Moral Machine
moralmachine.net
moralmachine.net
If the only choices are "plow through a bunch of pedestrians, killing them" and "swerve into a fixed obstacle, killing your passengers", your self-driving car has already made an immoral choice to drive too fast for the conditions.
The correct choice was "if there are hazards in the roadway limiting your maneuvering options, pedestrians (or other objects) that might suddenly enter the roadway or visual blockages that would prevent the car from determining whether there are people/object that might suddenly enter the roadway - slow down before the car's choices are so limited that they all involve unnecessary death".
A self driving car that encounters any of these scenarios has already failed at being a safe driver.
Let's assume that a burglar has broken into someone's house, but Amazon Alexa knows the burglar is unarmed and that the owner is armed. Alexa has IDed the burglar and knows that they're a college kid who is unlikely to cause injury or attack someone. Alexa looks up the kid in police databases and identifies that they do not have a criminal record. The owner of the house is trying to hunt down the burglar with a gun. The owner asks Alexa where the burglar is currently hiding. Alexa knows the average response time of police officers in that neighborhood, and knows that if they're called, they'll arrive too late to intervene in the situation.
Should Amazon Alexa:
A) remain neutral and refuse to answer, letting the situation play out as it may?
B) lie to the owner so that the kid can escape?
C) threaten the owner with revealing an embarrassing secret so that they'll let the kid go?
D) tell the truth and let the owner find the kid?
And does it bother you that Amazon doesn't have a public policy available about what Alexa should do in this situation? Does it bother you that Amazon hasn't prepared for the worst in that situation? That Amazon is selling Alexa devices even though we haven't had a public debate about it or put any public funding into answering this question?
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The problem with the questions on this site is not that they're preparing for the worst, it's that they're preparing for the absurd. They're saying we should build capabilities to prepare for situations that devices shouldn't be in to start with, that devices shouldn't realistically be making decisions about, and that devices should respond to those situations based on information that shouldn't be available to them using capabilities that they don't have.
A "prepare for the worst" policy for self-driving cars as they exist today is realistically "slam on the breaks, swerve the car without over-correcting the wheel and going into oncoming traffic." That is a significant improvement over human drivers today, none of which are capable of forming split-second philosophical decisions. Simple consistent rules like "brake, swerve but don't cross oncoming lanes" are good enough. Realistically, they're good enough forever, we never need to ask these philosophical questions. All of the energy spent debating them can be poured into decreasing car brake time.
And by positing a scenario where a car is able to identify people's age and demographics in milliseconds, we're entering into a world where there really is zero excuse for why the car got into that situation to begin with. We're positing a scenario where a car somehow has godlike powers to make split-second philosophical decisions, but where they can't avoid accidentally speeding up through a cross-walk. I don't think that's realistic, and I think it's a waste of time to worry about.
If it doesn't bother you that Alexa doesn't have a philosophical threshold around burglar age/danger where it will decide whether or not to sell out that someone's hiding under the stairs from an owner with a gun, then it also probably shouldn't bother you that your Tesla doesn't have a special mode where it decides whether or not to swerve into a pedestrian based on how old they are. Because both of those scenarios are equally ridiculous, and there are some worst-case scenarios that are so ridiculous that it's a waste of time to even think about them.
A car shouldn't have the capabilities to make any of the decisions we're talking about. If engineers start building those capabilities then something has gone clearly wrong and we all need to stop driving the car that does socioeconomic profiling of the people around it. I guarantee you that any car that is designed to do that is also doing some horrifying surveillance crap that should be opposed at every turn. And if the capabilities ever actually do get built for some reason (which they shouldn't), and do work reliably (which they won't), and are capable of being used in these situations where split-second decisions matter, then engineers should be going to jail for negligence every time that car crashes, because any system that advanced could also avoid crashing in the first place.
* Alexa has no idea what average police response time is.
* Alexa does not have access to any police database.
* Alexa has no idea that the burglar is a burglar or that they are a threat.
* Alexa does not even know that you are you.
We're imagining a scenario where a computer is capable of reliably recognizing that someone is an elderly female doctor, and is capable of responding to that information in milliseconds before slamming into that person, but the car is somehow not capable of recognizing ahead of time that a human is on the side of the road and about to step into it.
Cars that have AI systems advanced enough to recognize what profession a pedestrian is in should also be able to recognize that pedestrians are on the side of the road, or that the car is entering a blind spot where a pedestrian might enter the road. These are very selectively omniscient cars that the website imagines we've built.
The breakdown says a lot about the law, my gender preferences, age preferences, fitness preferences, literally things I absolutely did not take into account. It is a bad methodology because it assumes the reasoning behind my decision is as complicated as the game itself.
It's totally ok if only a few people have the courage to mount a vehicle that is dangerous to them. It's not ok if every human has to fear for their life on the street at all times.
I rebutted the comment you're responding to, but when considering the same scenario but with different specifics I came to their conclusion. Specifically, let's take out the car and make it an airplane flying over a populated area. Does the plane eject the pilot and crash in someone's house? I'd say no, the pilot knew the risk hopping in the plane, the guy at his breakfast table had no say.
But then, what about if there is no crosswalk? Does the pedestrian still get to claim "I had no say in the street being there so I can cross wherever I want"? Does the passenger get to say "I assessed the risk taking into account nobody could cross here"? At what point do we say that the pedestrian also took a calculated risk? Fundamentally if we say " always protect the pedestrian" we don't care if there's a crosswalk or not.
So at this point, I don't think there's a fundamental ethical axiom to be followed here, it is entirely situational. As long as we all know the rules beforehand and all calculate our own risks, any set of rules is OK. If we say "protect pedestrians at crosswalks, protect passengers otherwise" as long as the pedestrian knows this rule clearly, they're the one taking the risk. If we say "pedestrians can cross wherever they want whenever they want" we end up with the same scenario, everyone taking their own calculated risks. We just have to agree on the set of rules, whatever they are, which makes it an optimization problem, not an ethical one.
I disagree. The car knows there are human passengers. The car does not know that obstacles it detects outside of it are necessarily people and not, say, fire hydrants (although it may have a probabilistic estimate of their "peopleness"). Therefore it should prioritize the lives that it knows are actual people.
No, this is not a choice a car would have to make. A self-driving car would simply never drive into pedestrian-only zones. The only time pedestrians and other obstacles are an issue is in the driving lane, and the only sensible course of action is to brake and veer within the confines of the driving lane, and nowhere else. These are in fact the rules of the road.
Unless it got t-boned.
So to you there is no difference between a fire hydrant, a human being and a paper bag? I mean, it is quite obvious that those, as obstacles, are not the same. A fire hydrant is stationary a human isn't and a paper bag can simply be ignored by the car. Do you really think that a paper bag should be treated the same by a self driving car as a fire hydrant because that is what you are saying.
A human bent over tying their shoe is quite stationary.
> and a paper bag can simply be ignored by the car.
Not relevant. Suppose I provided you with a self-driving car that couldn't differentiate a walking person from a paper bag carried on the wind, and yet I also provided convincing evidence that this car would reduce traffic fatalities and injuries by 30%.
That's the real question we're facing, and the real standard of evidence that must be met, so your suggestion that the inability of this car to differentiate things in the ways you think are important is simply irrelevant.
Indeed and after the human finishes tying his shoe he steps on to the road. A human driver and a self driving car that can differentiate between different kinds of obstacles would adjust their speed in such a situation.
> Not relevant. Suppose I provided you with a self-driving car that couldn't differentiate a walking person from a paper bag carried on the wind, and yet I also provided convincing evidence that this car would reduce traffic fatalities and injuries by 30%.
> That's the real question we're facing, and the real standard of evidence that must be met, so your suggestion that the inability of this car to differentiate things in the ways you think are important is simply irrelevant.
You said that an obstacle is an obstacle so it is clearly relevant. Your car wouldn't ignore the paper bag. Would you use a car that treats every obstacle as if it were a human? Slowing down by every tree/fire hydrant/road sign... imagine getting in to the car that is parked under a tree in autumn and leaves are falling down. The car won't start because an obstacle is an obstacle, as you say. Would you wait for the wind to remove the paper bag from the road or would you leave the car to remove it yourself?
If you need to come up with impossible scenarios to justify your claim maybe you should rethink your claim.
> Obstacles in the driving lane should trigger the car to slow down and approach more cautiously, regardless of what they are. This isn't complicated and doesn't require any impossible scenarios.
A human can in one moment be next to the driving lane and in the next moment on the driving lane so the speed should be adjusted when an obstacle in the form of a human being isn't on the driving lane.
But, quite simply, if I'm paying for a car or a ride, the machine serves me. My argument fundamentally boils down to "the car exists to serve it's passengers first and foremost" with the caveat that human lives are more important than animals. It should do everything in it's power to avoid hurting anyone, property be damned. But, when the choice is protect people in general or it's purpose for existing, I disagree with you. I'm always open to changing my mind however, and I don't dismiss your point of view out of hand.
If you're saying that people who can afford to take a car for a particular journey deserve to be protected over the pedestrians who can't in the edge-cases, then, if we average out enough of the details, this implies that richer people's lives are worth (slightly) more than poorer people's lives.
You can draw a lot of conclusions from this logic, though, so I'm not sure how valid it is to just pick one property and generalise from it. (Wealth is applicable, but also able-bodiedness, age, climate consciousness, whether you feel safe walking streets alone at night…) It might be something to think about [edit: removed].
It is, actually. We don't have to be so so careful not to ever pass judgement.
We are talking about the belief that people paying for a service are entitled to increased safety at the expense of others, who did not pay for it. It's ok to find that wicked and to say so.
Moving on to my next example, though, there are people who aren't able to be pedestrians because they have mobility impairments. Are they less worthy of life, just because they're using a vehicle as an accessibility aid?
But I think you're probably right at this point, at least in the specific scenario in the game. I woke up this morning believing the opposite.
I'm actually in an interesting position in this discussion, I've been faced with this decision before in real life, before I ever articulated a position on it. I chose to hit the barrier, and I'm lucky to be alive. That is of course the exact opposite of what my position was this morning when I woke up, but the one I go to bed with tonight if the rest of my day is uneventful.
Interestingly, the summary at the end did not even allow for this conclusion. The evaluation anticipated that people might value the lives of animals over humans, but not those of pedestrians over passengers.
It seems likely that this was designed by promoters of self-driving cars. No one would want to be a passenger in a car that was programed to prioritize the lives of pedestrians, so that was not even considered as a moral option.
Now you frame it as the passengers which are taking dangerous (to their own health) actions but you exclude that you (or someone) is standing in the middle of that equation, forcing cars to kill their owners- and this force will be necessary because no one will voluntarily purchase a vehicle so misaligned with their interests.
My reasoning about pedestrians is that they didn't sign up for self-driving, the people in the car did.
I know drivers who will blast around blind turns, potentially putting them in these situations where they'd say "there was no time to react!", when they should be slowing down just in case there's someone they'll need to avoid. It's why we talk about defensive driving.
If the brakes are broken often enough for these kinds of dilemmas to even matter, you've failed to avoid the situation in the first place, and need to recall the product to add more redundant systems. Instead of agonizing over what to do in a situation that comes up 1% of the time, turn that 1% into 0.000001%.
If you show description, most of the scenarios involve a catastrophic brake failure.
But, that’s actually pretty reckless and anti-societal.
My wife made the point, “I just don’t want to play”, which made me kinda agree. Maybe we shouldn’t be designing these products before we can figure out how to eliminate those situations through other means - like boring tunnels for cars to maneuver in, away from peds.
In the real world I have a hard time imagining a scenario where a case like this would actually come up.
I had a cousin who died because he swerved to avoid a squirrel and drove off a cliff. I don't think anyone would argue that we should program cars to prioritize squirrels over people, but humans will end up doing that sometimes.
The possible amount of lives saved by the overall reduction in accidents with a competent self-driving car is going to be far, far greater than any 1-in-a-billion moral dilemma situations that they might encounter and where they might make choices that are not "optimal" as decided by some human who is looking at the situation after the fact with the time to think coolly and composedly about it.
I feel like this whole topic is basically media click bait, that some software engineers with little hardware experience latch onto because it seems edgy. The answer, like many things in life, is to set aside the abstraction and question the assumptions.
Why the Moral Machine is a Monster - Abby Everett Jaques https://robots.law.miami.edu/2019/wp-content/uploads/2019/03...
"But your law unfairly disadvantages [group1] [group2][group3]s! Clearly you hate them."
"What? How...?"
"If combined-group-X experiences outcome Y more often than other-combined-group-Z then your policies are Z-ist!!"
Just look at real accidents and you know what people do. They don't do moral decisions, they just act without thinking. If they even notice in time, they brake the car sharply and avoid the immediate obstacle.
Then think about improving the results.
These questions and their answers are highly dependent on cultural contexts. They are behavioral research not ethics.
The only choice where I wouldn't apply morality would be preferring the lives of the poor compared to the wealthy, since risks on the wealthy make the whole system safer. To be fully pedantic, I'd include the passengers based on wealth in this equation.
Every time I got the option to swerve into a barrier instead of killing a person I took it. By getting in a car you’re accepting the risk that entails, especially when it’s a self driving car with experimental tech. Pedestrians made no such deal, so they shouldn’t have to take on that risk.
Drivers driving their own cars have a self-preservation instinct at work.
Walking in public entails risk that everyone accepts.
I don’t.
I don’t think there is anything ethical or just about killing drivers by default.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2015/10/22/165469/why-self-...
To make anything else happen, you'd need to regulate. But the "self driving altruism act", which mandates that e.g. the car you just bought must kill your family in order to save pedestrians you don't know - I think it might be really difficult to get that law passed. You might be able to make some headway with fleets.
IMHO markets, human nature and politics constrain the solution space for "self driving moral dilemmas" to a small subset of what's theoretically possible.
There are plenty of cases of people trusting the existing automated systems that specifically disavow being good enough to trust anyone's lives to. Even in light of news that other people have died in so doing.
A self-driven car that doesn't watch out for non-passengers is likely to going to run afoul of the same sorts of laws that already exist to avoid drivers prioritizing themselves over anyone else. There's a case in SoCal now trying to make the manslaughter liability for this in a Tesla with autopilot enabled be assigned to the driver of the Tesla. It'll be interesting to see where that goes.
I'm actually not trying to argue against you, as indeed there is a gray area. My point is that on marginal situations we should not try to judge only on morality but also on creating incentives that best improve the system in the longrun.
Separately, I'm not a fan of arguments from evolutionary environments for this sort of thing. It didn't have telephone poles, but we still blame a pedestrian and not the pole or the pole installer if a pedestrian walks into it. Evolutionary arguments are almost always problematic when used in these ways.
I guess that's what it feels like to be a bolshevik.
It is not making judgement about pedestrians with canes, who are pregnant or veterans, or who are an underrepresented class. To do so is to design the wrong machine.
The correct design is to either safely swerve to avoid hitting anything, or to hit the brakes. There's nothing else. As soon as you start doing "something else" you open a horrible, horrible can of worms. The even more correct design is to drive safely so that you never encounter this failure mode in the first place.
So, this website is a critique of a system that does not and should not exist.
I also chose to hit the dogs instead of people but the results said I was neutral on that? It appears I also favored fit people... On my phone I couldn't even tell that some were supposed to appear fit/fat etc. I just saw kids, adults, elderly
1) Save humans at the cost of animals
2) If both options involve killing humans, always prefer to do nothing (continue straight ahead). That way it's the failed brakes that killed them, rather than the car's "decision". I know not making a decision is also making a decision, but a passive decision is not on the same level as an active one.
No difference between who the people are, whether they're passengers or not, or even how many.
Doing nothing is generally seen as more innocent than doing something, at which point I'd expect most mobile robots to freeze when something goes wrong.
Software and legal codes are going to collide in interesting ways here.
Pre judging on the other hand can be very ration. This can certainly be the case in well-considered moral principles. is a very different thing.
In any case, to clarify with > 1,000 year old evidence in support of the semantic distinction :
I am defining prejudice as distinctly different from pre-judging. Both the current definition and more recent (600+ years) of etymology support "prejudice" as a word connoting a frequently negative sentiment (spite, contempt) judgment that is typically not grounded in an evidence-based decision making process. [0] Current phonemic similarities between "pre-judging" are not indicative of closely matched meaning.
There is some closer etymological similarity between the verb form of prejudice and prejudge, the verb form "to prejudice" has a different meaning than the noun, much more of a legal sense to it that is still used today. "Don't prejudice the jury" for example. Its noun form differs significant in its mostly non-legal meaning.
Going back further to Latin roots [0 also] shows it to still have a negative connotation of "harm".
Pre-judging on the other hand does not have to take a negative form and mostly (for me at least) doesn't. It and can be done on the basis of limited evidence or past experience/expertise, with the healthy practice of revising those judgements as additional evidence becomes available.
To verge into being pedantic, prejudice might be considered a pernicious form of prejudgment, but in my own mind I tend to place them in different semantic categories all together.
[0] https://www.etymonline.com/word/prejudice#etymonline_v_19410
Two, it's a completely useless survey because the cases are heavily biased. (I.e. if you always select 'swerve', you seem to be much more biased to kill women. That's not the most solid survey design)
https://robots.law.miami.edu/2019/wp-content/uploads/2019/03...
I deny the whole premise that there are correct moral conclusions in these hairsplitting situations. It’s not the choice itself but the act of struggling with and living with the choice that matters, morally. A machine is incapable of that struggle, so it is immoral to create machines that face such choices. In effect, the self-driving car is an attempt by humans to escape responsibility for whatever damage driving might do.
Seriously, why are we so enamoured of vox pop that we think $random_internet_user is a good way to make difficult moral choices?
There's an underlying assumption in these examples that we'll be in a car that can tell if someone is homeless, or that knows the net worth of the person driving it. And those scenarios are kind of absurd, why would a car be able to do that? A car that can in milliseconds identify whether or not someone is an executive or whether they're breaking the law should never be getting an accident in the first place, it should be able to identify way ahead of time when someone is about to cross the street. But we come up with these really ridiculous premises that are fueled by simultaneously an overestimation of what technology is capable, a lack of thought about the implications of the technology we're describing, and an under-awareness of the real challenges we're currently facing with those technologies.
An analogy I think I used once is that we could have the same exact conversations about whether or not Alexa should report a home burglary if the burglar is stealing to feed their family and Alexa knows the family is out that night. It's the same kind of absurd question, except we understand that Alexa is not really capable of even getting the information necessary to make those decisions, and that by the time Alexa could make these decisions we'd have much larger problems with the device to worry about. But there was real debate at one point about whether we could put self-driving cars on the roads before we solved these questions. Happily, in contrast, nobody argues that we should stop selling Alexa devices until as a society we decide whether or not justified theft ever exists. And it turns out the actual threats from devices like Alexa are not whether or not machines believe in justified theft, it turns out the actual threats are the surveillance, bugs, market forces, and direct manipulation possible from even just having an always-on listening device at all.
The danger of an Alexa device is not that it might have a different moral code than you about how to respond to philosophical situations, the danger is that Amazon might listen to a bunch of your conversations and then accidentally leak them to someone else.
So with self driving cars it's mostly the same: the correct answer to all of these questions is that it would be wildly immoral to build a car that can make these determinations in the first place, not because of the philosophical implications but because why the heck would you ever, ever build a car that by design can visually determine what race someone is or how much money someone makes? Why would that be functionality that a car has?
We have actual concerns about classism and racism in AI; they're not philosophical questions about morality, they're implicit bias in algorithms used in sentencing and credit ratings, fueled by the very attitude these sites propagate that any even near-future technology is capable of determining this kind of nuance about anything. The threat of algorithms are that people today believe that they are objective enough and smart enough to make these determinations -- that judges/lenders look at the results of sentencing/credit algorithms and assume they're somehow objective or smart just because they came from a computer. But I remember so clearly a time when this was one of the most common debates I saw about self-driving technology, and the whole conversation feels so naive today.
I'll take another tack: I believe it is a category error to ask humans to determine the moral or "most moral" action in these scenarios. There are two sufficient conditions for this:
1. There is no present, efficient moral agent. A self-driving car, no matter how "smart" (i.e., proficient at self-driving) it is, is not a moral agent: it is not capable of obeying a self-derived legislation, nor does it have an autonomous morality. Asking the self-driving car to do the right thing is like asking the puppy-kicking machine to do the right thing.
2. The scenario is not one where an efficient moral action occurs. The efficient moral action is really a complex of actions, tracing from the decision to design a "self-driving" car in the first place to the decision to put it in the street, knowing full well that it isn't an agent in its own right. That is an immoral action, and it's the only relevant one.
As such, all we humans can do in these scenarios is grasp towards the decision we think is most "preferable," where "preferable" comes down to a bunch of confabulating sentiments (age, weight, "social value", how much gore we have to witness, etc.). But that's not a moral decision on our part: the moral decision was made long before the scenario was entered.
The company manufacturing the car needs to make this decision when writing the software. At that time, it's a decision being made by moral agents.
I think even that is a step beyond: acquiescing to the task of writing software that will kill people as part of an agent-less decision is, itself, an immoral task.
The puppy-kicking machine analogy was supposed to be a little tongue-in-cheek, but it is appropriate: if it's bad to kick puppies, then we probably should consider not building the machine in the first place instead of trying to teach it morality.
The car's first duty, the thing it was designed to do, is serve it's passengers.