It’s gross margin and revenue growth are comparable to FB’s of 8ish years ago (gross margin sits around 80%. FB’s today is 90%, insanity). Even after it’s recent drop in valuation, NET is trading at a higher revenue multiple today than FB was at that time.
FB was probably undervalued 8ish years ago. But FB also had a clearer narrative around TAM and LTV than NET does.
The current price bakes in some biggish assumptions (1) NET’s TAM is not even close to saturated (2) LTV per customer will keep growing as NET adds on new services that existing customers will want to pay for. There are many valid reasons to believe this, if you follow their earnings calls.
That doesn’t mean today’s price is bona fide bad or good. Rather, it reflects Wall St’s faith in Cloudflare’s ability to materialize grand-but-achievable ambitions.
The earlier peak price had far too much growth priced in, it was not sustainable imo. When price outpaces value, it’s normal to see a correction.