No - I agree with upthread that the Irish war of independence, Kenya insurgency, etc count as revolutionary moments. They're just not revolutions that reached the capital. I think you could even count Ian Smith's extremely rightwing UDI of Rhodesia as "revolutionary".

I am somewhat arbitrarily ruling out anything that might count as a palace coup. Revolutions led by or installing someone who is a blood relative of the deposed monarch probably don't count as "popular" either (e.g. "Glorious Revolution").

Yes exactly. And those are less 'popular' than they seem. VI Lenin was not a prole nor were most of the Bolsheviks.

Historical communist revolutions (Russia, China) are pretty openly 'elite' led: by their respective communist parties. By comparison the civil war is a lot more 'popular' because it is much more of a mass movement against Stuart personal rule.