Delta CEO wants U.S. to put unruly passengers on 'no-fly' list
reuters.com
reuters.com
Bureaucracy, security theater, and airline/airport ineptitude has turned flying into a painful, regrettable process. Add shrinking seat space and airport and airplane booze to the mix and you've got a recipe for stress, discomfort, and short tempers.
I suspect booze is actually the primary culprit. I've flown a few hundred flights in my time and only witnessed two, rather tame, incidents that caused people to be kicked off flights or caused in-air arguments. In one case the culprit was very drunk. The other case the culprit was very hung over.
Someone on HN many years ago recommended the book Learned Optimism saying that it changed their life. It did the same for me.
I can take a look and give that a read though.
I’ve only done it once but we sat on the runway for over an hour and I didn’t care at all.
The other time I was on the runway for awhile I had to take a spirit or southwest flight and that was awful.
I’m always so uncomfortable and I’m not even a big person, 5’11” and 200lbs.
The only thing that has ever made a flight decent besides first class was taking etizolam and being knocked out the whole way through the flight.
Having two drinks on the flight just means another 500cc of water, but yeah, skip rehydration after flying and you're going to have a bad time. Add booze, it will be a worse time.
I enjoy drinks too much on flights, would be better off without them.
Also it's kinda public space, occasionally with little kids - I'd prefer them not to be around alcohol.
Finally, having different areas of economy kinda solves this - half plane for young and ready to party, other half - for quiet and chill. Separate area for kids too. All of this is trivial to solve in booking software.
It took me a moment to avoid the typical criticism of “think of the children”.
This is the real world. People drink. People do drugs. People do a lot of things.
In my opinion putting blinders on your kid is bad parenting.
I really don’t care what kids see me do. Keep the drinks coming for me!
These categories are collected by a US credit score:
* BASIC IDENTITY INFORMATION
* FINANCIAL INFORMATION
These categories are collected by a US background check:
* EMPLOYMENT INFORMATION
* LEGAL HISTORY
* REGULATORY AND LEGAL VIOLATIONS
These categories are unique to the Social Credit Score system:
* POLITICAL DATA
* CIVIC BEHAVIOR
* OUTSTANDING ACHIEVEMENT RECORDS
So, about 2/3rds of the data is very similar to the data that employers gather about their employees, and 1/3rd is the overbearing Chinese state. To me, the political stuff seems to make the economic usefulness of the score weaker -- does being a member of the CPC really reduce your default risk on your credit card?
Looking at the list of infractions that reduce points, it seems that China is trying to systematize punishment for social problems by restricting access to credit. I went into this comment thinking that the US credit score system and the SCS system were similar, but I leave thinking that the Chinese one is the same as the US one, with a bolt on authoritarian layer.
also all of those last categories are monotored by US employers and used to make hiring and firing decisions (which affect your credit score)
adding a single layer of indirection at each end doesn't fundamentally change anything
What makes social score dangerous is the power imbalance when a position of authority is attempting to dictate social behavior by punishing deviation and dissent outside of democratic laws. A society that don't allow any deviation or dissent is an authoritarian society.
A credit score system has nothing to do with social behavior unless they get combined. The dangers of a credit score system occurs when social behavior becomes proxies for creditworthiness, in which case the credit score system also becomes a social score system that hands out punishment based on deviation and dissent.
If each had a connection, it would only be 5 trips per year (4 flights each trip) for five years.
It all turns into a cycle of manipulation to get ahead because that’s how our feudal trade memes work.
I don’t believe any of you are doing anything truly novel and useful; y’all are just playing the Rules of Acquisition.
They do.
If there are privacy issues then they could just share a list of hashes and if someone's legal name hashes to something on the list then you deny them.
Also a hash doesn't provide privacy in itself. It just make enumerating people in the database more difficult.
1. People getting rowdy on planes recently is probably due to masking requirements
2. Airplanes have very efficient ventilation
3. Omicron is harmless to most people
4. Most people are vaccinated and protected against serious disease (Delta being the threat here, which has almost disappeared completely)
Simply remove the mask mandates and the problem will go away by itself (or at least return to normal).
The "disruptive passenger" no-fly list should have clear criteria for why people are put on it and for how long, and a clear process for challenging being incorrectly placed on the list. Ideally this would be a bit better than having airlines collaborate amongst themselves to create their own no-fly list which can't be legally challenged because they're private organizations that can mostly do what they want. On the other hand, being blacklisted by private companies would in some ways be less creepy/authoritarian than the no-fly lists as they exist now.
Right now if the government thinks you might have maybe been associated with any definition of terrorism you're banned from flying with basically no recourse. The assholes punching people and grabbing butts atleast have clearly committed crimes and shown themselves to be a danger to others in the sky.
If the answers are anything other than "they were convicted in a court of law by a jury of their peers," "for as long as the judge sentenced them to," and "by appealing to a higher court," then the only thing transparent about the list would be its transparent illegitimacy.
In fact, if people could see the reason they were on it, it would seem less legitimate, because "agent #78 thought you belonged on it and his boss signed off," would serve only to highlight what the justice system abdicated when it allowed it to be set up.
While I appreciate the thinking (sometimes falsely attributed to Lincoln: "The best way to fix a bad law is to enforce it perfectly"), it's a bad idea to make it easier to add people to the current no-fly list in the hopes that this will "poison the well" so-to-speak. If your idea were tried, it would result in a measurably worse world for a generation, perhaps indefinitely. The no-fly list is a great example of a "boring tyranny", a type of tyranny that politicians don't credit for confronting, and so don't even get talked about. So you'll make this change, and then for 20 or 30 years you'll hear the same exact debates about abortion and gun rights, and the worse world you made will continue in the shadows.
So, no, please do not do this.
Not the first time airlines have attacked the mentally ill, they especially like to target children. [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/travel/2019/08/22/flight-crew...
[2] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-56428231
[3] https://www.clickorlando.com/news/2021/05/04/family-barred-f...
[4] https://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-updates/incidents/air-...
[5] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10168687/Man-cerebr...
[6] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10037077/Quadripleg...
[7] https://www.marketwatch.com/story/american-airlines-responds...
The vast majority of the traveling public would never even think about assaulting a flight attendant. Presumably most flight attendants would not like to fly with someone who has assaulted a flight attendant.
That is why I requested being put on the list. I encourage others to do the same. Let Delta stew in it.
> So, I cannot fly because you, without any other knowledge, are afraid of me.
I do have knowledge. You were given an opportunity before, and knowing the risks to yourself and co-passengers, misbehaved anyway. Take the train.
The general public (including non dangerous mental patients) has a right to not be put at risk, intimidated or restricted in their travels by a tiny minority of dangerous individuals.
Finally, most antisocial types are either not really diagnosable with a mental disorder, or not diagnosed when one could be. On top of that, even when a diagnosis can and is applied, the effective treatment options are few. We just don't know how to fix narcissists. Thus labelling them as having a mental disorder is entirely pointless, even if you're so generous as to be willing to disregard the massive damages they cause.
I don't think you'll find any objection towards punishing the latter in principle, but how do you propose we differentiate between "people suffering from mental illnesses pose no danger or annoyance to anyone but had a bad day and/or is experiencing a stressful event", and "violent / abusive / entitled / dangerous troublemakers"?
It seems to me you're not only okay with those actions, but want to expand punishment in a more systematic way for people who cannot control their actions and do not engage in violent behavior.
Of course, at least judges are human and many will therefore be honest and try to do their best despite the system they work in, but it's still a pretty flimsy basis for trust.
Complaining about terrible service is certainly not a good reason to be put on the list.
In this case, it seems like only #1 is fulfilled, or at least I'm not aware of any law that has no-fly as a penalty. I know, there's the normal no-fly list but I already don't understand how that passes constitutional muster as a penalty via administrative rather than criminal/legal processes.
That is, even without further conditions, a fairly extreme position (“public civil penalties should not exist”.)
Perhaps I should have said "1) broken the law", as there are criminal laws & penalties along with civil ones. Whatever the penalty levelled against someone by the government it should stem from legal statute and constitutional due process. If I can go to court and state my case before a judge regarding a speeding ticket and minor fine, I should certainly be afforded that opportunity before I am banned from a major form of transportation all together.
It actually blew my mind when I heard that you could assault someone on a plane and not be instantly banned
I hope so but I wouldn't hold my breath. I remember initially the "enhanced" security pat down was "random" which meant they'd pull aside only brown people. Guess what if it is truly random then grandma on a wheel chair should also be subject to the same "enhanced" pat down. Then they did "enhanced" security pat down on grandmas on wheel chairs but I don't see the public demanding (at least not successfully) the removal.
The whole thing is an opaque mess and includes many false positives. I certainly don't feel any safer flying with the list in place than I would otherwise. To me it seems like another example of post 9/11 security theatre.
Though, yeah, it feels like a bit of security theatre. A more transparent process would probably help. Maybe the thinking is that it would jeopardise sources?
I find it commendable that you are trying to protect me from unruly passengers on a flight. Do you also want to protect me from unruly people on the street, by locking those who can't be bothered to follow basic rules of civility out of public space for life, or are planes somehow special? I mean, if you just willy-nilly shoot a gun on the street, you'll be banned from the street for shorter than you'd be banned from flying for refusing to wear a mask on the plane. Does that make any sense whatsoever?
Not so much on the plane. Also, you do realise that streets can't crash and kill everyone who was walking on them?
Edit: Wait, the original title does have “convicted” in it. Guess it’s the submitter optimizing for outrage.
Especially considering nobody has the same first and last name as some other person and government, security and low wage slaves at airlines are never ever make mistakes.
To the glorious days of flying without disturbances!
How about identifying people by their citizenship ID? I’m fairly certain it was made exactly to avoid naming issues.
In the US?
Ha.
Ha.
Ha.
It think the risk is in transparency. If I piss off an airline employee in some way and they decide to punish me in this way with no recourse it's a problem.
Also Let’s not forget stadiums ban people for heckling, booing, or other extreme conduct. You’ll get kicked out of a movie theater for disruptive behavior, etc. The punitive actions shouldn’t be too foreign.
If you punch a person on the street, you get charged. Same if you punch a flight attendant on a plane.
You might even go to jail in both cases. But what you don't get in the first case is to be put on a blacklist that prevents you from using some services. If you punch a person in a supermarket, you are not banned from supermarkets.
What you advocate for reminds of proscription lists in ancient Rome or the social credit system of the CCP.
If you punch a person in a supermarket, authorities can be summoned to take you away. If you do that on a plane, that can't be done. Planes are safe because things are heavily regulated and expected to go according to an extremely strict plan. Any aberration increases the risk of a catastrophic event.
Banning a person from ever flying again is not the same thing at all.
(Though I can imagine some libertarians reply "well, just take your own plane..." :-)
If you drive drunk and are caught, you can lose your license, which technically, means you can never drive yourself again.
I haven't audited all 50 states, but at least in all the states I've lived in, there is no way to permanently lose your license from any number of DUIs. The license suspensions (and jail time) go up for each DUI someone gets, but they're always able to get their license back at some point.
In my area:
* First offense (failed sobriety test): 6 month ban
* Second offense: 12 month ban
Convictions are different: they draw bans of 1, 5, and 10 years. You need 4 convictions for a lifetime ban.
Most counts reset after N years.
Now compare this to the suggestions for an airline no-fly list. The permissiveness with which alcohol + driving is treated in the US boggles the mind, but I think it's clear from this a similar proposal for airlines would be very lenient.
That would probably give us more pleasure than you derive utility from your privilege to fly, depriving other people is always satisfying.
Oh your computer? Not a basic need either. Hand it over comrade, there are more socially useful purposes than posting on Hacker News!
Uh, I dunno. We definitely banned disruptive people from our supermarket. And we’d happily let other supermarkets nearby know that Mr. X was an asshole that should be treated with extreme caution (and vice versa).
I don’t see why the government needs to get involved with this though. Airlines are perfectly capable of making and sharing such a list themselves.
In the US, airlines are common carriers - which involves certain obligations like published pricing and non-discrimination - but that still allows them the right to refuse carriage on reasonable grounds. You can argue what "reasonable grounds" means, but "criminal history of violent or disruptive behavior onboard an aircraft" seems like it's probably going to suffice.
Clearly the system has not been abused too much if you are not even aware this is how it already works.
Yes, in an ideal world this wouldn't be needed because you could trust the police to handle such cases adequately, but they don't. Hence, where justice fails, you see alternative systems prop up (also see #metoo, cancel culture).
Also, take away a person's license for life if they assault someone while driving!
If they're rude in a restaurant/grocery store/etc., just ban them from society forever!
Make one mistake, and you're fucked for life!
Why are aircrafts so special that they need such special rules about banning people who commit a minor crime one time? Remember these crimes are minor crimes. Yet people are honestly thinking the correct level of response for an assualt is the inability to use an entire industry.
Of course Airlines want the power to banish people from the industry and give their hosts and hostesses power that people will be afraid of them and just comply with everything and anything. These people already have a lot of power in the fact not complying is a crime.
But to be fair, this is coming from a country where there freedoms are so limited it's a crime to cross the street in the wrong area.
Because unlike on the street, you can't pull out a gun and defend yourself.
Secondly, you're sealed into a tube with 100 other passengers, over the Atlantic ocean on a 14 hour flight. One passenger who cannot control themselves, decides they're going to punch a flight attendant. Now what? You can't just call the police (like you can on the street).
So now, people who are not the police, have to "detain" this individual to keep them from hurting others. The plane has to divert to land so that the person can be handled by law enforcement. The 14 hour flight is now potentially 24-48 hours total, people have missed connecting flights, holidays, work meetings, etc.
So how and why people continue to compare punching someone on the street with punching someone on an airplane, is beyond me. While they're both technically assault, that's where the comparison ends.
Standard assault such getting punched is a minor crime. That is why people don't get jailed for it. It may not be enjoyable but it is a minor crime. Stating otherwise is simple a falsehood.
> So now, people who are not the police, have to "detain" this individual to keep them from hurting others.
This is some overly dramatic bullshit. Just because I punched Johnny because he was being a dick doesn't mean I'm punching anyone else. Simply people very rarely go on assault rampages. The fact you think they would shows out of touch you are.
> The plane has to divert to land so that the person can be handled by law enforcement. The 14 hour flight is now potentially 24-48 hours total, people have missed connecting flights, holidays, work meetings, etc.
Yes, and that why air rage is a much more serious crime than punching someone. We have courts and punishments for these things. Banning someone forever from being able to travel is absurd. Banning companies from providing services for someone because they found out their wife was sleeping with their best mate while in a plane is absurd.
And howd you know that? wait for them to punch others too? or wait for Johny's friend to return the deed?
Well doesnt matter to me. Anyone who resorted to violence while on a flight should be detained, even if the assaulter assault that_guy_iain for being a dick
So you're for tying people up incase they do something? Anyways, having seen people get slapped and punched quite a few times. It's an issue between them.
> or wait for Johny's friend to return the deed?
You tying the attacker up will not prevent Johnny's friend from attacking him, in fact you're making it easier. In fact, you're escalating the situation over all. In many cases, you can tell the attacker to sit down over there and victim to sit over there. If they're attacking flight crew, this has been a situation that has been esclating for a while so they're just gonna tape them up as is their job.
> Well doesnt matter to me. Anyone who resorted to violence while on a flight should be detained, even if the assaulter assault that_guy_iain for being a dick
That's fair enough, but that is not what the topic at hand is. The topic at hand is, whether or not as part of their punishment by the government that they should never be allowed on a flight ever again?
The point is that treating staff with disrespect is certainly not justified, but neither is it out of the blue, more often than not it is reciprocal behavior. Flyers are treated like rubbish by airline staff.
I’m not a professional flyer by any means - but I have flown many, many miles both domestic in the States and internationally. I can’t say that you didn’t experience that behavior from a flight attendant - I could absolutely see a flight attendant losing their cool with an uncooperative customer like that - but after having flown thousands of hours both domestic and international I can genuinely say that the situation you describe has never happened to me on either the flyer or employee side - so I’m led to conclude that it must be pretty rare.
Also, the fact that some people treat waitresses and service workers as punching bags that are "beneath them" socially, is a separate but related problem here.
I’ve never really experienced anything like it.
The casual disregard some US visitors have for staff anywhere is appalling.
In your example, it would be like causing a ruckus in a store, and being banned from all stores.
That's a much more serious penalty given how our society is organized, and seems like it should have some sort of judicial constraint.
The point of using the government no fly list is to pass the controversy onto something else.
Act unruly in a grocery store? You're banned from grocery stores for the rest of your life.
Act unruly at work? You're banned from having a job for the rest of your life.
Act unruly in a restaurant? No more restaurants for you, ever again.
What will happen to all these people who have been cast out of the public sphere and shunned by society? Who cares! They acted unruly once, there can be no forgiveness, no amends, no possibility for growth and change. I'm sure they'll all just quietly slump off to the shadows and die without a fuss so we won't ever have to think about them again. Meanwhile, the rest of us good, law-abiding citizens who have never done a single thing wrong or ever been rude to anyone in our entire lives can live in peace. Finally!
Welcome to day 701 of 14 days to flatten the curve!
Precedent matters. And the precedent now is a governor can restrict vital freedoms (movement, congregation, commerce, religion, expression, etc.) for several years without restriction so long as he or she is of the same party controlling the legislature and courts.
This is a lesson learned over and over again by the parties. They are ok with massive overreach when their guy does it, but then suddenly learn to take umbrage the moment they lose power.
Thankfully some Democrats in Washington State recognize this and have introduced limits on his power to 90 days without congressional approval.
Interesting, the state of emergency powers seem to be listed in https://app.leg.wa.gov/rcw/default.aspx?cite=43.06.220 and https://app.leg.wa.gov/RCW/default.aspx?cite=43.06.225, and the governor appears to be using fairly few of them. In fact, I don't think the Inslee is currently using any of the powers under section one of that statute. And even if he were, they certainly don't amount to the "ability to do just about anything", unless "anything" is prohibiting outdoor demonstrations.
And even those powers are subject to judicial oversight.
People get used to it, and they become indifferent to it. They will vote to extend those limits...
Emergency powers should be a stop gap only until lawmakers can meet, at which point every emergency rule expires and cannot be reinstated without lawmaker approval.
No more of these open ended blessed dictatorships.
The thought process is that an unruly passenger on United, for example, should be banned from all airlines and air lines so they can’t go cause trouble elsewhere.
I think the airlines are asking the government to step in because they’re not sure they can legally work together to ban people from all air travel. I believe a government process is the correct answer here but only with due process and guard rails.
I won't be surprised if entire industries have Shinigami Eyes style blacklists of people considered too toxic to be allowed any kind of business involving whatever that industry provides within a decade or so.
The airline just wants the gov't to do something for free so that they don't have to put any work or expend resources doing it!
probably also lets them dodge blame. "oh you're on the no-fly list, take it up with the feds."
This is sort of already done with consumer credit agencies
I seem to recall that American, United, and Delta all use/implement Sabre in some form or another, and possibly shared a no-fly/ban list...but, my memory is a bit hazy on that.
The problem, of course, is that these people are most likely to be the kind of entitled dipshits that will make negative press for you.
Oh, and don't get me started about how airline flight attendants have to pay their own legal bills in a startling number of conditions.
More stringent, wider ranging consequences add teeth to FA authority and more importantly would prevent some people from challenging the rules in the first place.
Furthermore, because of the geography of the US and the lack of alternate options, being put on the no-fly list can effectively leave you stranded in foreign countries (there aren't really passenger boats anymore, for the most part) or de facto stranded even within parts of the US if you're unable to drive for long distances (which many people can't do).
[0] Ask me how I know
2. Asking us to ask you is some clickbaity bullshit. You know you're leading the question, just put your thoughts down instead of practically asking us to ask you.
Officially, redress numbers are ostensibly used for disambiguating people with similar names, etc. That's not the same thing as getting off the list if you were the person placed on it in the first place.
There is, as of very recently, an "official" process for getting off the no-fly list, but it's incredibly recent and still incredibly onerous, so very few people have actually completed it successfully.
https://theintercept.com/2021/05/30/no-fly-list-terrorism-wa...
Note the key word "convicted" in there. Yes, this about people convicted of things like assaulting crew on an airplane.
Yeah, let’s not go down this path.
If someone can't go 3 hours without getting intoxicated and berating or assaulting a flight attendant then maybe air travel isn't for them.
Which means that with such a list in place, it'll usually be great because you'll have fewer assholes next to you on the plane... until you get that one flight attendant who has a bad day and gets you blacklisted from air travel for some petty reason with zero recourse.
All the people who have their Google or Apple accounts closed or their Paypal or bank accounts frozen with no explanation and no recourse. All the news about newborns and toddlers being denied boarding planes (or facing extra scrutiny, which is easy to temporarily resolve at the gate when the kid is 3 but becomes harder and harder until impossible to resolve as they get older and reach adulthood) because their name is like someone on the list. The French woman whomwas mistakenly declared officially dead and has been fighting for years to be recognized as alive and be able to renew her driver's license/healthcare coverage/passports/etc.
The world is full of these examples. We should avoid adding more to it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Fly_List_Kids
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/12/french-woman-s...
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/doctor-dragged-united-a...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Express_Flight_3411_inc...
And I'm not just talking about loud antivax people, but folks who are just too dumb, too drunk or generally too much of a doofus to be let on a flight.
Of course allowances would have to be made for Tourettes sufferers and the like, and that's where a blanket ban becomes difficult.
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/panic-ryanair-fligh...
In the case of actual convicted criminals, our existing justice system can already limit flying as a condition of probation or parole.
Why is this needed?
If we don't think they're safe to have on a plane, they probably aren't safe in many other common situations.
This definition https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/unruly
Unruly people are difficult to control and often do not obey rules: an unruly class of adolescents
Unruly hair is difficult to keep tidy, often sticking up or out: an unruly mop of black hair
does not inspire great confidence, I've had one incident where I got accused of being drunk because I was doing stretches waiting for the flight and they almost didn't let me on the plane. I guess if my respectable looking colleague hadn't explained to them I wasn't drunk and didn't drink I might have ended up categorized as unruly.
And… to be fair, far more railroad conductors have been hurt or killed by passengers than airline employees.
Railroads solved this problem a number of ways, but one way was having their own law enforcement agencies. The airlines, which are far more profitable, instead get this service mostly subsidized by taxpayers, through local police almost always stationed at airports, air marshals provided by the FAA, and passenger screening by TSA.
But: we did not ask the police to maintain this list for us.
There's no reason that airlines couldn't do this themselves, and if they really think it can't be done as private businesses and want the government to get involved then it should be on the books as a criminal penalty with all the constitutional rights that go along with trials, appeals, constitutional rulings on the law itself, etc.
I get my numbers from the FAA news releases. Every few months they report fines of unruly passengers. But they report only a handful cases compared to the 500 or so monthly incidents in 2021.
Here is the most recent press release: 8 fines of 300 cases, or less than 3%. https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-levies-161823-against-eight... There are several such releases in the list with equally dismal numbers.
Travel is as fundamental a right as speech and propery ownership. You don't put convicted road ragers and drunk drivers on a no-drive list. Either a person has liberty and the presumption of innocence or they don't. Eithet they are punished once and for good by the law or they are not. This tongue-in-cheek betrayal of every fundamental binding principle of a democratic society has gone out of hand.
No double jeopardy, no unequal treatment before the law, no presumption of guilt, no extrajudicial punishment.
Or let's just get rid of the facade and let the oligarchs appoint a dictator to do their bidding.
No license is required to be a passenger in a car or on an airplane.
I mean, if DHS or other TLAs flag a person as a threat, they should be able to do something about it... just not "you are on a list now because we say so" and no oversight or appeals process. This is not liberty or a free society. In a free society you don't have "national emergency" that spans multiple generations (20+yrs now) that allows overriding peoples rights and liberties.
The airlines should be allowed to refuse service so long as they are not coordinating a ban list, and even then.
Many people have lost their driver’s license over road infractions. Most states publish a table of the progression towards suspension and revocation based on the actions you’re convicted of.
Of course, I attempted to get added to the no-fly list, as it seems quite special. Unfortunately, it appears that this is not possible (I may try phoning it in later).
https://www.delta.com/content/www/en_US/system-unavailable1....
It would be sad if this is restricted to unruly passengers only.
Delta CEO wants to treat unruly passengers like potential terrorists...
Isn't it enough to just ban then from Delta airlines?
There are just that many airlines so it's not that people could just switch airlines for the rest of their live.
/s
>The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.
And lets be honest, the interstate commerce definition has been hogwash since case law got on the books stating that intra-state sale of grain could be regulated by Congress because of some indirect potential to affect markets across state lines; and such jurisprudence being utilized as a desperate lynchpin to try to keep individual states from unmaking the Federal level gun control framework.
I can play word games and run rings around the English language too, however, my goal is not to stretch what's on paper to create pretense for interfering in every U.S. citizen's life in ways that make it easier for more and more liberties to be stripped, and for the actual force of law to get increasingly hidden from the plain English meaning of an a reasonably literate individual.
Tired of the lazyness in applying 2nd plus order thinking to the spaghetti that is our legal code.
This is kind of the same question as the free speech issue on social media platforms. Where do we draw the line at what remains a public utility? There is already an extensive framework of laws in place regarding peoples rights to use a motor vehicle for transportation, including the right to file a legal appeal to one's license revocation. Flying in a plane should come with the same rights and responsibilities.
A legal designation of a common carrier is a significant burden upon the freedoms of those supplying a transportation or information service - it is not a step that is taken lightly by Congress. And even that designation isn't all-or-nothing; common carriers can still refuse to provide services. For example, even the U.S. Mail can refuse to transport hazardous materials.
I see best fix in government-mandated minimum quality level (in terms of seat size, catering, boarding time, etc), which will force price increases due to increase of costs, and also make people less nervous as conditions both on the ground and on the plane will be less crowded.
Make something like "euro business" the minimum service level possible.
Nothing will happen if ticket prices will double - they are so cheap today.
Every day we are inching closer to a Chinese style centrally managed social credit system. Often at the behest of big business. Hmmmmm.
Fwiw, I've almost always been allowed to hang it once I'm on the plane. And 90% of flight attendants are extremely pleasant. But there are also plenty of tyrannical ones who cherish every bit of authority they get. Between the unionization and lack of competition in the airline market, airlines feel it's worse for their bottom line to try to discipline bad flight attendants than to treat their customers well.
With companies competing, things could get heated with rival company pilots, flight attendants and executive teams being “accidentally” inserted in the no-fly list. Algorithm error strikes again, how unfortunate (shrug).
However, severe penalties make complete sense. I mean like a $50,000 civil fine plus cost of fuel plus cost of hotels for all passengers for a flight that has to make a diversion. Plus criminal penalties if injuries or assault are involved.
I would put Boing CEO as the first person on this list.
It's a mechanism that has already been tried elsewhere, it's not a new idea
It always fascinates me how people don't draw pause from how eagerly people seem to be to shluff people into the "non-person" bin in ideological discussion.
I trust everyone remembers a few years ago, when David Dao was dragged off a United flight for refusing to vacate a seat he had paid for [1].
> Dao, a pulmonologist and folk musician, refused to surrender his seat when requested because he needed to see patients the following day. Chicago Department of Aviation Security officers (ASO) were called to remove him from the plane; in the process, they struck Dao's face against an armrest, then pulled him, apparently unconscious, by his arms along the aircraft aisle past rows of onlooking passengers.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Express_Flight_3411_inc...
How about...to not physically attack a paying customer who had done nothing wrong (and had medical patients to see, to boot) so that a bunch of airline staff could fly for free?
Once he's off the plane, then the issue is resolved. Why would they lock him up after that? What's with the extremes and what does it have to do with any of this?
Maybe reconsider when you have to start the post this way.
What is this strange refusal to accept consequences? You are responsible for your actions.
Last I checked, TSA was nearly universally despised, airlines in particular are dubiously popular, and aside from the ATF and FCC, I see more griping about the tyrannical tendencies of the FAA by those subject to it's capriciousness, no matter how well justified one may think it to be.
Point being, I'd refrain from making assimptions on the "Public's" behalf, when it's more "a bunch of bureaucrats" dictating things.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
It's called proportionate response. Leave voluntarily without issue, or create more havoc and a bigger force will be applied. The limiting principle is your own resistance to authority.
Are they responsible for their actions that caused an innocent person to suffer both the physical and other injuries for something that he was not responsible?
Stop excusing this nonsense. The force applied was unnecessary, excessive, and unjustified.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
> "On January 13, 2021, the United States Department of Transportation amended its rules, forbidding involuntarily bumping from an overbooked flight after boarding starting on April 21."
The point is that you don't see beating and dragging a man as 'extreme', so I am postulating other extremes like indefinite incarceration or execution which it would then likewise stand to reason are warranted because what if this man, a known troublemaker now, ever tries to get on a plane again? Incarceration and execution would preempt that problem.
If he left voluntarily then there would be no force. If he started attacking others then there would be more force and more injuries. The response was proportionate and even lax considering he was allowed to run back on to the aircraft.
How would you remove him? What is your actual issue here?
Is your position that it would not have been possible to remove him (even without his cooperation) without injuring him to this extent?
The security staff is charged with removing someone from an aircraft, without knowing their intentions, who's already acting strange by refusing to leave in the first place, and acting in limited space with lots of other people around. They could've done a better job, but it also could've been much worse.
Now you're just using ad hominem to make your point.
I would also suggest considering that e.g. bus drivers face noncompliant passengers (non-paying, even!) far more frequently, and they have pretty good peaceful means of dealing with them.
Clearly it was adjudicated that it was excessive in this United instance by people qualified and knowledgeable of all the factors but that doesn't override that fundamental point that when force is used then injuries are possible and probable.
Sure it does. Because force isn't binary, which circles us back directly to where I made this point above. Your logic only makes sense if you treat "force" as binary.
I already answered your question about the degree of force in that I don't know, and that "people qualified and knowledgeable of all the factors" have already decided for this particular instance that it was excessive.
They needed the seats to move their staff operationally. To do that, they needed some passengers to volunteer to not fly. To do so, they needed to offer incentives, not demands.
The airline's problem is that they didn't want to pay enough. So they used force, not only that, they used public security (police) to enforce a private contractual matter (not providing travel, even though the passenger was in complete contractual compliance).
The security staff were briefed, and if not, should have waited until they were. He wasn't "acting strange", he was upset at not travelling as he had paid for, and wasn't been offered a reasonable alternative.
Excusing this behavior is allowing it to continue.
This isn't just my hearsay. The Chicago City Inspector's Office ruled that the action violated the City's personnel rules, 2 of the officers were discharged, the other 2 disciplined.
The airline staff shouldn't have removed him. They should have given up and made increasing large offers of travel vouchers until someone accepted, or they should have found an alternative way to get their staff to Louisville.
At no point should the airline ever have even considered forcibly removing someone so that their staff could fly instead. No matter what happened, the paying customer should have been the priority.
Defending the actions of the airline makes me think you should never run a business.
It's no different than you deciding that you no longer want a guest in your house (for whatever reason) and calling the police when they refuse to leave.
"but once decided to remove a passenger than that passenger needs to comply or be removed"
I do not get this type of argument at all. "once decided to take the victim's money then the victim needs to either comply or have the money physically removed from their possession" uses the same logic.
Anyway, you have made 25 flamewar comments in this thread. Posters that do that are usually banned so I would advice you to stop. (just a friendly advice)
Nope, not "at any time" or for "any reason". Air companies are subject to several regulations, and another person posted it here: after boarding there are pretty specific reasons for why you can expel someone, and "because I say so" is not one. Not to mention that planes fly so you obviously can't "surprise deny" service at "any time".
At hotels you also can't throw people out on the street in the middle of the night, unless they did something wrong. Which is clearly not the case.
You also cannot throw out tenants without reason and without proper proceedings, for example.
> "What is an authority for someone is a criminal for another (see certain regimes)"
What does this have to do with air travel? This person isn't fighting tyranny, they're being asked to leave a plane. The authority is the same for everyone that participates in that state, airport and aircraft.
> "the airline is not an authority under the law"
No, but it can call authorities just like you can call the police when required. Also airports and aircraft do operate under different rules for security.
> "you have made 25 flamewar comments in this thread"
My comments are not "flamewar" because you disagree with them. I've always posted civilly in the face of very harsh and rude replies and will continue the discussion as long as I want. I advise you leave the moderation to the admins here.
>Generally, no. If you have met the following conditions, airlines are not allowed to deny you permission to board, or remove you from the flight if you have already boarded the flight: You have checked-in for your flight before the check-in deadline set by the airlines; and A gate agent has accepted your paper boarding pass or electronically scanned your boarding pass and let you know that you may proceed to board
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
> "On January 13, 2021, the United States Department of Transportation amended its rules, forbidding involuntarily bumping from an overbooked flight after boarding starting on April 21."
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
> "On January 13, 2021, the United States Department of Transportation amended its rules, forbidding involuntarily bumping from an overbooked flight after boarding starting on April 21."
>the issue is resolved
love how the passive voice always pops up whenever someone tries to justify obvious bullshit
The stated "requirement" was so that they could know who was travelling, but for international travel, that's covered by your passport, and for local travel, by your local ID (driver license etc). Having your "name" on your ticket is just bullshit.
As for the "security sensitive" it's actually "security theatre" that has been in place since 9/11.
Excusing the behavior of the airline is ridiculous. They didn't need to drag this person off the plane, they needed to offer enough to the passengers until enough had accepted their offer so that they could deadhead their staff. That is what is supposed to happen when they need to offload passengers.
Don't excuse their behavior.
I'm not talking about how effective the security practices are; only that they exist and result in much faster and more forceful action.
I didn't excuse their behavior; I agree that it was poorly chosen and should be criticized.
What I'm explaining is that they can lawfully (at that time ) cancel a ticket and remove a passenger at their will; regardless of how they were chosen or whether it was a good idea. What happened after is a series of escalations that is standard procedure with countless other examples where force was proportional and effective without ending in a scandal.
It is categorically NOT a “request” if you “do need to follow it”
Being in the right (if that is the case) does not mean you can behave however you want. If a hotel denies your booking for whatever reason, would you just stay in the lobby anyway?
To make it worse, he paid to be there. If they didn’t want him in the seat, they shouldn’t have sold him a ticket.
He already paid, already received the ticket, and already had his ass in the seat.
Why would you call this medieval?
And no, btw, pretending to be confused isn't convincing.
He paid for the flight, was checked in, allowed into the plane and didn't provide any reason himself for being thrown out. The people who escalated the situation were the airline staff and airport staff. Huge difference.
The property owner of the property he is occupying against the owner’s wishes.
> What is this, medieval Europe?
Capitalism isn't the same thing as feudalism, though both give preeminence to property rights (in capitalism, the important ones are more likely to be marketable rather than fixed to predefined systems of inheritance.)
The United incident was a total disaster for United, they were incompetent and doubled down on that incompetence because of policies driven by their bottom line. The “police” that removed the trespasser were no trained and were also incompetent.
None of that changes the fact that if the captain of the airline thinks it’s a safety problem he can remove the passenger.
The equivalent analogy would be: you paid for and were situated in your hotel room, when you receive notice from the hotel that they have overbooked their hotel and that hotel staff from another hotel need to stay in your room and you must evacuate your room immediately. When you refuse to do so, they have security slam your head into the bedframe, resulting in you breaking your teeth, and then leave you outside on the curb.
The correct thing for the airline to do is call the police if necessary and resolve the dispute using the law.
Throwing someone out in the street with a proper reason is not entirely legal in most jurisdictions, at least not in mine. Proper reasons include disruption, property damage, violating the rules, committing crimes, being intoxicated, not having paid, being past the leave date, etc.
In this case, the reason is "hotel staff from another hotel need to stay in your room", which is not grounds for expelling anyone.
Even when hotels make mistakes and overbook they can't throw out guests that are already accepted and accommodated. Hotels even go the extra mile of directing the additional guests to other hotels and foot the bill.
It's not unreasonable to expect them to plan ahead better. Perhaps they need to have more jumpseats, or force them to displace the highest paying customer first to discourage that kind of planning.
There are many more humane options available when we realize we should be in control of the rules governing their operations, if only this whole shitstorm wasnt massively corrupt.
They are the ones that should have let him fly and dealt with the issue separately without creating a new incident if they felt he was in the wrong.
You may not like it (and I don't either), but overselling flights is not fraud; it's a normal, accepted, legal practice.
If he had followed the rules and done what he was -- legally -- told to do, he wouldn't have to have become a "victim". That doesn't justify what security did to him, but he's the one who started the escalation.
No.
Telling a paying passenger who is not behaving belligerently in any way that they must vacate their seat so that an airline staff member can fly in that seat is what starts the escalation.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
That is pretty clear, so you can stop making up stuff for the sake of an invalid argument.
Whatever rights an airline has in this specific situation, it does not entitle or justify that they inflict any violence on others. Even if this violence is done by airline staff, airport security or even the police, it's still not justified.
Instead of picking on specific passengers and escalating it to violence, they should have kept asking other people. Maybe even give up boarding four staff. Even giving up would still be a mild inconvenience.
Violence should never be a way to solve mild inconveniences. The airline was completely in the wrong for allowing it to escalate, even if law allows them to do it.
Especially if you have wilfully ignored the terms of service and caused disruption to other passengers.
That is precisely what United did.
> if the gate agent accepts a passenger for boarding after collecting or scanning the passenger’s boarding pass, the carrier is prohibited from removing the passenger from the flight thereafter.
If United rented out their house to two tenants, they can't just drag one of them out by the ears? It's on them for being two-timing fraudsters.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
That said, the rule seems to be that once you've boarded, they need specific reasons (behavior, safety, etc.) to remove you from the flight. In this instance, it sounds as if the airline fucked up.
Except that's still not a good analogy because that involves the personal property of a discrete individual, not the somewhat public service vehicle of a faceless corporation. We shouldn't allow corporations to run roughshod over the little man. Just because civil suits exist as a potential route for renumeration doesn't mean we should allow this behavior from airlines in the first place.
The trespassing is in their jurisdiction to enforce, as it is a crime. Being shorted on a ticket is not in their power to address.
It is bad when you get stuffed by a corporation, but it’s no excuse to break other laws.
The Dr. refused a lawful (if highly fucking annoying) request, and then when they tried to force ably remove him, he started screaming. He was not "beaten" or "physically attacked".
> Dao was taken to the hospital with non-life-threatening injuries including a broken nose, loss of two front teeth, sinus injuries and "a significant concussion"
What phrasing would you prefer be used instead to describe the sustaining of said injuries?
So I guess his injuries were self-inflicted? How does one sustain injuries if not physcially attacked? If someone places their hands on another, that's assault which according to dictionaries means physical attack.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
What does that have to do with it? We all have important reasons we just absolutely have to be on that particular flight, but we're not entitled to be there.
I would have been incredibly annoyed had I been in his position... but I would have sucked it up and gotten off the plane, not acted like an entitled child, clinging to my seat. Should he have been hurt the way he was? No, of course not. But, c'mon, it's ridiculous to suggest that he wasn't in the wrong at all here. He was given a lawful order to vacate the plane, and refused. That's not "had done nothing wrong". Quite the opposite.
It’s not that simple. This was a crew being sent to operate another plane. If they can’t move the crew, that could potentially cancel several other flights, and affect hundreds of other passengers.
The admission of wrongdoing came from the CEO:
>...Two days after the incident, Munoz issued an additional statement, apologizing and promising that such an incident would never again occur on a United aircraft. He said, "No one should ever be mistreated this way." In an ABC television interview, Munoz was asked, "Do you think [Dao] was at fault in any way?" Munoz responded, "No. He can't be. He was a paying passenger sitting on our seat in our aircraft."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Express_Flight_3411_inc...
Airport security might have followed orders but those orders couldn't have come by anyone but United.
"I don't know or care enough about the reason for arresting him, but that is still a procedure that must be followed."
"I don't know or care enough about the reason for preventing him from flying, but that is still a procedure that must be followed."
and so on. The reason matters because it determines if the procedure/request is ethical. An unethical procedure shouldn't be allowed to keep existing just because it already exists.
Refusing to leave is exactly what caused the problem to be fixed, taking it to courts would do little more than get the man a half-hearted apology and a bit of compensation.
Also, a half-hearted apology and a bit of compensation is all the fellow is entitled to in this situation.
This is someone that paid for a service, is following all the rules set in contract and is not causing any problem to you. You merely picked on this person at random.
This is like expelling a tenant that didn't do anything wrong and paid the rent because you want to let your cousin sleep for the night.
Also, evicting a tenant so you can occupy the space is pretty much the most legitimate reason there is for eviction.
And planes are nothing like private cars. An analogy would be Taxis. Taxis accepting the fare but then leaving passengers "at the side of the road" without provocation or reason is also against consumer laws in lots of jurisdictions.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
So after boarding their only recourse is to offer increasing compensation until someone gets off.
> Several passengers stated that the situation escalated quickly and was inflamed by the demeanor of a United employee. According to passenger Tyler Bridges, "An airline supervisor walked onto the plane and brusquely announced, 'We have United employees that need to fly to Louisville tonight. ... This flight's not leaving until four people get off.' That rubbed some people the wrong way." Passenger John Fuller described the employee's behavior and said, "She was very terse. ... She said, 'Four people need to get off this plane, or we're not going anywhere.'” Passenger Jason Powell corroborated this account and said that he did not understand why the employee had spoken with such a belligerent tone: "The tone immediately turned me off ... She accelerated the situation. It was poor leadership."
No one on the plane accepted the initial offer of $400 in travel vouchers to take the next available flight, nor the follow-up offer of $800 in travel vouchers.
Basically monopoly money, $800 in monopoly money, they want to be able to say they offered $800, dollar-sign-eight-zero-zero, they want to put that in their response to why they were right and the passenger was wrong. But I wouldn't eg buy 800 dollars worth of travel vouchers in order to use those travel vouchers to buy a ticket.
This isn't hard.
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/USCODE-2011-title49/html...
When looking for the reasons behind the growing prevalence of security concerns in modern society (both from governments and companies), one can hardly avoid the conclusion that it's just the perfect justification for anything.
The way the passenger was removed was wrong, and potentially illegal (I assume you can’t shoot someone because they are trespassing on your property, presumably you can’t injure them either). I believe United paid some hush money to stop him suing, but I see nothing to show the captain wasn’t allowed to have him removed.
a very TL;DR summary is that they can throw you out, and you can sue them for it later if it was for invalid reason, but you still get thrown out. Similar rules happen on the sea, which results in hilarious summaries like "yes, a Disney Princess can sentence you to death and do the execution, if specific conditions are met" (condition being "evacuated on escape boat/device of a Disney cruise ship"). The summary is hilarious, but the same applies to plane's captain so long as flight operations are ongoing, including pre-flight preparation after embarking.
A better analogy: If I purchase a movie ticket, the theater cannot just kick me out at will, right? Oh wait - yes they can.
See also "United Breaks Guitars" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YGc4zOqozo
(Also: RIP you beautiful guitars and cellos unjustly sacrificed)
Which behaviour? Not wearing a mask? Have you been on an airplane since the pandemic started?
My experience has been:
You have to wear a mask in airports, EXCEPT while close to a vending machine and eating.
You have to wear a mask on airplanes EXCEPT while eating and drinking food provided by the airline.
I'm pro-mask, I think they help protecting others, especially workers that don't really have a choice (eg: cashiers), I'm pro-vaccine to protect one's own health and prevent health care system collapse, but as far as I am concerned masks in airports and airplanes (and requirements for vaccines on airplanes in Canada) is a joke and some ass-covering from politicians, which somehow trickled down into virtue signaling of "which side" people are.
I’m as masked as you can be while also drinking wine, i.e. mask on between sips, but there’s a lot of bad faith on many sides here.
But a guitar you say I gotta check it at the gate
Well that isn't gonna happen get your hand off the case
Get your hand off the case less you wanna lose an arm
But what do I know, I'm not a guy trained to Trust the Scientific Authority, just a lowly pleb with a degree who does math and statistics for a living.
> strip them of their rights to move freely?
Is access to airplanes necessary for that right? I don't think so, the existence of a no-fly list wouldn't be consistent with that either.
I just hope in comes from a place of ignorance and heat of the moment.
Banning access to airplanes is already being done in cases where the airline decides a passenger isn't worth the trouble, just like a restaurant owner can ban people. Using a no-fly list is too much, and wouldn't do more than that either way.
Anti-vaxxers/Covid deniers have physically assaulted and sometimes even killed bystanders and it's not far-fetched to assume they don't take safety of other community members as seriously. Why would I want to share a plane with such people?
Some extremists that are also supposedly unvaccinated have done that.
Lumping everyone together under one insulting label and then judging them by the worst apples leaves you with a skewed image.
> and it's not far-fetched to assume they don't take safety of other community members as seriously. Why would I want to share a plane with such people?
I would say it is extremely far-fetched. Of the unvaccinated people that I know, nobody is aggressive or violent or would ever engage in behavior that is risking the safety of other passengers.
Punishing them for what some extremists have done is neither fair nor lawful.
> Why would I want to share a plane with such people?
Would you prefer to share your plane with a psychopath who happens to be vaccinated or a lovely person that happens to be unvaccinated?
user consp said: "[the vaccine] massively prevents hospitalization and severe side effects, including death"
user otabdeveloper4 replied: "Statistics show otherwise. [I do] math and statistics for a living"
To which I replied that severe COVID hospitalizations (i.e. ICU) are dominated by unvaxxed.
(Oh wait, you will suddenly remember about proper sampling and bias when arguing against a position you find ideologically abhorrent. Neat.)
I am asking what is the alternative explanation why the US covid ICU hospitalizations are dominated (upwards of 90%) by unvaccinated people. If the vaccine were ineffective against hospitalization --as you claimed-- wouldn't the ICU unvaxxed percentage be 50%? I'm legitimately interested to hear if there's an alternative explanation (besides "All the hospitals in the US are lying").
The people doing the research had a foregone conclusion - "vaccines are crucial in our anti-Covid effort" - and then went out of their way to massage the data to prove their point.
Other countries had different foregone conclusions, and demonstrate entirely different results.
"This is not in disupte except by conspiracists"
US data simply doesn't match figures reported by other comparable countries around the world and is likely to be distorted in some way. For example, here's a story from the UK in October/November last year saying that the majority of Covid ICU patients were vaccinated.
https://dailysceptic.org/2021/12/11/majority-of-covid-icu-pa...
That's the British government's own data which is of decent quality (mostly). US data is virtually uninterpretable in comparison.
Your stat is misleading, because ICU rates are much lower overall than would be the case if there was no vaccine at all.
Finally, your link is outdated. Unvaccinated are back to the majority of ICU admissions in Britain, if you look at the most recent source data.
Re: out of date. I'll take your word for it on the UK data now, but it hardly matters. Here's one from today showing the same thing for Israel:
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/02/05/80-of-serious-covid-case...
"Professor Yaakov Jerris, the Director of a coronavirus ward in an Israeli hospital, has said between 70% and 80% of the serious cases in his hospital are vaccinated and that the vaccine has “no significance regarding severe illness”. Israel National News has the story."
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/321674
Are Israeli hospitals really overloaded with unvaccinated COVID patients? According to Prof. Yaakov Jerris, director of Ichilov Hospital’s coronavirus ward, the situation is completely opposite.
“Right now, most of our severe cases are vaccinated,” Jerris told Channel 13 News. “They had at least three injections. Between seventy and eighty percent of the serious cases are vaccinated. So, the vaccine has no significance regarding severe illness, which is why just twenty to twenty-five percent of our patients are unvaccinated.”
It is common knowledge by now, January 2022, that SARS-CoV-2 vaccines do not prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2.
A tripple-vaccinated person can infect other people. I was infected by a tripple-vaccinated person and I was vaccinated as well.
We both still live, so maybe the vaccines did something to prevent hospitalization and severe side effects, including death.
How is preventing hospitalization and severe side effects, including death relevant from an airline perspective?
Obviously they need to do their best to prevent spreading of the virus, but if they start mandating things that have almost no impact on that, such as the vaccines, they are overstepping boundaries.
They have always "prevented" transmission in some cases, so reducing transmission. At slightly lower rates than preventing severe outcomes.
Delta was 2x more transmissible than the first strain of Covid. Omicron appears to be around 4x more transmissible than delta, so 8x more transmissible than the original variant.
Even if the vaccines had been 90% effective at reducing transmission and was just as effective against Omicron, we would expect Omicron to spread in a fully vaccinated/boostered population just as quickly as the original variant spread in a completely unvaccinated population.
However, the vaccines were not 90% effective at preventing transmission of the original variant, more like 60-80% IIRC. And Omicron has mutated significantly, so effectiveness is further reduced. And of course there is a significant percentage of unvaccinated (partly due to "the vaccines don't work misinformation, sigh!), and the virus has a much easier time going from unvaccinated → vaccinated or vaccinated → unvaccinated than it does going from vaccinated → vaccinated.
So seeing high(er) transmission rates right now in no way "proves" that the "vaccines don't work at preventing transmission". Neither do anecdotes that do not contradict the actual evidence. Transmission rates would be a lot higher without vaccines.
Now Omicron is dominant and these earlier strains are not relevant anymore. It is reasonable to expect that the virus will mutate more and faster, maybe even with many different strains that are relevant at the same time.
> And of course there is a significant percentage of unvaccinated (partly due to "the vaccines don't work misinformation, sigh!)
Most of Africa is unvaccinated, because they don't have the vaccine, while some countries are trying to enforce the third injection.
> Transmission rates would be a lot higher without vaccines.
That is not an argument for mandating vaccines when they only prevent the spread of the currently dominant strains with a very low probability or maybe even not at all. Actually I haven't heard of any good argument for that yet.
Yes they are, when explaining why "it's spreading quickly now" does not imply that the vaccines aren't effective.
They are.
>> It is common knowledge by now, January 2022, that SARS-CoV-2 vaccines do not prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2.
And when you stop spreading misinformation like this, I will stop correcting you.
> Most of Africa is unvaccinated
What relevance does this have to your false claim that the "vaccines do not prevent transmission"?
> > Transmission rates would be a lot higher without vaccines.
> That is not an argument for mandating vaccines
You are right that it is not. Fortunately, that is not the reasoning for vaccine mandates, but just a rebuttal of your misinformation, such as:
> they only prevent the spread of the currently dominant strains with a very low probability or maybe even not at all.
No, they do not prevent spread at "very low" probability. Omicron is just much, much more contagious, so even with pretty high probability of prevention the rate of spread is high. This is why comparing with older variants is helpful with understanding the current situation.
You are also making the mistake of thinking of the effectiveness as a completely independent variable. But it is not. Overall effectiveness rises as the vaccination rates increase, because vaccinated → vaccinated has a lower probability of transmission than vaccinated → unvaccinated or unvaccinated → vaccinated.
And since Omicron is so much more transmissible than Delta, never mind Alpha, getting to a higher vaccination rate is more important than ever in achieving the desired societal outcomes.
Furthermore, every sick person puts a stress on the health system. With Omicron being so incredibly contagious, the risk of overwhelming the health system rises, meaning that other people suffer when you become sick, even if you don't infect anyone.
> Actually I haven't heard of any good argument for that yet.
Then you're not paying attention.
b) I doubt that it is true, though Omicron is a tough one.
c) The reason I doubt it is that this is a nonlinear effect, i.e. you cannot easily extrapolate from vaccine effectiveness at 65% vaccination rate to vaccine effectiveness at 91%, 99%, or 100%.
d) The more contagious the virus, the higher your vaccination rate needs to be, for reasons that I hope are obvious.
e) So, seemingly paradoxically, the more the vaccine seems to not be working (it actually still is, the virus is just mostly much more contagious), the better the case for vaccine mandates. We really, really need to starve the virus of hosts, particularly so we don't breed ever more variants.
f) Even if it were true that R would still be > 1 with a 100% vaccination rate, as long as the R rate is lower with the vaccines than it is without the vaccines, the vaccines are preventing (some) transmission.
There is no magical law of physics that ensures that a 100% vaccination rate gets R<1. It all depends on how transmissible Omicron is in vaccinated people. The numbers are currently still in flux, but a reasonable current estimate is that two vaccinations are approximately 70% effective against hospitalisation with Omicron. We also know that it is (much) less effective against transmission than it is against hospitalisation. Even if it were 70% effective against transmission, that might still not be enough to get R<1 given the ease at which Omicron spreads.
Compare, say, with the measles, which has a natural R of about 10. With a 70% effective vaccine, it would still spread. Luckily we have a vaccine that is 99% effective against transmission, so it can be stopped. COVID vaccines are not nearly as good.
To give some indication from my country (the Netherlands) where 86.3% has been fully vaccinated, of the positive corona tests, approximately 66% fully vaccinated. We can see that this 66% is less than 86.3%, indicating that the vaccination is somewhat effective at stopping transmission, but that's still a heck of a lot of vaccinated people who can catch and transmit covid.
> Even if it were true that R would still be > 1 with a 100% vaccination rate, as long as the R rate is lower with the vaccines than it is without the vaccines, the vaccines are preventing (some) transmission.
Of course, but in the long run it would make little difference, because as long as R>1, then more and more people will continue to catch the disease, just over a longer period of time. Smearing out infections can be important if there is a shortage of hospital beds, but this can hardly be called "stopping transmission".
> The more contagious the virus, the higher your vaccination rate needs to be, for reasons that I hope are obvious.
Absolutely correct! And at a certain point, unless the vaccine is 100% effective against transmission, the vaccination rate would need to go above 100%, which is clearly not possible.
Secondly, many lifestyle choices affect the rate of transmission. The singular focus on the forcing people to inject something into their body against their will is unethical (note: I have personally been vaccinated). It is unethical not just because it violates bodily autonomy, but also because it is an easy way to abdicate from your responsibility to take care of your other lifestyle choices that affect the spread.
> We really, really need to starve the virus of hosts, particularly so we don't breed ever more variants.
Not going to happen. Even at a 100% vaccination rate it would still have many human hosts as the data I quote above show, but also because many wild animals now have COVID too. Unless they develop a new vaccine that is much more effective than the ones we currently have, there is no stopping it any more. We need to learn to live with it, like we do live with the flu. We are lucky that Omicron is so much milder than Delta. If you are fully vaccinated then the chances that you have serious illness are very very low. It for sure is terrible for old people and those with existing health problems, but we cannot realistically do anything about that, except for instituting Chinese level control. The response against COVID is at this point completely irrational and doing more damage than COVID itself. Not just economically (which directly translates into future deaths), but also because it is tearing societies apart.
This seems so unrealistic when most of the world's population is still unvaccinated and the virus can jump from and to animal hosts such as mice too, which seems to be the case with Omicron. So what is left? Mostly just the tyrannic aspect of vaccine mandates, besides of personal protection against severe diseaes for some of the few people who would not get vaccinated voluntarily and some prevention of transmission that does not provide any meaningful personal protection.
Under the current circumstances a more likely outcome is that everyone will be exposed to the virus, regardless of vaccination status and those who survive that (partially due to being vaccinated) will gain some natural immunity and this is what starves out the virus in the long run.
Especially when the vaccines do not prevent (most) transmission.
> And when you stop spreading misinformation like this, I will stop correcting you.
How can this be misinformation when vaccinated people get infected by other vaccinated people?
Claiming that they do not prevent transmission is misinformation.
Claiming that there has been some sort of change in this knowledge is misinformation.
If this is true, then following statement is equally true, since there are cases of "breakthrough" transmission:
> Claiming that they do prevent transmission is misinformation.
If the efficacy against transmission is below 50%, then Statement 2 has more weight than statement 1, because they fail in more than 50% of cases.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/cdc-director-covid-...
CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said that Covid-19 vaccines are no longer effective at preventing transmission of the virus.
"...what they can’t do anymore is prevent transmission. So if you're going home to somebody who has not been vaccinated, somebody who can't get vaccinated...
I would suggest you wear a mask in a public indoor setting,"
Claiming that the vaccine prevents spread is misinformation.And even if there was no difference it would still make sense to me. There's likely a large overlap between anti-vaxxers and people who don't like adhering to safety measures.
CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said that Covid-19 vaccines are no longer effective at preventing transmission of the virus.
"...what they can’t do anymore is prevent transmission. So if you're going home to somebody who has not been vaccinated, somebody who can't get vaccinated... I would suggest you wear a mask in a public indoor setting,"It beggars belief to imagine that your body is both more adept at fighting it and also somehow just as good at transmitting it.
COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths by Vaccination Status February 02, 2022
https://www.doh.wa.gov/Portals/1/Documents/1600/coronavirus/...
Summary
Unvaccinated 12-34 year-olds in Washington are
• 3 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 12-34 year-olds.
• 5 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 12-34 year- olds.
Unvaccinated 35-64 year-olds are
• 4 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 35-64 year-olds.
• 7 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 35-64 year- olds.
Unvaccinated 65+ year-olds are
• 5 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.
• 8 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.
• 9 times more likely to die of COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.
This can mean that the risk of hospitalization goes from 0.01% to 0.05%, which isn't something most people would care about. With statistics like that we need absolute numbers, not relative. Your post is basically an example of "how to scare people with meaningless stats".
The authors of the study that this letter referenced responded to the letter:
"Although our findings support Franco-Peredes’ conclusion that vaccination status should not replace social and physical public health mitigation practices, the above clarifications explain why our findings do not support his assertion that mandatory vaccination of health-care workers would not reduce nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 transmission."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
I was vaccinated and I was infected by a tripple-vaccinated person and one of my best friends is in a similar situation.
The idea that the vaccines prevent the spread of the virus is dead since we saw the number of SARS-CoV-2 cases in highly boostered countries.
This is not true and has never been true.
Vaccines "prevent" the spread in many cases.
Vaccines not not "prevent" the spread in 100% of cases.
Just like they do not "prevent" severe outcomes in 100% of cases. You can be fully vaccinated and boostered and still die of Covid. It's just a lot less likely than if you're not vaccinated. This reduction is the vaccines working as designed and advertised.
Effectiveness at preventing spread was always less than at preventing severe outcomes, even with the original variant the vaccines were designed for (or against). This was in all the literature I read about the vaccines during early 2021 (which also showed that, for example, AZ was significantly less effective at reducing the spread than BionTech, although both were >90% effective [still not 100%!] at preventing severe outcomes).
In the meantime the virus has mutated significantly, and the vaccines are less effective than they were against the original variant, but still effective.
They don't need to be 100% effective, but they need to be reasonably effective in order to be mandated as a tool for mitigating the spreading. At the very least reliably above 50%, I would say. Otherwise they can only be a tool for personal risk reduction, because they don't reliably do something against the spread. An airline has no authority to mandate personal risk reduction that is not related to the flight.
OK. So are you now retracting your previous claim that "vaccines do not prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2"?
> but they need to be reasonably effective in order to be mandated as a tool for mitigating the spreading.
Sure. This is a judgment call probably best made by people who actually know what they are doing?
> At the very least reliably above 50%, I would say.
Since you previously believed that they were not effective at all, which is 100% wrong, maybe you are not the ideal person to make that judgement call?
> Otherwise they can only be a tool for personal risk reduction
This turns out not to be the case, for several reason. First, have you heard of the Swiss Cheese Model?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiss_cheese_model
Lots of individual measures, none of which is perfect, together prevent calamities. And in aviation, all these measures are mandated, despite each individual measure not being super effective by itself.
Second, even a 20% reduction could be thing that suppresses the R value sufficiently to either not go exponential or to flatten the curve sufficiently to not overwhelm hospitals.
Third, even the, according to you, "purely personal" risk reduction of preventing severe outcomes is actually societal in a pandemic situation, because we don't have enough hospital capacity.
Fourth, I have seen no actual evidence from you for either (a) 50% being a reasonable threshold or (b) vaccine efficacy being below 50%.
Fifth, vaccine effectiveness at prevent spread increases markedly with fewer unvaccinated people. Vaccinated are far less likely to spread the disease.
So sixth, an airline is very well within its rights to prevent potential harm from its passengers and employees.
Why should I? It is true, because I was infected after getting vaccinated by someone who was vaccinated as well. There is a lot of data that suggests the same.
> Since you previously believed that they were not effective at all, which is 100% wrong, maybe you are not the ideal person to make that judgement call?
No, I didn't. Don't twist my words. I don't respond to ad hominems and after all you asked me for that answer.
> Fourth, I have seen no actual evidence from you for either (a) 50% being a reasonable threshold
https://www.fiercepharma.com/vaccines/fda-to-require-at-leas...
> or (b) vaccine efficacy being below 50%.
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/01/19/1071809...
> So sixth, an airline is very well within its rights to prevent potential harm from its passengers and employees.
Yes, but not by mandating SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. I am sure we will see such questions being clarified in courts soon.
> Why should I?
Because it is false.
> It is true, because I was infected after getting vaccinated by someone who was vaccinated as well.
That does not make your statement true. The vaccines never prevented transmission at 100% effectiveness. Never ever. They were not marketed as doing so, and if anyone did claim they prevent transmission at 100% effectiveness, then that person was spreading misinformation. It was never true.
They didn't even prevent severe outcomes at 100% effectiveness, and they were always much better at preventing severe outcomes than they were at preventing infection. (Initially >90% vs. <~ 80% against Alpha).
The whole idea that one case of transmission proves the vaccines are ineffective at preventing transmission is silly.
> Don't twist my words.
I am not twisting your words. You were making a judgement call, which you are obviously not qualified to make.
> https://www.fiercepharma.com/vaccines/fda-to-require-at-leas...
1. That is a 50% efficacy in preventing the disease, i.e. the severe outcomes, not transmission. All the vaccines pass that bar easily.
2. That was the threshold for approval then. Now is now.
>https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2022/01/19/1071809...
"Two weeks after the shot, the booster cuts the risk by about 70%."
Seems to be greater than 50% to me. Drops after that, but once again, it was always known that the effectiveness of the vaccine would be temporary.
>> So sixth, an airline is very well within its rights to prevent potential harm from its passengers and employees.
> Yes, but not by mandating SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.
By saying who they allow to fly or not. You don't have to get vaccinated. United does not have to fly you.
> I am sure we will see such questions being clarified in courts soon.
Will probably be very short court cases...
There are many cases. Mine is just the one where I know by 100% that the vaccine was ineffective at preventing transmission. However, the CDC itself says that SARS-CoV-2 vaccines cannot prevent transmission anymore:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/cdc-director-covid-...
CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said that Covid-19 vaccines are no longer effective at preventing transmission of the virus.
"...what they can’t do anymore is prevent transmission. So if you're going home to somebody who has not been vaccinated, somebody who can't get vaccinated...
I would suggest you wear a mask in a public indoor setting,"
Misinformation?> Seems to be greater than 50% to me. Drops after that, but once again, it was always known that the effectiveness of the vaccine would be temporary.
Guess which efficacy is smaller than the efficacy against symptomatic disease? I am not sure if it was always known that the efficacy was temporary. In the initial phase some scientists speculated about decades. Actually we can only now know how temporary they are after testing them on millions of people.
> By saying who they allow to fly or not. You don't have to get vaccinated. United does not have to fly you.
Sure anyone is free to avoid business, but if you want to put people on nationwide blocklists, then that may be illegal.
>> I am sure we will see such questions being clarified in courts soon.
> Will probably be very short court cases...
Sure, if the pro-mandaters still don't have any good arguments and have to resort to ad hominems instead, I am sure it will be quick.
Again: this is 100% expected. Why is it surprising to you? Even if the vaccines were 90% effective at preventing transmission, which they aren't, you should expect millions of such cases when you have tens of millions taking the vaccines. And tens of millions of such cases when you have hundreds of millions of people taking the vaccines.
You seem to be genuinely surprised (horrified?) by the fact that there are such cases. Why is this so?
The CDC director's comments are not misinformation, but your misrepresentation of those comments could probably be classified as such, similar to the way Carlos Franco-Paredes (the Lancet letter writer) misrepresented the findings of the study: vaccines are no longer sufficient by themselves, so you need to do other things as well.
Or as the authors of the study wrote: "Although our findings support Franco-Peredes’ conclusion that vaccination status should not replace social and physical public health mitigation practices, the above clarifications explain why our findings do not support his assertion that mandatory vaccination of health-care workers would not reduce nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 transmission."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
In the same vein, the CDC recommends vaccination as the #1 measure to help "stop the spread", despite your misrepresentations of the director's statement:
"Get Vaccinated and stay up to date on your COVID-19 vaccines
- COVID-19 vaccines are effective at preventing you from getting sick. COVID-19 vaccines are highly effective at preventing severe illness, hospitalizations, and death.
- Getting vaccinated is the best way to slow the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. CDC recommends that everyone who is eligible stay up to date on their COVID-19 vaccines, including people with weakened immune systems."
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-si...
Just in case you missed it: "Getting vaccinated is the best way to slow the spread of SARS-CoV-2,..."
I am not horrified by the fact that vaccines do not prevent (and only slow) the spread of the virus, because as you said, that was always to be expected, but by the fact that people are trying to implement mandates on such a weak basis, while ignoring all the social fallout that comes with such mandates.
> The CDC director's comments are not misinformation, but your misrepresentation of those comments could probably be classified as such
"could probably be classified". So you acknowledge that you falsely accused me of spreading misinformation. Thank you for the discussion.
They "slow" the spread of the virus by preventing infections. A breakthrough infection is not a slower infection, it is an infection that happens at the same speed (in fact, a little faster overall because it subsides more quickly). All the slowdown is via infections that do not happen, and were thus prevented.
> So you acknowledge that you falsely accused me of spreading misinformation.
Not in the least bit. You were definitely spreading misinformation earlier, all over this thread to be precise. Your misrepresentation of the CDC director's comments is a slightly less clear cut case, because you might reasonably claim to have just misunderstood her, but the other cases are pretty crystal.
Slowdown != prevention. You will just be exposed a bit later on average, but the spread still happens, just slower.
SARS-CoV-2 vaccines prevent the spread of SARS-CoV-2.
Is a lie. SARS-CoV-2 vaccines do not prevent the spread of SARS-CoV-2.
Is a true statement. The one that you chose to attack for some reason that only you know.Feel free to move the goalpost again. Or, you know... just accept the truth.
You have acknowledged that the vaccines prevent transmission, because that is how they slow the overall spread. You have acknowledged that it was always known that they do not prevent infections at 100% efficacy.
Your word games in constantly switching around individual and global definitions of "prevent", "spread" etc. are of no interest to me.
Bye.
Bye
On the other hand, having no symptoms is no reliable test for being SARS-CoV-2-negative, since many Covid cases are asymptomatic and even asymptomatic people can infect other people. So there is a chance that you unknowingly gave Covid to someone else if you did not self-isolate.
However, even the CDC says that vaccines don't prevent transmission anymore:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/cdc-director-covid-...
CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said that Covid-19 vaccines are no longer effective at preventing transmission of the virus.
"...what they can’t do anymore is prevent transmission. So if you're going home to somebody who has not been vaccinated, somebody who can't get vaccinated...
I would suggest you wear a mask in a public indoor setting,"Maybe I misunderstood you and I apologize for that, but I think you got my point - being asymptomatic says nothing about the efficacy of the vaccine against transmission and hence spread. There are asymptomatic Covid cases in vaccinated and in unvaccinated people. It has been found that there is no difference in viral loads between vaccinated and unvaccinated people who PCR test positive.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
A recent investigation by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention of an outbreak of COVID-19 in a prison in Texas showed the equal presence of infectious virus in the nasopharynx of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals.6
Similarly, researchers in California observed no major differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in terms of SARS-CoV-2 viral loads in the nasopharynx, even in those with proven asymptomatic infection.7
Thus, the current evidence suggests that current mandatory vaccination policies might need to be reconsidered, and that vaccination status should not replace mitigation practices such as mask wearing, physical distancing, and contact-tracing investigations, even within highly vaccinated populations.
> This is called ending the pandemic, where this virus becomes just part of the background since there's no point wasting tests on otherwise asymptomatic individuals and it doesn't affect society as a whole.Fully agree. People also need to accept the virus as part of their lifes and stop throwing a fit, because someone else is unvaccinated, because it is obvious (and not misinformation) that the vaccines do not prevent that almost everyone will be exposed to the virus.
I'm glad my parents' and grandparents' generations didn't share this attitude, for the obvious reasons of smallpox, polio, and MMR being practically nonexistent in my time, and with comparatively little fuss about mass societal uptake. [n.b. I am aware of the various efficacy rates of the vaccinations above, I'm just bookending this reasonable conversation we're having]
That's not an attitude, but a conclusion that is based on what we know about the virus and the vaccines.
Smallpox, polio and measles can practically be eradicated with vaccines, while SARS-CoV-2 cannot, at least not with the existing vaccines. It is also important to look at the fatality rates and other risk factors. Denmark has decided that SARS-CoV-2 is not a threat for the society anymore and lifted all mandates. Not because they don't value life, but because they value life.
The US has a vaccination rate of 65%
That doesn't seem so different. But of course it is the unvaccinated rate that counts. 9% in Denmark. 35% in the US. So almost 4x higher in the US.
Denmark has had 667 deaths per million, the US has had 2711.
So Denmark has a good case for dropping restrictions.
(And of course people will reverse the causality on this and claim that "hey Denmark opened, and has much lower fatality rate...")
Maybe because the causality is not so clear:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-vaccinations-vs-cov...
Saying they are completely ineffective is wrong based on what we know, to the best of my knowedge. I read, I talk to friends and family in the medical community, I am not an expert.
My understanding is that the vaccines have some effectiveness in preventing further infection but aren't fully effective, as evidenced by the study in Lancet which you indirectly linked to.
Your letter in reaction to this study:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/alrticle/PIIS1473-...
Here's the author's reply to the correspondence:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8694752/
Just because peak viral load is apparently the same doesn't mean infection duration or transmission rates are the same, and the study suggests they aren't, in part because of faster decline in viral load among vaccinated folks.
Of course that data is only about delta. The science may change, and I follow the science.
Getting back to what I said, you know that, in the US, vaccine hesitancy is correlated with both less mask usage and less social distancing, right? https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33592035/
If your idea is true, and the vaccine is completely ineffective, that still suggests unvaccinated folks are more likely to get infected with COVID, and to transmit it.
Getting back to the article, "Bastian said Delta has placed nearly 1,900 people on Delta’s “no-fly” list for refusing to comply with masking requirements"
Those aren't people I particularly want to fly with during this pandemic, but I do find the scope creep of the federal no fly list, as opposed to the company's list, disturbing.
If there is a testing mandate, then nobody without a negative test enters an airplane.
Airlines do not allow social distancing.
Getting vaccinated does not prevent the spread of the virus, but staying at home does.
How many steps (that are actually effective) can an airline passenger really take in order to prevent the spread of the virus?
Security measures are not all or nothing. It's about reducing the risk.
Even with a testing mandate some infections might not be detected. And wearing the mask, even 50% of the time, might reduce the risk of contracting or transmitting germs during the flight. It's a minor inconvenience that helps keeping the risks somehow under control
Cost and benefit analysis can be ineffective or unwanted in beginning stages of a pandemic.. but for COVID-19 it's been few years already and we can do such analysis.
See below for many studies:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-br...
Fortunately we don't really need studies here. A study is an attempt to figure out what would happen if everyone were forced to wear masks, but we did that already. Mask mandates get added, removed and changed at different times even in places that are physically next to each other, allowing us to see what it means in reality - which is nothing. States, counties, cities next to each other that differed only in mask mandates have identical case curves.
This guy makes tons of graphs showing this:
https://ianmsc.substack.com/p/every-comparison-shows-masks-a...
If masks actually worked, this data shouldn't be possible. There'd have to be a clear difference in outcomes. For instance this debate doesn't come up with vaccines except in the form "the real world stats appear to show some effectiveness against hospitalization and death, but are they reliable/interprted correctly?". Whereas here there are no real world stats showing effectiveness, only a handful of worthless studies that invariably seem to have major methodological errors when examined.
I'm sure actual gas masks would work, hopefully, but if you come up with a definition of "mask" that nobody actually uses and then claim mask mandates work, or even that masks work, then it's the same as admitting they don't really work.
> There is ample evidence that masking and social distancing are effective in reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. However, due to the complexity of airborne disease transmission, it is difficult to quantify their effectiveness, especially in the case of one-to-one exposure. Here, we introduce the concept of an upper bound for one-to-one exposure to infectious human respiratory particles and apply it to SARS-CoV-2. To calculate exposure and infection risk, we use a comprehensive database on respiratory particle size distribution; exhalation flow physics; leakage from face masks of various types and fits measured on human subjects; consideration of ambient particle shrinkage due to evaporation; and rehydration, inhalability, and deposition in the susceptible airways. We find, for a typical SARS-CoV-2 viral load and infectious dose, that social distancing alone, even at 3.0 m between two speaking individuals, leads to an upper bound of 90% for risk of infection after a few minutes. If only the susceptible wears a face mask with infectious speaking at a distance of 1.5 m, the upper bound drops very significantly; that is, with a surgical mask, the upper bound reaches 90% after 30 min, and, with an FFP2 mask, it remains at about 20% even after 1 h. When both wear a surgical mask, while the infectious is speaking, the very conservative upper bound remains below 30% after 1 h, but, when both wear a well-fitting FFP2 mask, it is 0.4%. We conclude that wearing appropriate masks in the community provides excellent protection for others and oneself, and makes social distancing less important.
In Germany FFP2/N95/KN95 masks are mandated in many places and situations. Only few people wear them with a tight fit though.
https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_p...
No difference.
Some people do dry fast, neither drink nor eat, for 24 hours straight with no negative effect. Can people who care so much about COVID they are ready to ban people from flying for the rest of their life, BUT they cannot not bear the inconvenience of not eat nor drink for a few hours?
please note: no one gives a shit if your antivax on a flight. its you're fucking behavior that's the problem. Thats what puts the scarlet letter on your forehead not your moronic views on vaccinations.
You are quoting an opinion letter to the Lancet, not peer reviewed research (see the "CORRESPONDENCE" in the top left corner). Passing opinions/letters off as peer reviewed research can legitimately be classified as "fake news"
The authors of the study that this letter referenced responded to the letter:
"Although our findings support Franco-Peredes’ conclusion that vaccination status should not replace social and physical public health mitigation practices, the above clarifications explain why our findings do not support his assertion that mandatory vaccination of health-care workers would not reduce nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 transmission."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
This sounds like "more power to corporations!". It should be decided by a court on an individual basis not by a chuckle-duck CEO based on staff complaints.
It's easy to move from this to "let's share lists across airlines." And followed by "hire people only if they're not on the list?" All because a flight attendant had a bad day.
Not apologizing for anti-maskers or other ill-behavior. But the way to solve this is in the courts not by privatizing justice.
And.... what keeps on getting lost is airlines like Delta and United would never find the space to get this bad if future customers would vote with their dollars and simply choose not to purchase their product. Then change would happen.
https://www.flyertalk.com/articles/john-oliver-how-airlines-...
The plane returned to the gate, a security agent came on board, removed them (no force needed). Then we had to confirm their baggage was off the plane, get new paperwork, push back again, adjust takeoff slot, etc.
We wasted 40 minutes of time for the ~100 people on the plane. Some may have missed connecting flights.
While I don't think a lifetime ban from civil aviation is warranted, I think a significant fine and a temporary ban would be appropriate.
>Delta CEO wants U.S. to put convicted unruly passengers on 'no-fly' list
And the first paragraph says:
>Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) wants the U.S. government to place passengers convicted of on-board disruptions on a national "no-fly" list that would bar them from future travel on any commercial airline, according to a letter seen by Reuters.
Seems like the proposal involves courts.
[1] If you have really strong allergies for example for peanuts, you're obliged to inform the airline about it, and then the final decision on whether you fly or not belongs to plane captain. If they agree, it usually involves things like banning peanuts from the flight (no matter where bought), and keeping a steward(ess) with epipen close by for the whole of the flight. At least one person got banned from a low cost airline in Europe when they opened their airport-bought peanuts on such a flight (after multiple repeated announcements that it's disallowed). The air isn't cycled enough to prevent peanut dust from causing anaphylactic shock on the other side of an 737.
There is no way an unlisted video should be treated as a private video.
And it won't be the last time Google changes opt-out, that's for sure.
Maybe they could have done something more clever, like only private videos that aren't linked on the public web already, but there would still need to be a mass privating of most unlisted videos.
Refusing to deboard and getting injured isn't a smart idea in the real world.
Imagine this was any other industry. You can't rent your apartment complex to more people than can fit and have the police shoot their dog and flash bang their kids when they refuse to sleep under a bridge that night because occupancy rates are higher than you thought and you needed to evict them.
I wonder if the doctor on this plane did this as well?
> What about putting unruly airport staff on a similar list?
Just don't fly United.
(United employees didn't physically touch him; that was airport security.)
I'll take the CEO's word on this one:
>...Munoz issued an additional statement, apologizing and promising that such an incident would never again occur on a United aircraft.
Yes, the airlines reserve the right to not let you board due to their overbooking. In the case of the United passenger (and many others that came to light after this assault) the person had already boarded. At that point, the reasons for not transporting (Rule 21) are spelled out and they don't include reasons like ("we decided to use the seat for our employee" or "a gold member wants the seat"), etc.
The idea of involuntary bumping itself should probably be viewed as regulatory capture. We don't allow that in other industries. There is nothing inherently wrong with the idea of overbooking as it allows for more efficient use of planes. Whether that results in lower ticket prices or leads to more profit for the airline will actually vary, but it is ultimately immaterial - making more productive use of airplanes is good for everybody. The issue is involuntary bumping and people treating this as somehow acceptable. If the airlines screw up and have too many passengers for too few seats, it is up to them to solve the problem through voluntary means and not assault. Just about everyone has a price they would be willing to give up their seat and it will be different than the person next to them. If you are traveling on a last minute ticket to visit a family member in the hospital, you might not be willing to delay your travel for any amount of money. If you are traveling on a vacation, the amount might be relatively little. Also some passengers will value some things more than others - offering a year of platinum level membership might entice a business traveller, offering money might entice a college student, upgrades to first class might entice others, etc.
Now all domestic airlines in the US are like AirIndia. Flying private/charter is the only choice, I wouldn't trust a commercial pilot for long haul or international travel.
Is the only real option for the 8 figure club to buy a jet card/fractional for international private flight?
Unruly behavior by airline staff? You don't fly in that airline anymore.
Unruly behavior by a passenger? The passenger doesn't fly in any US airline nor any US-bound airline anymore.
That doesn't seem like a proportional response.
They just need bodies.
https://www.propublica.org/article/stebbins-alaska-cops-crim...
The one to whom society means to be free from the violence imposed upon citizens by any authority, against the one to whom society means the enforcement of a set of rules protecting it against chaos (I reckon my phrasing may be biased, can't help it I guess).
I was actually very surprised by the many different (seemingly legit) posters who interjected in favor of the right for a corporation to expel anyone for any reason, not withstanding that this right might actually not be legal, or added in small print in a contract designed to be misleading, or that the plane might actually not be their property, or that, more importantly, "rights" are ultimately just an evolving bag of conventions that probably benefit in the long term from being periodically challenged...
I went as far as counting those posters, and according to my current census there are eleven different persons, all legitimate users with lots of karma, for whom apparently it's acceptable to use violence against a paying customer. I would have expected this opinion to be quite marginal and unpopular (I would have expected the more libertarian stance that the company should have bought the seats back from those customers instead, at whatever price was the "market price" in that situation).
When I look into myself, I think I can find some traces of what makes the "rule over everything else" appealing.
Of course as a software engineer by trade this is partly a professional bias: I like predictable systems, therefore I like simple rules easy to interpret. I like leaving assertions in production, getting a nice core dump whenever the slightest precondition does not hold, even when an invisible work-around would have benefited the customer more.
But there is also something stronger and deeper than that, an almost unconscious fear that if we start to bend the rules, mayhem will follow.
I do not own much, so chaos is not that frightening to me, but if you happen to own a lot of things, to care for a family, in a place fraught with poverty induced unruly behaviors, then the faint desire of simple hard rules (esp around trespassing) can grow into the strong desire for unchallenged laws and the consecration of property, I presume.
Or maybe that's just some natural feeling that's in all social apes in varying proportions.
Everyone has been personally affected by the pandemic, had our health and freedoms threatened, been inconvenienced. Well, some people believe that unvaccinated, anti-mask people are responsible for that. We know that's not true. Unvaccinated antimask people create really one public health risk-- they are incapacitated by, and die from, coronavirus in higher proportions. They are the quintessential eggshell-skulls of our time. Rather than treating them with care and compassion like the vulnerable conscientious objectors they are, these people are treated with derision. I think that's because many people see membership on team 'flatten the curve' has some relationship to a wish to curtail the loss of freedom and threat to health. That's counterfactual, and the maths related to mask efficacy (or inefficacy) render it highly implausible. However, as with many things, those with the least understanding and reason tend to be the most certain and urgent in their views.
Maybe replacing "against chaos" with "against violence of individuals" might help to reduce that bias?
I’m assuming the captain believed the potential passenger would be disruptive (which he clearly was).
It looks like private security who were masquerading as police were physically removing a peaceful protester. That puts the blame on them for how it happened, but the airline was within its rights to refuse to fly the passenger who broke their contract.
A better option would have been for the captain to refuse to fly (claim a technical issue or out of hours) thus deplane the entire plane, and sue the passenger for the disruption as he breached the contract.
The entire flow was terrible - they should have deplaned the entire plane then reboarded, denying passengers boarding at that point - just like they would if it turned out the seats were dangerous for example. After the peaceful protest began they should have cancelled the flight. They went this way because of operational convenience (save 30 minutes), and thus risked a peaceful protest that they couldn’t handle without costing them even more (cancelling the flight). At that point they chose to ask private security to remove the protesters and that security failed to do so safely, and there’s the potential lawsuit (not that US police are much better at conflict resolution)
I don’t see any way that passenger was going to fly that day though, if the pilot decides he doesn’t want you on the plane, you’re not going anywhere, at best you can sue for breach of contract and then argue the contract terms that presumably restrict damages are unlawful, but that doesn’t happen on the plane.
Nobody defended the airline, and many said that they should've approached it differently. However, once the decision has been made, regardless of whether it was correct/fair/just, the situation has now changed to eviction and that is standard anywhere: ask first, then order, then use force. Air travel is more security sensitive and therefore more forceful, but that's all there is to it.
A civil issue with improper removal should be dealt with at the gate or other civil courts, not by refusing to move which only escalates into a much bigger federal security problem.
> "favor of the right for a corporation to expel anyone for any reason"
This is an incorrect assumption. Corporations do have some rights to refuse service for certain reasons. They can't do whatever they want, just like a private individual doesn't have the right to do whatever they want. Neither extreme is acceptable.
> "society means to be free from the violence imposed upon citizens by any authority, against the one to whom society means the enforcement of a set of rules protecting it against chaos"
These are not opposing views. Freedom doesn't exist without order, and order doesn't exist without rules, and rules don't exist without enforcement, and enforcement doesn't exist without violence.
Society is the collective agreement that your rights are my responsibility; you're free from violence until you break the rules, at which point authorities that are explicitly granted a monopoly on violence will use it to enforce the rules. Of course there are various factors and complexities involved, but the fundamentals are pretty straightforward.
He can take whatever actions he wants but only after he's out of the plane.
If a change of weather results in weight and balance no longer be correct for safe flight, booting off passengers in order of "who loses first on oversold flight" is probably the least problematic way possible.
It would be best to reduce or eliminate unrulyness, not just move it around, even if it ends in a small reduction.
Don't piss off bards.
What no one mentions, is that this guy bought a ticket where the fare rules clearly state your seat is conditional; it was a deeply discounted fare.
If I have something important where I need to be somewhere, I buy a fare that guarantees me a seat. It’s an option you select in nearly every reservation system I’ve used (including the airlines websites).
The airline was well within its rights. If he was a doctor, and it was that important, he should be buying a fare that reflects that and avoid these issues.
He bought the cheapest fare that clearly stated the rules where he would lose his seat under certain conditions, then acted indignant when there were consequences.
The airline asked him to leave, he refused. That’s trespassing, “plane” and simple.
When the police came, he still refused. They arrested him, and he still refused. I’m not really sure how else you remove any trespasser that refuses to comply, without some use of force.
I fly all the time, and I have to buy the more expensive fares because I’m an adult that has appointments. It would make me angry if the airline was prioritizing deeply discounted fares and bumping me instead because of someone’s self-important claims.
Need to be there at a certain time? Buy a real ticket.
They may deny boarding. This is the legal term even ("Denied boarding"). That is why they do it prior to boarding the aircraft. You will get "Denied Boarding compensation" (https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/14/part-250)
Once they have taken your ticket, you have boarded, and have sat down, you may no longer be denied boarding due to oversale.
Heck, once they have taken your ticket and told you you can proceed to board, they can't remove you whether you've gotten on the plane or not.
They may only remove you "due to a safety, security, or health risk, or due to a behavior that is considered obscene, disruptive, or otherwise unlawful"
See, e.g., https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
Scroll to "Can airlines involuntarily bump me after I have boarded the flight?"
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/27/travel/airlines-bumping-r...
First, that particular change was part of the 2018 FAA reauthorization act (congress did it - see https://www.govinfo.gov/app/details/PLAW-115publ254), but they link to the DOT regulations done much later.
It's true it was a response to David Dao.
But it was actually never allowed, even before that. The airlines just liked to argue about it and be a pain in the ass, so they added a line to the law about it.
In the case of David Dao specifically - the flight was not oversold, so they had zero leg to stand on.
(Now, once they asked him to leave, he needs to leave, but they did not have a right to ask him to leave)
I've grown tired of airline and car booking company abuse. I'll notify the appropriate authorites or maybe even sue when I can, thanx to WizzAir, Ryanair, Booking.com and other abusive companies. In the EU it's easier because there's all kinds of consumer protection laws. Vacating seats by force is pretty much unhead of.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Express_Flight_3411_inc...
Search for "confidential settlement"
https://www.forbes.com/sites/omribenshahar/2017/04/14/david-...
> Generally, no. If you have met the following conditions, airlines are not allowed to deny you permission to board, or remove you from the flight if you have already boarded the flight: You have checked-in for your flight before the check-in deadline set by the airlines; and
>A gate agent has accepted your paper boarding pass or electronically scanned your boarding pass and let you know that you may proceed to board. However, airlines may deny boarding or remove you from a flight even after accepting your boarding pass and informing you that you may proceed to board if the denial or removal is due to a safety, security, or health risk, or due to a behavior that is considered obscene, disruptive, or otherwise unlawful.
They can easily use safety under “weights and balances” as the reason.
You are right that they can lie and claim lots of things to say the person needs to be removed.
It's pretty easy to hold them to account, and consumers have had no trouble suing airlines successfully when necessary.
In the case of "weights and balances", if they falsely remove you for that reason and put some other crew member they need to move on instead, that seems like it would be pretty easy to show is bullshit.
Because you are posting ridiculous comments implying that people have a bunch of rights to do things on a airplane that will end up landing them in jail or with big fines.
Step back and remember that you’re still on private property and the government has taken obscene steps in the industry to protect safety at all costs. There are very narrow rights you have with regard to monetary renumeration which you should leverage whenever you get the chance.
However, refusing to leave a plane when being asked to by the staff is always a losing move. There are no clear punishments for the airline and there are significant outs (“passenger was being unruly”).
> remove you for that reason and put some other crew member they need to move on instead, that seems like it would be pretty easy to show is bullshit.
Not if they bring the crew on, get them seated in jump seats, and then state that some people need to be removed.
This can happen even without manifest changes. If a significant storm pushes into the arrival airport when getting ready to depart it may delay the flight and alter fuel requirements for alternate airports. I’ve been on flights where they had to ask people to deplane in exchange for vouchers just to fly with the seats empty to offset weather range requirements.
The correct answer, as I’ve said repeatedly in this thread, is to hold them to account in court
The rest of your claims and game playing loopholes have not faired well for airlines (or airport security) in court. That is why they settle, often for significant money. Have you bothered to look at the cases? I have.
How would it play out for them to invoke that law disingenuously?
They won't use it to fly with an empty seat, nobody wants that except maybe a couple adjacent passengers who might enjoy the elbow room. The airline certainly doesn't want an empty seat.
If they stated out loud to someone that weight in that seat puts the passengers' lives at risk, then seats another person there, I'd hope the backlash would be instant and severe.
It's only fungible regulation that interferes with an airline's ability to make their own decisions in cases like this.
As a landlord, I can get you out of a building I own at any time (with a court order), unless I have entered into a contract with you, and I am not require to do so.
But, would this passenger have acted any differently if they had to ask him to leave under one of the acceptable conditions? Based on his reasoning, I highly doubt it.
It’s not uncommon on the type of aircraft operated by Republic that after boarding, they need to vacate a few seats based on fuel requirements (changing weather). I’ve had times we taxi, then return to the gate to offload passengers because the wind changed directions. I’ve many times seen passengers get upset, but the system the airlines use to select passengers is fairly objective. Based on fare type, when you purchased, etc.
Also, from a legal perspective, once the airline asked him to leave, even if they broke the rules it’s still trespassing. If the airline asks me to leave, I’m not arguing. I leave and handle the situation with customer service. I’ve had this happen. And I’ve been “bumped” incorrectly before, and well compensated after.
Also… I agree with the airlines reasoning that they needed to move a crew. If they can’t position a crew, that’s 150 bumped passengers with a significant domino effect (potentially four or five doctors… that did the right thing and bought the appropriate fares) rather than just four.
I'm just pointing out he did nothing wrong - the airline retained no right to remove him, and deserves all the ire and lawsuits it gets when it does ;)
A company should deal with its internal processes without making them the client's problem. Put that crew on a different flight, hire a charter for them, plan better next time.
Are you OK with your ISP cutting your internet because the company needs to transfer some important company data? Buy a car but never have it delivered because the company needed to give it to an important person who couldn't wait? A hotel kicks you out of your room because an employee is tired and needs to rest there?
Being right but getting your head beat in is .. not winning. Being right but getting on the no fly list is .. not winning. Being right but getting involved in a lawsuit after flying is .. not winning.
How hard was it for Dao to realize there’s no way to come out on top in this immediate situation, and the only logical next move is to comply and use the inconvenience to get something out of the airline?
That severely softens your previous line (if not changing the meaning altogether):
> The airline was well within its rights.
It's ok to simply write, "Gee, I didn't consider that. Thanks."
He would have been wrong to act the same way had the circumstances been different, but then the circumstances were what they were and not something else. People usually behave differently in different circumstances. Unless you are suggesting that he might actually be a primitive automaton, I'm not sure what you are arguing here.
And the imbalance of power is core here. Boeing resolved the criminal charge related to the 737 MAX scandal by paying $2.5bn. The CEO isn't on a "no freedom list" despite his actions leading to the deaths of 346 people. The CEOs f airlines operating the 737 MAX who were informed by the pilots of the dangers but did not cease flying that plane, endangering tens of thousands. What kind of list should that land them on but didn't?
If you do something on the internet that endangers someone's safety do you go on a national "no internet" list? If you cause an accident on a public road do you go on a "no car/no access to public roads" list?
I have status on the airline I usually fly on and don't buy "Economy minus" fares. But I certainly don't generally fly business or otherwise pay higher fares because "I'm an adult who has appointments" and my company almost certainly wouldn't reimburse me if I did. And I'm sure that's true for almost everyone.
Legally, they may not remove you for oversale once they have taken your ticket, let you board, and you have taken your seat.
Most attorneys have no problem taking these cases.
Also note that once it's clear it's not legal, the police/city also can be sued if they intervened.
Part of Dao's settlement was an agreement not to sue the city of chicago for that reason.
Now it’s not denying boarding.
Fighting with an airline is the same thing as pissing into the wind.
When the airline says get off the plane, you get off the plane. You argue later. Hire lawyers. Whatever makes you feel better. If you struggle or resist, you’re liable to get hurt. It’s a constrained space. I hit my elbow every time on a plane.
Let’s analyze his excuse that he needed to see patients. What kind of irresponsible doctor doesn’t have a coverage/plan b for if they get stuck? His failure to plan for getting bumped doesn’t rise above the airline’s rights to decide who’s on their planes.
Dao comes off like an entitled asshole who should have seen the outcome of his actions.
https://www.transportation.gov/individuals/aviation-consumer...
> The business practice of bumping is not illegal. Airlines oversell their scheduled flights to a certain extent in order to compensate for “no-shows.” Most of the time, airlines correctly predict the “no shows” and everything goes smoothly. But sometimes, passengers are bumped as a result of oversales practices.
...
> it is legal for airlines to involuntarily bump passengers from an oversold flight when there are not enough volunteers
> If there are not enough passengers who are willing to give up their seats voluntarily, an airline may deny you a seat on an aircraft based on criteria that it establishes
Not to mention:
> Other Reasons You May Be Removed From a Flight
...
* Attempting to interfere with the duties of a flight crew member.
* Disrupting flight operations or engaging in unruly behavior.
As well as: FAA regulations state that “no person may assault, threaten, intimidate, or interfere with a crewmember in the performance of the crewmember’s duties aboard an aircraft being operated.”
That is why they settled the suit - and why the rules were changed!
It amazes me that people think this is ok - and that David Dao was somehow in the wrong here.
And since they were, once he's asked to leave and doesn't he's now in the process of disrupting flight operations and interfering with a staff members duties by not leaving.
Very politely refusing to leave private property when asked to is very politely committing trespassing and that situation always escalates to involving the police.
Who, in the performance of their duties, should not use excessive force or cause physical injury but again - this is a separate matter to whether they have the authority to remove an uncooperative passenger, which as your link asserts repeatedly - they do.
> "On January 13, 2021, the United States Department of Transportation amended its rules, forbidding involuntarily bumping from an overbooked flight after boarding starting on April 21."
While we are doing this, let's go full Facebook/google play/opioid prescription and not have a way to call and figure out what happened. Just you find yourself on the list and that's that! Sounds wonderful.