A Fossilized Blood-Engorged Mosquito Is Found for the First Time Ever (2013)
smithsonianmag.com
smithsonianmag.com
Also from the article: DNA has a half-life of ~521 years so there's no DNA left in the blood.
Does this mean that the oldest creature that can be “restored” should be dead for less than 521 years old?
Figure that rate of decay into your "restoration" technique to know for how long an organism can be "restored" after being dead. Does your technique require 100% of the DNA? Better catch them on asphalt. Is 50% good enough? You could probably restore Newton. You could do Paul with 6% give or take.
> The average DNA half-life within this geographically constrained fossil assemblage was estimated to be 521 years for a 242 bp mtDNA sequence, corresponding to a per nucleotide fragmentation rate (k) of 5.50 × 10–6 per year.
If there is a 50% chance that a 242 base pair sequence has a break in 500 years, you will be able to recover the full sequence in way more than 50% of 500 year old samples. First, you have many copies of the same DNA fragment in a macroscopic drop of blood, so some will not have a break. Second, even if it's older and all strands have at least one break, you can look at a bunch of half strands or tenth strands and infer the complete sequence. Likewise, if I had a thousand copies of a book where each copy had a few destroyed pages, it would not be hard to reconstitute the entire contents of the books.
I think the above rate of decay would allow for recovery of the sequence in a sample after probably tens of thousands of years. This is why mammoths, but not dinosaurs, are typically the targets for brining back extinct mammals.
Wikipedia Amber
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amber
CAN YOU REALLY PULL A "JURASSIC PARK" AND EXTRACT DNA FROM BUGS FROZEN IN AMBER?
https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/can-you-really-extract-dna-fr...
This mosquito is around 50 million years old. The DNA in its belly is too degraded. Restoration ain't gonna happen.
[0] https://www.npr.org/2021/09/14/1036884561/dna-resurrection-j...
Damn I want dinosaurs!
That's true but there might be some fragments left.
My favourite example: for the first 60M years of trees existing, there were no organisms to digest the wood of dead trees. They just sat there or maybe burned. This is where 95% of the coal comes from.
I'd really give anything to see some of these periods all the way back to the Cambrian Explosion, which had some truly alien-looking life based on fossil records.
It's also why I'm skeptical about doom and gloom predictions of runaway climate change. To be clear, I'm a firm believer that human activity has played and will continue to play a huge part in climate change. This also may be really bad for us. But the Earth will (ultimately) be fine. Something like 99% of the species that have ever existed are extinct now and this will continue to happen with or without human involvement.
The article points out that DNA degrades quickly (~500 year half life). That doesn't mean it can't survive for millions of years. It just means very little of it does. Also environmental factors come into play (eg it would probably survive longer in Antarctica, for example). Still, recovering a complete genome from such fragments is all but impossible (also mentioned).
Anyway, It's kind of amazing to think that a mosquito bit some creature ~46M years ago and a fossil of it somehow survived until today.
“Doom & gloom” is a defined differently to many people. What exactly do you mean here? Are humans going extinct & Earth is going to become uninhabitable? I certainly don’t think so.
But your claim about rate of change, which is often repeated, is actually wrong [1]:
> Unlike the relatively stable climate Earth has experienced over the last 10,000 years, Earth's climate system underwent a series of abrupt oscillations and reorganizations during the last ice age between 18,000 and 80,000 years ago ... There are twenty-five of these distinct warming-cooling oscillations (Dansgaard 1984) which are now commonly referred to as Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles, or D-O cycles. One of the most surprising findings was that the shifts from cold stadials to the warm interstadial intervals occurred in a matter of decades, with air temperatures over Greenland rapidly warming 8 to 15°C (Huber et al. 2006). Furthermore, the cooling occurred much more gradually, giving these events a saw-tooth shape in climate records from most of the Northern Hemisphere (Figure 1).
[1]: https://www.nature.com/scitable/knowledge/library/abrupt-cli...
We're looking at mass extinctions, loss of whole ecosystems, more wildfires, more storms. Not good things. Worse if you do it to yourself.
Let the moving goalposts begin.
If the last 10,000 years of relative climate stability is unusual--and it seems to be at least within the context of the last 100,000 years--then how can you argue it's "bad for life"?
This is the point of my comment: people have a warped view of "normal" as being the first thing they experience.
For example: sea level changes in the last 20,000 years are massive [1]. Over that time the Sahara was a desert, became tropical and became a desert again (~6200 years ago) [2]. Climate change is viewed by many as a significant factor in the Bronze Age Collapse [3].
> So I don't think you can shrug it off and say "pah, this all happened before". So did WWII
Seriously?
[1]: https://judithcurry.com/2011/07/12/historic-variations-in-se...
[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahara#:~:text=By%20around%204....
[3]: https://www.latimes.com/science/la-xpm-2013-aug-15-la-sci-sn...
Edit: I'm not arguing that 10k years of climate stability is bad for life. The opposite, actually.
I don't really think that the climate of 100,000 years ago matters too much, aside from the fact that our species (and those we rely on) survived. The critical difference is the last 10,000 years of relative stability is the period during which human population reached billions. I'm sure we can survive a return to inclement weather, but we probably won't thrive.
The rapid rate of change induced by human caused warming still isn’t going be followed by a global cooling like D-O cycles. D-O cycles also occurred in a world that was still wild and not overdeveloped. The Earth’s biosphere was far more resilient back then. I don’t really see the point youre making? Was it just to disprove a statement I made?
The doom and gloom isn't for the Earth on a planetary scale. It will be just fine as a celestial body, but the biofilm stuck to the surface may be significantly inconvenienced.
Nowadays I think this comment has no target, it's just repeated as a joke.
That I find fascinating!
200-500 million years after Earth formed, life was there. We witness it now and 1 billion years from now it will all be gone. A bit like "tears in rain", or more like "tears in vacuum/hard radiation".
Intuitively that seems almost unbelievable, given how quickly microbes evolve to exploit potential food sources, including novel types of plastics. And Wikipedia says of it: "However, a 2016 study largely refuted this idea, finding extensive evidence of lignin degradation during the Carboniferous, and that shifts in lignin abundance had no impact on coal formation. They suggested that climatic and tectonic factors were a more plausible explanation."
Edit: I mean, what I see here is:
<parent> Here's the existing body of research on this topic.
<jacquesm> I disagree.
How does this add to the discussion?
That HARDLY counts as "the existing body of research on this topic."
What are YOU adding to the conversation? At least the gp comment was engaging with the intuitive reasoning line of the topic, you're just aggressively nitpicking people over your own misreadings.
What does that even mean? The Earth will be what it is. There is no 'fine' or 'not fine'. "Save the planet" really means "keep the planet in a state that is good for us."
Imagine if civilization crumbles, and our descendants, huddled in caves and trying to find enough food to eat, are all getting diseases from these things, and people look back at us and say "but they thought it wasn't ethical to kill mosquitos".
I often wonder if those mosquitoes don’t fulfill some strange yet essential role in that beautiful ecosystem’s continuation.
Would love to hear that no, we can safely eliminate them and all the other cool and cuddly ones will be fine. But with my luck…
Really though, I’d like to see better medical technologies to deal with illnesses.
Like for example choosing an island with mosquitoes (and far enough from other lands as to not be rapidly repopulated) eliminating them there and seeing what the effect is in the ecosystem?
I wonder if something like this has ever been tried.
Putting aside the DNA issue (see other comments), there's also environmental issues - the atmosphere during prehistoric times (I'm not an expert here, so excuse the vagueness) was far more oxygen-rich that it is now. If a real dinosaur managed to time-travel to our present time, it would die of asphyxiation like a fish out of water.