What evidence comes down to it being of natural origin? I’m genuinely curious because I haven’t seen much “evidence” of it.
The people that keep pushing that angle are usually not in this for the science but to stoke the fire.
You also ignore all circumstantial human behaviour around this, like China being completely unwilling to cooperate in any way in the investigation. Why? Surely if it was definitely a spillover they would cooperate because it’s not exactly their fault?
Hard evidence is required for exceptional cases, especially when culpability is involved. Whereas the 'natural' way may simply not have left enough evidence at all to be able to trace it.