> In February of 2018, Acton invested $50 million of his own money to start the Signal Foundation alongside Moxie Marlinspike > > https://signalfoundation.org/en/
He's worth at least a billion dollars, so one imagines that Signal will continue as long as he's involved.
If you're rich you get all kinds of people in your life soliciting your money, you gotta watch it like a hawk, it's easy to lose a billion dollars.
And it’s probably sound for Signal to not rely on one single wealthy donor.
To be fair, that applies to non-billionaires as well.
:O
You can give away 50 mil a year and still get tens of millions dollars richer if you're sitting on $1B.
It's only "easy" to lose $1B if you have absolutely no idea what you're doing.
Whether or not you want to invest at that rate is entirely a separate conversation.
The reason not many rich people lose their money is because becoming rich is hard and you have to be smart to do it. You don’t have to be good or moral but you have to be smart. Even then there’s a ton of washout among new millionaires. But you don’t get to a billion by accident. Look at all the people who make tons of money through some other means than intelligence — lottery winners and football players — they all lose their money even if it’s millions. Sorry bud, the system isn’t rigged. Life is just hard.
Buying SPY returns on average 10% or so, year over year.
Do you consider the S&P500 to be "extremely risky"?
>Sorry bud, the system isn’t rigged.
I feel like you replied to the wrong person? Between you and I, the only one who brought up the question of whether "the system" is rigged or not is you.
How do you lose what 500 people make in their lifetime?
Just physically moving that amount of cash is difficult and takes time. Even those lottery winners don’t blow the whole lot in less than a year.
...that's why it isn't moved physically?
I think people that say it's easy to lose 2b$ don't have a clear understanding of the amount of money that is. It's a crazy amount for one person.
You know, same problem as everyone else, really.
With doors that go like this or this and not like this
Can you cite some examples? If it were easy, presumably a lot of people have done it.
[0] https://www.thesportster.com/basketball/15-nba-players-who-w...
You know what they say: a million here, a million there, pretty soon it adds up to real money.
Alongside the other examples in this thread, Donald Trump lost at least $1b during the first two years of his term.
> If it were easy, presumably a lot of people have done it.
The easiest way to lose a billion is to start with more than a billion, and there aren't really a lot of people in that position.
People forget this far too often. No matter how much money a person or an organization has, it can disappear in the blink of an eye if you view it as an unlimited money pot that you can keep going back to.
It is somewhat difficult for one individual to consistently single-handedly support a charity in the US without causing the tax status of the organization to change detrimentally.
With that said, if I'm interpreting their 2019 filing correctly, it appears that they are making enough in donations that they may have a legitimate claim to being able to eventually repay the loan, and they are now including imputed interest on the (interest-free) loan as revenue.
> The foundation was started with an initial $50 million loan from Acton, who had left WhatsApp's parent company, Facebook, in September 2017.[8] The Freedom of the Press Foundation had previously served as the Signal project's fiscal sponsor and continued to accept donations on behalf of the project while the foundation's non-profit status was pending.[4] By the end of 2018, the loan had increased to $105,000,400, which is due to be repaid on February 28, 2068. The loan is unsecured and at 0% interest.
Appears it wasn't an outright donation. I've always wondered about the details behind this. Don't think I've seen something like this before.
For all intents an purposes, he owns Signal. He's the org's benefactor, lender, founder, board member, and now CEO.
If you have millions of people giving a small amount of money, chances are the organisation will try to preserve the users' best interest.
Now I get it that the person who gave a lot of money also happen to be the interim CEO, but you gotta start somewhere.
In Germany there is now a party running on a program trying to forbid political parties from taking donations from any individual above €5000 per year, and barring politicians from staying in office longer than two terms of 5 years each. -- This is roughly the standard I expect from any charity that wants to have any shot at getting money from me.
The guy's worth 2.5B. I sincerely doubt he'd go to all that trouble to just make even more money. There are easier ways, with less scrutiny.
This is similar to how Google Docs competes with Microsoft Office. It hurts Microsoft's cash-generation and thus benefits Google as they compete with Bing.
If Google had been even smarter (or poorer, so as not to be able to afford footing the bill for Google docs entirely on their own), they could have established Google Docs as a 501c3 foundation, benefitting from tax exemptions and donations from individuals and just dominated that foundation through large donations and putting the right people in charge.
This may or may not be an accurate analogy for Acton's true motives with Signal, but I just can't know the truth of it and am therefore not taking that risk with my cash.
[0] https://www.dailydot.com/debug/wikipedia-endownemnt-fundrais...
Just five years later, the endowment passed $90 million, and the $100 million mark, now described as an “initial goal,” will be reached this year.
https://www.influencewatch.org/non-profit/tides-foundation/
Which partly explains Wikipedia's political stance.
The fact that they declare themselves center-left is not a violation of 501(c)(3)?
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/05/us/politics/irs-targeting...
I'm curious to hear what you think Wikipedia's political stance is?
I can think of one family of scientific subjects where the "progressive" side is almost as unscientific as the "conservative" side, and a particular case[0] where the "progressive" agenda was loudly denying the scientific state of the art.
But I cannot think of any cases where the "conservative" side had actively better scientific grounding. But that, of course, is probably due to my bias, my thought bubble, etc. So please, if you can rise to the standard you're setting, I'd like to learn about it. (If nothing else, almost all of my friends and family are left of me, and it's nice to be able to reality-check them, when social mores permit.)
[0] I'd provide my example, but I'm sufficiently afraid of progressive culture to not want to discuss the particular case under my own name. But I checked WP on the subject, and while it's not incredibly detailed either way, I don't think it supports the progressive side of the case w.r.t. the science. (In my assessment, the alleged progressives were wrong about the science in this particular case, although they may have been right about everything else, I dunno.)
Neither of these positions is The Truth, as usual, but the result is that some of the things the right has been saying have been accurate but previously disparaged. For example, the difference between dying of COVID and dying with COVID, or accurately pointing out that the large majority of fatalities have been people with comorbidities.
This is literally an irrelevant example because it's not related to Wikipedia. New, evolving science (especially as it intersects with many governments' policies) is always going to be wrong to some degree.
rel·e·vant /ˈreləvənt/
closely connected or appropriate to what is being done or considered.
appropriate to the current time, period, or circumstances; of contemporary interest.
> New, evolving science (especially as it intersects with many governments' policies) is always going to be wrong to some degree.
Now this is an irrelevant criticism. Nobody asked for an example that isn't in dispute.
New, evolving science is the thing you would expect there to be the most political disputes over because the uncertainty causes people to believe whatever most benefits their coalition.
The classic example is CAGW. If I know a person's position on that, I find I can predict their position on most any other contentious issue.
The average people on the street have plenty of received opinions that they are happy to share, but know little about the actual science relevant to them.
But, we were discussing Wikipedia science articles. The issue with Wikipedia is what is permitted to be said on some science pages, and what is quickly reverted.
Everyone is political. Good scientists (and good encyclopedists) ought to try hard to suppress that.
In case anyone was curious, it seems to stand for "catastrophic anthropogenic global warming" [0] (or Citizens Against Government Waste, which seems an equally stark signifier of the invoker's political position -- who better to exemplify "waste, fraud, abuse, and mismanagement in government" than, uh, Bernie Sanders?!).
"CAGW", for "catastrophic anthropogenic global warming", is a snarl word (or snarl acronym) that global warming denialists use for the established science of climate change. A Google Scholar search indicates that the term is never used in the scientific literature on climate[104][105] except in reference to denialist tactics.[106]
It’s not a “snarl” word. It’s an acronym which is used because the whole fully qualified set of words is too long.
All four words are necessary to state what’s being discussed. Anything less is trying to deflect the debate.
Working backwards, Warming: it’s a rare scientist that thinks the world isn’t warming. We are still coming out of the last ice age. Fifteen thousand years ago, there was ice a mile thick where I’m sitting. We are also coming out of the Little Ice Age. A couple of centuries ago, you could walk from Manhattan to Staten Island on the ice in the winter.
Global: local climate change happens all the time. No one disputes that. The discussion is about global climate change.
Anthropogenic: significantly caused by humans, specifically by emitting excessive CO2. This is theoretical, because by itself, CO2 can’t account for the projected warming. There must be a feedback to the real greenhouse gas, water vapor.
Catastrophic: The amount of warming is going to alter the global climate to the point that the Earth’s ecology and human civilization will be seriously affected.
The last two points are in scientific dispute. The computer models, which have many knobs, predict a bad outcome.
Historic satellite measurements of the global tropospheric temperature show that nothing unusual is happening. The increase is 0.14 C per decade.
https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/01/uah-global-temperature-...
It appears to me that the CAGW hypothesis is disproved.
Global climate change is a topic for some very interesting science. The solar system's position in the galaxy, for example. Or, the effect of the sun on the intensity of galactic cosmic rays.
The climate models can't address even recent pre-industrial global changes.
>The last two points are in scientific dispute
I don't think that's true. I think that a casual google will show that climatology is actually in overwhelming agreement that human activities are driving climate change, and here's one I did earlier [0]. To the reader: this is a testable hypothesis!
>It appears to me that the CAGW hypothesis is disproved
Argument by personal incredulity isn't always a fallacy. Sometimes, smart people are intuitive and well-informed enough to jump directly to conclusions without needing to cover the intervening intellectual distance. Maybe this is happening here, and I'm just not an exceptional person, but if I were you I'd consider wondering why the likes of Dr Roy Spencer and I couldn't turn our ability to outthink entire scientific disciplines to a more profitable end.
The issue is that stupidly oversimplified models from 40+ years ago have been borne out, sourced from both capitalist and Soviet science [1][3]. By all means, there are many, many inputs into the grand planetary system, but the inconvenient truth, if you will, is that atmospheric CO2 increases seem to track with temperature increases, in both modeling and the historical record. I think, by "many knobs", that you're trying to suggest there are many variables that can be tweaked -- nope! It's actually very straightforward. Are there complex, "more realistic" climate models that produce unorthodox results when their knobs are twiddled? Probably! But for every one of those you fixate on, remember that there is one big, simple one that continues to track with the thing we're trying to measure: observable reality. Bald-faced denial of observable reality is a pretty good signifier that some aspect of science has been politicized, whether in a Wikipedia article or in a congressional hearing.
You've made a lot of claims, but haven't really backed any of them up, or even explained them; "CAGW" is pretty clearly a snarl word.
[0] https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2966
[1] https://eos.org/features/a-50-year-old-global-warming-foreca...
[2] https://xkcd.com/1732/ <- "This is just a temperature chart!" That's right, but its sources, which track the CO2 rise, aren't
[3] https://www.climatefiles.com/exxonmobil/1982-memo-to-exxon-m...
There is research to support all kinds of propositions regarding the vaccine's efficacy and safety. Of topical consideration is its efficacy in reduction of transmission. The article has been scrubbed (and all updates are being removed) which cite the current research that the vaccine is less effective at reducing transmission against more recent strains of covid-19; and especially compared with typical live-attenuated and inactivated vaccines.
Citation: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2108891
Further, all citations have been scrubbed (and all updates are being removed) which explain that mask efficacy in reducing transmission for children is questionable at best, and also demonstrably harmful.
Citation: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
Further, all citations have been scrubbed (and all updates are being removed) which explain that vaccine efficacy wanes rather quickly compared with typical live-attenuated and inactivated vaccines.
Citation: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345
Further, all mention of "natural immunity" has been scrubbed (and future updates are being removed) discussing the reality that those who have already recovered from covid-19 possess natural immunity to the virus which is at least as effective as vaccines.
Citation: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8627252/
These are all relevant and credible citations to an article discussing many aspects of the virus, yet they are being actively removed.
I feel the need to postface my comments with the disclaimer that I love vaccines and have three covid-19 vaccines already, and am prepared to receive more. My comments are purely to provide a relevant and factual example to support OP's premise that there is some form of bias present in moderation of Wikipedia now. This bias is extremely difficult to quantify and qualify because there are millions of layers of bureaucracy built into Wikipedia's moderation system. It is almost ungovernable now, and those who have attained sufficient power and coordination can and do use that power to affect bias.
Are they still doing the crypto scheme? I stopped donating when that started, but would be more than happy to pick it back up if they reversed course.
Why?
This has been ongoingly why we have bad encryption technology. No one wants to taint their ideological purity by trying to solve problems for organizations that can pay for them which would actually solve problems for private citizens, and simultaneously ensures that good technology doesn't secure important social interactions for private citizens.
Why should I not be able to verify I'm talking to my bank through Signal? Why can't I have messages from my local government secured to me via Signal?
It's a 2-sided problem, and one side is this bizarre rejection of any attempt at enterprise marketing for a platform with enterprise utility.
The biggest customers of a company inevitably shape the incentives and behavior's within that company. easy to dismiss as a "slippery slope fallacy" but it's historically true. No one who's using Signal to get away from the shitty enterprises that built/own FB Messenger wants a repeat of the same thing. Even if you don't agree, many Signal users probably do, and it would be silly for Signal to piss off their customers.
Also, payments with free floating crypto like MobileCoin and bitcoin really isn't practical in most of the western world, due to the requirements of capital gains tax reporting, not to mention the instability of the price.
MobileCoin is seriously behind the ball on this, even though it's a problem being actively solved on bitcoin's lightning network, https://seekingalpha.com/article/4459757-biggest-bitcoin-dev...
I have nothing in principle against crypto currencies and I am very much in favour of strong privacy for personal communication, but mixing the two is obviously contradictory. It completely defeats the purpose of Signal.
That was as of last April, the page has now been removed.
I guess I'm just worried about perverting what makes it a good messaging client, and would rather they get money from people that support that cause so they aren't as tempted to chase some other path because the alternative is to shutter.
That said, that can happen even if they can sustain themselves through donations if the management/board decide to do so. Just have to hope it stays the course.
Good sources to read?
https://community.signalusers.org/t/proper-secure-value-secu...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/gmwheu/introducing_...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/hkl914/welcome_to_t...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/giqxug/whats_happen...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/hkle3d/forced_pin_b...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/ghsj5b/pin_cloud_st...
https://old.reddit.com/r/privacy/comments/hm2fwx/why_i_think...
Signal then announced that because of all the hate they'll make the feature optional, but opting out would just set a pin for you and upload your data anyway. This also caused a bunch of confusion.
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/hnok10/moxie_on_twi...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/hrlmoe/pins_now_opt...
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/hoh7e9/moxie_marlin...
/u/PriorProject has a comment far down which sums up my view pretty well in this one:
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/htmzrr/psa_disablin...
It's worth pointing out that they're collecting the type of data they still brag about not being able to turn over because they "don't keep user data".
https://signal.org/bigbrother/eastern-virginia-grand-jury/
In fact, this was posted just one month before all this went down: https://signal.org/blog/looking-back-as-the-world-moves-forw...
Between that and not updating their privacy policy it's a pretty massive red flag, but so many people don't even know about the data collection. Look at the answers this guy gets:
https://old.reddit.com/r/signal/comments/q5tlg1/what_info_do...
same with the top comment here:
https://old.reddit.com/r/privacy/comments/qpb8eh/mlat_order_...
It's insane, and I hope every user who has to learn what signal is really collecting from some random internet comment thinks long and hard about what that says about how transparent and trustworthy signal is.
Yes it seems they are still doing the MobileCoin thing. I'm against cryptocurrencies, blockchain, NFTs, etc also, but nothing is forcing me to use it. I'd be curious to read some case studies or blog posts about how it is being used. For example, are people using it to pay for milk in rural India, send money to family in Myanmar, split dinner bills in New York?
Regarding donations, I would be happy to donate, but it would be great to see some financial reports. Other initiatives like Software in the Public Interest (SPI) and the OpenStreetMap Foundation publish yearly reports, which makes it easy to see how the projects spend their money, how much cash they have in the bank, etc. Pardon me, but I don't want to donate to Signal if they still have $50 million in the bank, or if their CEO is taking home a huge salary, or if they spend the money on fuse-ball tables. ;)
... Except if it is donations and esp. Brian Acton's, or even say Firefox with most of their money being one Google or Bing search bar deal... the sustainable business isn't there yet. A replacement CEO can be good just for that. Marlin as a CEO found amazing product/user fit, and as a tech leader, hired enough and built enough for a great dev culture. But there is no sustainable product/customer fit yet, esp if they view the user as not the established product: the market isn't paying. A CEO focused on solving that would be quite healthy for achieving sustainability! Hopefully Brian and his successor will have more room now to figure that out, it's not easy, esp given their privacy mission!
(And still congrats and a lot of respect to Moxie for building something people want & helps security, and growing a team to deliver it, and everyone else for pushing into the next phase!)
https://amycastor.com/2021/04/07/signal-adopts-mobilecoin-a-...
Was it an overreaction? I don't think so. I feel dumb stuff like this, massive conflicts of interest, happens too often these days, and I'm voting with my wallet.
https://www.wired.com/story/signal-mobilecoin-cryptocurrency...
I could send someone the recovery keys for a bitcoin wallet and launder money via any messaging service. If we need to regulate that then privacy goes out the window, you'd have to know what the content of my message was to know if it was allowed.
But I consider that bundling to be a bad thing.
And I wish large-scale money laundering was easier to deal with in a privacy-preserving way.
And because privacy-for-commerce is morally wrong for almost all definitions of morality, then I guess privacy-for-speech is also morally wrong.