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Comment by simonebrunozzi | Hacker News Reader

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simonebrunozzi·

- Bitcoin will go down to $12,000

- One EU country will default (not Italy), the EU will bail it out

- China will enter a recession

- 2022 will be the year of the hottest and coldest temperatures on record

- and also highest CO2 produced on record, caused by huge fires in the Russian Taiga.

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The December 30k puts are pretty cheap!

> - One EU country will default (not Italy), the EU will bail it out

Given your name, it seems you might be a bit biased about Italy not defaulting ;)

Of course I might! But jokes apart, Italy's economy is in relatively good shape, compared to 2-3 years ago, and a need for bailout is at least a few years away.

"- One EU country will default (not Italy), the EU will bail it out"

Who?

Spain most probably.

Could also be Greece, iirc they're still in slightly dire straits in terms of debt

Why Spain?

Why not?

It was a completely random prediction, so a completely random country is a good match.

Predictions are not meant to be random forecasts and "most probably" doesn't sound to me like random either.

What are you basing your predictions on? Quite bold to say the fourth biggest economy in EU will default in one year and not something the rating agencies seems to agree when compared to other countries.

Also "most probably" sounds like you have have already been short selling a good chunk of your savings.

Were other recent fires in the Taiga widespread enough to limit the spread of fires in the next few years?

Greece again?

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