarded for such an advanced concept, but in my head there's no scenario where a utopian UBI-based society is possible, even with more advanced tech. To allow everyone to have food, shelter, and other necessities regardless of their usefulness to society, at the very least we'd have to have severe birth rate restrictions, strong law enforcement, and other fun authoritarian systems that would no longer qualify the environment as a utopia in the eyes of UBI supporters.
Seems like yet another liberal pipe dream that is entirely disconnected from reality, though I'd love to be proven wrong, if anyone has some good reading suggestions on this subject.
Moreover, what's to stop rich people from selling their land? Or abandoning it and moving to another country?
UBI doesn't make any sense to me as CONCEPT. Sure you can find some creative ways to raise some money this year and give it to the poor (or everyone), but how do you create a such a system that continues to function over years and decades?
Money that is given to someone just for existing inherently has no value, so it cannot possibly have much purchasing power. The only things it can buy are things that are subsidized by the government anyway and exists already, such as low income housing and food-stamp-eligible food. What I don't understand is that people seem to think UBI would somehow result in a higher standard of living for people who are already in low income housing and on food stamps, and I just can't think of a mechanism for that.
You seem to be presuming inelastic supply of all of the stuff they'd ever buy. This is relatively true for some stuff (housing supply in the largest urban markets).
But, most of these things are elastic and/or have larger world markets to bid against. Food, consumer goods, housing in other markets, etc. Therefore, while a UBI would be somewhat inflationary, it would still increase the purchasing power of the poor and lower middle class.
> The only things it can buy are things that are subsidized by the government anyway and exists already, such as low income housing and food-stamp-eligible food.
This isn't true, but this is the biggest benefit to UBI: unwind the administrative apparatus involved with entitlements, and remove the lower income regions which have over 100% effective marginal tax rates. A complicated patchwork of programs can be simplified and reduced in scope (SNAP, section 8, EITC, disability insurance, etc..) and we can ensure that people always have a positive marginal incentive to work. Milton Friedman himself proposed a UBI in a form of a "negative income tax" to avoid these economic distortions.
What type of living conditions are we looking to guarantee? If your baseline is "prehistoric living conditions", I'm sure it's quite affordable. If it's "21st century middle class america" it will be ruinously expensive. Incremental improvements in technology can eventually bring us to a point where we can afford to give arbitrary fixed standard of living to everyone, but not if that standard of living is constantly increasing.
That said, to address your point head on, is it possible in the US for everyone to move on to "bigger and better" things? I don't think so which is why we have so many adults with families in min. wage or lowing paying jobs. There is no pool of well paying jobs for them all to move into, there is no magic solution where everyone can have their needs met just by pulling harder on their bootstraps.
So the question then becomes: should a person (or two people) working a full time job be able to provide for themselves and their family? I think the answer to that question is yes. You might disagree, but I don't think its fair to write them off as having a "fantasy".
This may not be the case now, but that can change.
I'm always wary of paraphrasing Graeber, but it's possible that living in a world where a small handful of individuals own the majority of the wealth has led to the market rewarding various jobs in a way that creates more misery than is strictly necessary - for example corporate lawyers being paid hundreds of thousands because they can help billionaires get even richer, while farmers producing the most important of all resources, food, are constantly hovering around the poverty line.
EDIT: and as a mathematician, I would appreciate a proof of your "mathematically impossible" proposition. :)
:) :) :)
One way I'm trying to make sense of is the following: The left is used to being the underdog, the ones fighting for reform against powerful, conservative institutions. They are used to not really stand a chance, it's the spirit that counts. In that position, it makes sense to yell loud, provoking slogans. The people in power will laugh it off, the people you're trying to reach will hear you. But we're in a situation where there are pockets of real power occupied by left-leaning leadership. University campuses. Some parts of the media. Large cities. Certain internet communities. The people in power (who are still largely conservative) are no longer laughing, they're scared. They will use your words against you if they aren't worded well. But it seems left-wing organizers refuse to change their tactics, refuse to acknowledge they entered the mainstream arena.
I still don't get what "abolish the police" is supposed to accomplish. Everyone who bothers understands what it is really about but you don't even have to twist the words, you just have to take them literally and it's a call to pure anarchism. The "blue lives matter" bullshit could have been stopped by changing the slogan to "black lives matter, too". A comedian should not be cancelled for actual, clear-in-context jokes, at least not when genuinely apologizing. A confused college student quoting some Jordan Peterson logic (which he'll likely feel embarrassed for in 5 years without any outside help at all) should not be yelled at in public or you get that shit on Tik Tok as "lefties suppressing free speech". Don't call your work reform movement... "anti-work". Sigh.
Laugh at right-wing stupidity. Take left-wing politics (i.e. European conservative politics) seriously and consider how to implement it in the real world. Do what the right has been doing for centuries, learn from it. They're in the defense now. And the most powerful move on the offense is appearing calm and composed.
This isn't necessarily true. The Democrats in the US had a near stranglehold on Federal politics from the 1950s through the mid-1990s. The Republican ascendence in the 1990s came about in part because Democrat-oriented institutions; e.g., large blue-chip companies, labor unions, and the Federal government itself were viewed as inefficient and corrupt by a portion of the voting population.
> But we're in a situation where there are pockets of real power occupied by left-leaning leadership. University campuses. Some parts of the media. Large cities.
This also isn't necessarily true. Democratic sympathies != left-leaning. And the actual truth is that, going on voting records alone, people in the US mainly vote based on whether they live in more or less densely populated regions. The institutions you've mentioned are all Democrat-leaning because they are predominantly located in more urban areas. Which makes sense, since the policies that Democrats generally support are all more effective at higher population densities.
At the same time the left is fractured into two major camps. One camp is the leadership that seems to end up controlling major movements like Black Lives Matter and subduing it into nothing. This group chooses to not fight. They are benefiting from the status quo.
The other is the "progressive" left that is aiming for European style systems and policies. All they have as a weapon is Twitter and they are not really achieving their goals. What power do "Twitter People" really have if their efforts only translate into gestures from the higher ups(eg. BLM painted on the street in front of the capitol)?
I'm extremely far from agreeing with the anarchist view of work, but your comment contains precisely the dynamic that the piece describes: a cause-focused community gains steam and followers, at which point the message is neutered (despite retaining a now-contradictory name) and those responsible for the movement's success are written out of history and ostracized as unrepresentative weirdos.
Seriously, I recommend reading the piece. It's too late to do so before commenting, but you may take away something more than "God why is this weirdo claiming that she represents antiwork when it's obviously just a board for bored teenagers to post memes about how they hate their job and tepid centrist messages about overtime pay"
- Radicals set new bar for discourse.
- Aligned moderates adopt and modify message
- Radicals are ousted from their own movement by the new moderate messaging
- Moderates are left to try and defend their position that is garbed in extreme optics
* Loons create internet forum to abolish work
* Meme-obsessed teens crowd it out
* Chief loon goes on Fox News, is transsexual dog walker, is Fox News producers' wet dream
* Masses LOL
* Earnest articles are written
* Yet more earnest comments are written
* /me skips work for 10 minutes to read and chortle
What's not to like? THIS IS WHAT THE INTERNET IS FOR PEOPLE
Regarding the topic of abolishing work, I wrote about it last time /r/antiwork came up here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30099687 What I've written is just the tip of the iceberg - hundreds of books, articles and papers have been written on the topic of humanity's relationship with work the last hundred years. After all, the phrase wage slavery from the mid 19th century and the associated idea that abolishing work is an imperative has been discussed for far longer than that. The majority has always had a hard time accepting that work freedom is possible. Probably because it is foreign similar to how someone 100 years ago would have found it completely natural that men dominated society. Don't ask me how a workfree society would work (cause you probably believe it couldn't), instead consult the literature and learn about the arguments yourself.
Regarding Doreen Ford, isn't her fate a little like Richard Stallman's? Odd and weird and now old dirt is forcing them both out of their respective communities. Does people have to be normal and non-creepy to be leaders? I think a 30-year-old dog walker working part-time is a pretty good role model for the antiwork "movement". We all work and then we all die, only some of us makes people think differently. Stallman and Ford has done just that. Also it's probably true that most online content is written by the insane ones. Like this comment!
I really like the term "sanewashing" that the author coined. But I would define it as the act of being in favor of progressive ideas but not their logical conclusion. E.g. "commitment" to < 1.5C global temperature rise but not commitment to stop using fossil fuels by 2030.
I wonder how many of these 4chan like places exist under the radar just waiting for a Google algorithm tweak or a viral meme to go big and destroy their formerly tolerant communities.
They ran off the fun people first, the ones who did a lot of heavy lifting when it came to the attraction of the site. After a while, they started running off the people who were fun and even mostly agreed with them.
It's really hard to keep the spirit of a place the same, and as far as I can tell, it requires that moderators MERCILESSLY CRUSH that first person who says "hey maybe we should kind of cool it with the-" and bootstomp them right off.
https://www.reddit.com/r/antiwork/comments/qstsdp/my_5year_g...
Better representation of anti-work- and its crime- having the hacker mentality and the audacity to execute a similar move to investors/big players without the funds.
Very few in our society are still needed to work, many who work do more harm then good (to the environment & themselves) and most of the work done today, exists to massage the egos of power-animals who can not avoid a existential crisis without a pyramid of suffering beneath them.
Remote work has revealed how obsolete that caste and its longings are. Its also has shown that work is partially used to keep the "uneducated" masses from going haywire with conspiracy theories. (6 Jan comes to mind)
Which is a psychological problem worth of solving, but not one that is actually a decent enough argument to protect this institution of self-flagellation without any reward, except continued existence in protestant-work-ethic-purgatory.
But it's not really how life works. Any real political movement should realise that playing the optics game is doomed, and explicitly avoid such things.
"The revolution will not be televised" was a good slogan for example...
This Reddit story gives me some sympathy to the moderator. I think they were being honest, but they were glamoured with fame and media. And it revealed how the vast majority of redditors are just live action role playing with no actual change in themselves or their world. The drama around it and the new subreddits are all just another scenario in their online roleplay.
The idea that 4chan used cartoon frogs to meme a president into office is something that is seriously believed because it enforces belief in the media, in spectacle, in attention, in optics itself. 4chan doesn't take it seriously however, and I find it both funny and a good example that those who believe in optics should believe that optics works.
Optics is everything to optics.
https://old.reddit.com/r/antiwork/comments/lo6wov/my_dads_a_...
> "My dads a “working class hero” I wanna punch him in the face, we wanted to visit this weekend, we haven’t seen him in 2 months due to covid, we have three kids and so does he (6, 8 and 9) his wife passed away 2 years ago, and he’s been back to work for a year, he is on salary and gets no overtime, what’s he doing right now on this beautiful winter Saturday morning? Fucking working over time... not for money, but because they “need” him... fuck you, your family needs you and you been working 50 h a week on salary for 20 fucking years. Fucken boomers."
When I read this, I see "haven't seen him in two months," "we have three kids and so does he (6, 8 and 9) his wife passed away," and "your family needs you."
When the author read this, he saw "criticizing his father for hard work."
I think we can all agree that the emotional cost to your family is a major, defining symptom of being a workaholic. This appears to be someone seeking support for that, but the author tries to ignore the emotional reality and paper it over with, well, honestly I don't need to rephrase it, I'm sure it's obvious.
Neglecting to spend time with your family can be just as bad as neglecting to provide for them. If it didn't happen so often maybe we wouldn't have so make kids growing up with a deep-set hatred of jobs. You don't need to be Freud to make that association. ;)
Although his siblings are being raised by a single dad, so maybe he needs to not work on saturdays?
This is how I read it. And in that context there's a heck of a lot to read between the lines.
Nobody gets their kids out of the house and then starts another family because the first try turned out great.
Sounds like dad doesn't want to spend time with someone. When your options are the middle aged dude putting in OT and raising more kids and the person airing their family drama on the internet who gets the benefit of the doubt isn't much of a choice.
These kids need to travel to find out the reality of the world.
Military deployments are hard on families. Not sure what to add to that but it's a fact.
I feel this would be something relatable to a large portion of the people on this site, given how many of us practically live our tech careers. Even if we aren't putting in overtime at work, many of us spend time not at work on personal projects or learning some new tech. We might think of it as different from work, but for an outsider it'll just seem like more work.
It's also a sort of hypocrisy since if the point of the movement is to allow people to be free to do what they find meaning in, surely it's contradictory to diminish what someone finds meaning in just because you don't think it pays enough.
I know that if I had someone who didn't care for how fulfilling tech work is to me, I'd probably end up avoiding them too. Back when I went through a similar phase with my family, I too just buried myself more in work to not have to deal with them. Now they do understand, so I end up spending more time with them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternal_September
Every social space either withers, or grows until there is a preponderance of new people whose values no longer reflect the founders and old hands. Then there is a power struggle, and if the old hands don't regain or enforce the original cultural values, they typically depart and start all over again somewhere else.
This is the dynamic behind "tech" social media sites. HN was begat of Reddit, which was begat of Digg, which was begat of Slashdot, which was begat of Compuserve... Or is it some other order?
This story fits the same pattern. The sub grew, the new people don't share the same values as the ostensible founder, and now they are purging her because she doesn't speak for them.
This shouldn't be a surprise. The news interviews many people about a variety of subjects. Either the network frames that person as wholly representing the group, or the viewers imply it. It's convenient, and perhaps even useful in some contexts, to assume that all the people in a group/movement have the exact same ideas and goals. But once a certain size is achieved that is rarely the case.
I work and don't support the antiwork movement, but have some sympathy for the anti-workers. I think a lot of this is about the perverse incentives. There are many jobs where the pay is low while the profits are high. I don't see anything wrong with the thread about easy jobs that was mentioned.
In my own job I have basically given up on trying to get ahead/promoted/whatever. I've been repeatedly screwed by the company, a company that has a reputation for being a best place to work and doing what's right. Why would I continue to work hard or try hard when my experience tells me that it won't pay off? I am looking for better jobs, but if this place is supposed to be so great, I doubt there are better places out there.
For those curious, what I mean by screwed over is that they violate their own policies and contradict themselves. Stuff like giving me a bad rating because the department requires that a manager pick a bad rating to balance out a great rating for someone else. And stuff like saying you can't go from a bad rating last year to a great rating this year, event though policy says the rating should only consider the current year. Or working as a tech lead and then a senior dev for a year each when just a midlevel dev but not being promoted. Being told that you would have been given a great rating, but you "slacked off" the last month, which was the month when you were on PTO for 2.5 weeks for your wedding and honeymoon and you put in extra hours before leaving. The list goes on.
Occam's Razor says the OG's got seduced by their newfound popularity. In trying to square the anarchist/liberal circle, they flew too close to the sun. That's too bad. But that's the end of story in terms of a power dynamic.
Calling that "sanewashing and social gentrification" is incoherent. None of the noobs had mod powers. And there are plenty of examples of subreddits modded by irreverent types who would probably eschew a popularity bump in order to keep the sub pedantic. Try complaining about your job in lowercase on r/THE_PACK and you'll see what I mean. :)
Too few people have the humility to look like a loser, and would rather work a bad job instead.
To add on the condescending tone of fox news, the whole hypocrisy of the backlash was quite surprising to me. To me it really felt like it was an attempt to shut down the sub by elaborate astro turfing (the mods did say there was a lot of new accounts brigading).
I felt a lot of empathy for Doreen, and how she was mocked on air. The fact that a whole community disliked her because she was a dog walker or did not look presentable was so ridiculous to me.
I think she handled it pretty well, she did not get angry, she did not care about the tone of that tv guy.
The subreddit is still there. Nothing really happened. There are still people renegotiating their salary and quitting their jobs.
It's ironic to me how a subreddit that advocates for less toxic workplaces, can foster such a toxic environment.
I completely agree with your take.
That the community got angry at her is beyond me, and I was very sceptical of antiwork subreddit
That's the thing with these things. They live and occupy their space and everyone else just says "Why aren't there any X?" because X exists but because it's not so big, no one knows it does.
For the most part, these communities are better because those who would idly ask "Why doesn't X exist?" don't know that X exists. Essentially, there are two requirements to joining the club:
- You should be able to find the door
- You should know why the door is hidden
If you're just like "I want what's on the other side of the door" but you can't meet these two conditions, then you can't have it.
Contrast that with the (to use TFA's terminology) "gentrifiers" who blow like ideological tumbleweeds and hold beliefs simply based on whether those beliefs are advantageous to hold (Stalin would be proud).
Principled extremists can be reasoned with. Compromises can be made. Progress can happen. Unprincipled faux-extremists are like herding cats. You give them one thing and they show up the next day bitching that you gave them the wrong thing. I know who I'd rather deal with.
I think you've defined that they don't make compromises when you called them principled extremists. ;) But I do agree that they have advantages over opportunists who don't believe anything: sometimes an extremist will have discovered a nugget of truth that you can take out from the rest, while an opportunist only believes things that are wholly circumstantial and unlikely to help you.
The point about internet content being written by a 1% in particular is very easy to lose sight of. Somehow public debate on the internet naturally leads to some assumed sense of its representative and “democratic” for lack of better words
The stories I was reading must have been written by teenagers, nobody in leadership does or says half the things on that sub.
One post today was saying how their manager was planning to fire them 6 months from now... NO manager does that, *ever*. If someone is not meeting expectations termination is at most 2 months away, in America anyway. Anyone who is surprised by their termination due to performance really is not paying attention. Only a person with no professional experience would make these stories up.
I have definitely seen cases where someone was obviously really struggling with the quality of their work; i.e. others having to massively go through rounds of reworking their output to the point that they had negative productivity. Yet when they were eventually let go, they were shocked and surprised. Some people have pretty low awareness.
Pure gold:
You’ve come across the gentrifiers before, I’m sure. They browse the front page of reddit and the trending tab of YouTube, buy Ruth Bader Ginsberg figurines and wear Che Guevara T-shirts. They vote for Bernie in the primaries and Biden in the general, first outraged that anyone could want Biden and then outraged that anyone could not. They share articles about how the 2020 BLM protests were overwhelmingly peaceful and then hop online to cheer “ACAB” and “F — — capitalism” graffiti and pictures of burning police precincts. They shout “Defund the Police” while angrily asserting that nobody wants to abolish the police. They manage to boldly stand at once for every fashionable cause and against every unfashionable cause, embracing the aesthetics of radicalism while denying complicity or knowledge whenever that radicalism gets too real. And /r/antiwork was the perfect community for them to turn into a cause celebre.This is one of the most frustrating things I see on HN and reddit. People dismiss large parts of the community as infiltrators and bots and paid shills and astroturfers. I’d bet that for every bot/infiltrator/whatever there’s a thousand times more actual humans dismissed as bot/infiltrator/whatever.
There’s literally no way to further dehumanize someone else’s thoughts than to say that they aren’t real people presenting real thoughts.
But regarding the actual topic of work I think it sets up a false dichotomy; that one is either a sane normal person who thinks productivity is good, or an out-of-touch anarcho-communist.
There is actually a very large middle ground which represents the most balanced view towards work; that most work is a necessary evil. It's not that work is good or desirable, it's that it (both individually and as a society) is necessary for survival or to maintain a certain standard of living.
If technology and automation could allow those who wanted to have only a 10-hour work week, with the same lifestyle, that would be unequivocally a good thing.
I'm not an anarchist, but in this sense I am very much anti-work.
Why? Work is a net positive in people's lives.
If what you're saying is really more along the lines of "having a project and way to spend the time is a net positive", then I completely agree, but I don't think that has to be tightly coupled to work (as in employment) per se.
It allows you to contribute to society and get social validation. "Personal projects" typically do neither (if they did, they would be lucrative). Even the boring stuff can be meditative. Provided the conditions are adequate, work is good for people and society at large.
Capitalism, on the other hand...
A community, by definition, cannot be build single-handedly.
Especially a large subreddit, where hundreds of thousands visitors posted stuff, commented, upvoted and publicized the subreddit in other communities.
Look the media is not your friend, for any movement, for any media left or right biased, you are clickbait to whatever they can hype you into for their own profit.
But going on Fox believing you will accomplish anything but arm the idiots is just lack of critical thinking skills.
Does Reddit have a feature to ask to not be down in the main feed?
So on that post after reading paragraph after paragraph I kind of get it but man it's really not explicit and just talked about even there like it's a thing. It isn't. Using the term is as wacky as the actual topic being discussed about 'normal people think Defund means Defund'.
Let's create a definition then of something like:
sanewashing • deliberately glossing over or attempting to conceal unpleasant or insane facts or actions about something or someone.
I am not sure how useful this idea is as a concept. The Libertarian party had a similar history (its original platform had something to do with keeping leaded gasoline legal...) but it doesn't matter now.
> I’m arguing you’re going to “sanewash” it. And by that I mean, what you do is go “Well, obviously the arguments that people are obviously making are insane, and not what people actually believe or mean. What you can think of it as is [more reasonable argument or position than people are actually making]”.
"No sane person would belive %movement_belief%, what we really believe is %moderate-not_insane-image_saving-fake_belief%.
See also: https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewpulrang/2021/02/20/its-ti...
It’s like the Jordan Peterson philosophy on climate change: People need to stop talking about it and caring about it, because anyone who does so is just virtue-signaling and basically being a shallow, useless idiot about it. When actually people are trying to figure out how to deal with the fact that our leaders and institutions are so out of touch with reality and stuck in their ways. But no, the important point is people in general are shallow and amoral, like me, but dumber.
Culture changes and drives change. Collective action eventually does something.
We need to be working on finding better solutions.
My current goal is to make enough money in the software industry to go back to school so I can learn biochemistry in order to devise bio-technologies that can reverse pollution.
If you've got some spare time, energy and imagination, your help would be greatly appreciated. ^_^
I personally saw r/antiwork as another incarnation of OWS. Only difference is that it was online ( so perception only ) and antiwork was very effectively destroyed via character assassination. I am sure it will be studied in terms of PR engagement and social manipulation.
The problem here is liberals want to reshape movements without actually understanding them. Modern liberalism isn't really about understanding core issues and looking for solutions, it's about "sanewashing" as the article mentions which fundamentally runs counter to movement ideals. I think a lot of more radical people would be willing to work with liberals and vice versa if liberals (who IMO generally have more power) would listen more first.
https://old.reddit.com/r/neoliberal/comments/js84tu/how_did_...
> So with all that explained - I think it's pretty simple. Mainstream progressives 'sanewashed' the "Defund The Police" position because they'd acquired the position through social spaces that imply anyone who doesn't hold those positions are guilty. If you exist in social spaces like that primarily, you almost don't have the option to dissent. The incentives against it are too strong. And that's how and why people will continually push for completely dumb slogans and ideas like that, even when it makes no sense - and sometimes, especially when it makes no sense. Because they assume it has to, and will rationalize their own reasons why it does.
This is a post in r/neoliberal which itself is a subculture with its own rationalizations. It assumes that their positions are "right" and default because they've thought "rationally" about them. But ironically, all social spaces and especially social media spaces are subject to this same pressure. Look at this thread where the poster has negative votes and the reddit OP is responding to:
https://old.reddit.com/r/neoliberal/comments/js84tu/how_did_...
This is the exact same pressures the reddit OP is decrying in left spaces. This is such a perfect encapsulation of liberals acting in left spaces, co-opting the space and making it moderate rather than listening and helping amplify left ideas and solutions.
> It's not devoid of argument, but the key call to action is "Listen to trans people" - in other words, really, an appeal to "you should be a good person", a condemnation of people who don't "Listen to trans people", and the implication that if you're a Good Cis Perosn, you will Listen To Trans People like the one in the thread. "SJW" spaces spread their desired information and views to sympathetic people by appealing to the morality, empathy, and fairness of the situation, but with a strong serving of 'those who do not adapt to these views and positions are inherently guilty'.
Left spaces have to appeal to emotion because "logic" and rational thinking itself are co-opted by everyone to the right who have made it this grey space where "logic" == moral correctness == my opinion. Maybe when people say "listen" they actually mean listen and stop trying to apply logic and rationalization to everything. Maybe you need to actually need to do emotional work and sympathize to understand where leftists are coming from. And really maybe you do have to internalize at least a shred of guilt to understand your position in the world and how you might be impacting someone's ability to be heard.
It's usually called "reformism" by people who support actual change.
Maybe this fits under the umbrella of reformism, but is not synonymous.
No mention of it in the article, though.
And even the small things are misleading:
> the classic thread “whats your job on the leftist commune??”[1], in which everyone plans to lead discussion on theory and make lattes and there’s nary a Coal Mining Enjoyer to be found
That's blatantly false. Second column, next to last tweet:
> Hard labor. Something rewarding I can do with my hands. Maybe something intellectual later in life. I'm just tired and don't want to think too hard right now in my life.
You can argue about how many hard laborer will be necessary, and how quickly this user would change their mind, but this is not what the article is arguing.
I didn't find the post an honest description of the event. Flagged.
Anyway, it doesn't really matter whether Doreen stood for the original ethos or the newer sterilized version that apparently would have consisted of the majority of votes, fact is that she didn't do a good job representing either in the interview. They really should have considered using a professional spokesperson who knows how to handle a live roast on national tv, if they actually had voted that someone participate.