Your Next Mac
mlajtos.mu
mlajtos.mu
I'm not sure if the poster has actually used VR. Pixel density is still substandard, for two reasons:
* It's easy to forget that you have to drive two displays. Double the resolution, half the framerate, double the nausea. If you choose lower pixel density, then your users will enjoy pixel grid. Keep in mind that the pixel grid was a big issue for the Vive (the last HMD that I owned), at 2K per-eye.
* Manufacturing processes: we have to be able to make smaller pixels in the first place.
We need way more graphical power in more efficient cores. Apple will need to seriously push the GPU envelope on their next chip if this is to become a reality.
Vive: 1080×1200 per eye
Index: 1440×1600 per eye
Quest 2: 1832 x 1920 per eye (pushing 120hz at native resolution on a phone without it hitting thermal limits)
Focus 3: 2448 × 2448 per eye
Pimax 8k X: 3840 x 2160 per eye, but with a wider FOV
Original HTC Vive (2016), which was basically the first gen VR product, was 9.81 PPD, current Vive 2 Pro (2021) is 20.4 PPD. Oculus Quest 2 (2020) is 20.58 and currently the best is Varjo VR-3 (2021) with 70 PPD for central display and 30 PPD for peripheral display. Pimax 8K is 22.58 PPD.
nVidia had rendering pipeline optimizations for multi-view VR for years: https://developer.nvidia.com/blog/turing-multi-view-renderin...
It's safe to assume that a future VR-focused product from Apple will support similar features
I have been dreaming closing the human computer interface for decades. The possibilities for productivity and creativity are endless. Imagine sculpting a 3D model with you hands. Or being able to make music, not with virtual instruments but by manipulating waveforms of various audio streams with your with fingertips and feeling the sound while you sculpt it.
Yet I have not seen even a tech demo for such things in VR, all innovation seems aimed consuming content, because that is where the easy money is.
But I am still typing on a digital keyboard that cannot even sense how hard I am pressing the keys. What Apple did with the iPad pro and pencil for digital illustration is one example of what can be done. I hope Apple will once again innovate for creative professionals.
The article contains a video of Steve Jobs talking about VR. I feel like Steve could push for something revolutionary for creative professionals, while Time Cook might give us something slightly better than that we had before.
Blender 3.1 (2022-03-09) will have Metal support for rendering. Unity has already a native Apple Silicon build and Unity Hub is starting to feel like a Mac app. I think both will be demoed at the announcement. I think the support for the creative apps will be good at the launch and will get better over time.
Creating new interaction paradigms is a hard problem and it takes time. When a lot of people will have access to the hardware and developer tools, these experiments will be abundant and something will emerge. I highly recommend Daniel Beauchamp as a great example for out-of-the-box interactions in VR: https://twitter.com/pushmatrix
However, I'm much more willing to accept a set of "glasses" that provides for a useable AR experience. The catch here would be that we can have the lenses still be prescribed corrective lenses. Build a frame that modern lens makers can make lenses for, yet still keep all the electronic wizardry.
Also, knowing lensing, I'd be very suspect if these provide the peripheral vision correctly. Or could display the peripheral correctly.
So you can see your dog and natural light, and have everything overplayed by an HMD as AR around you.
Remember this phrase.
Not everyone is privileged enough to live in an environment perfectly suitable for work or living their life. A virtual world creates space that doesn't actually exist but is still quite useful for the person working inside of it. I don't own a movie theater but I could potentially enjoy the experience of one with VR. It would also enable me to arbitrarily define my workspace in such a way that is not even physically possible in the real world.
For example, I have large studio monitors that physically require there to not be obstructions in front of them, which creates constraints on the size and placement of my display(s). In a virtual world that sort of limitation doesn't exist. I could still sit at my same desk with the same studio monitors but with a limitless space for the displays that could be placed exactly where they're most useful, without concerns for obstructing the studio monitors.
> Are these folks' lives so empty that this is better than just, like...being present?
Why would you infer that people's lives are 'so empty' just because they find using VR appealing? Even if someone wanted to spend 100% of their time in the 'virtual world,' what exactly about that makes their life empty?
Two issues with that:
1. A good VR setup requires more space than a good home office. I've got a perfectly workable home office that is also my VR space, but is at the bare minimum of what SteamVR will allow room scale usage in, and does lead to bumping into things.
2. Longer term VR use is actively tiring. I mean obviously beat saber and active use is, but even two hours flight simming which is sitting in a chair does this in a way it isn't using my monitor. Maybe lighter or dimmer future headsets will help with this, but that's a big assumption.
Sure, VR is already solving very specific and niche business problems. Using AR on a factory floor (e.g., Google Glass) seems like a great application. Maybe very soon VR conferencing will be a smooth experience.
The biggest problem with these technologies is that they take up so much of your viewing area. With traditional VR you can't see the outside world at all. Whatever AR solution comes out will have to find a way to be both useful but unintrusive to your peripheral awareness.
The second biggest problem with VR/AR hype is that it's a solution looking for a problem. There isn't really anything we can't do on a laptop that VR/AR tech enables for non-gaming software. Everyone's been predicting the demise of the PC for decades now and it never quite happens, because that method of computing is so versatile.
What does VR provide for a business that it can't get in a Zoom call with a webcam? What will I be able to do in VR that I can't do via a simple screen share?
I just can't really imagine it supplanting even 5% of what we do on our phones and laptops. VR/AR will hit a plateau for the similar reasons that smartwatches haven't replaced our smartphones.
I love my VR system for what it is – a fun way to play video games. This article even seems to focus on the video game aspect, but it's predicting total takeover of the computing space by virtual reality. Put me in the camp of "skeptical."
Well, if they did it properly, it'd be like real life except without the commute.
They won't, though, because nerds will say "oh, I'd rather be completely isolated and only interact with others on my specific and limited terms".
So we'll just end up with janky 3D zoom calls in isolated rooms or something, as you say.
Technology is never the issue, it's politics.
I often use it for programming, and I'm able to stay quite comfortable for around twelve hours at a stretch multiple times a week.
I also play some reasonably competitive, fast-paced games, and there's no discomfort from playing those at long intervals, either.
I want to run in the forest, stand outside in the rain, enjoy a pint with a friend after handing over a crisp fiver. I want to chop firewood and build a cabinet. I want to feel the cold Siberian breeze, and thank the postman with a bottle of wine. Drive my old, rusty, loud car through busy city traffic, and fuck my partner over the kitchen worktop.
The only real use I can see for VR that would actually appeal is in disability adjustment. Everything mentioned in the article sounds like a junkie's version of the real thing.
Not really. It's just another hype, out of dozens peddled over the years... It's not gonna "change the whole computing world" anytime soon, any more than "voice interfaces" did (a previous hype).
My sentiments exactly. And not the more convenient or information dense.
> And not the more convenient or information dense.
Compared to what?
Of course, replacing real monitors with virtual ones is the lazy approach of bringing productivity to VR, but it is important first step. It is familiar and you won't get something less than you already have. This is the part where Apple plays an important part – they know how to co-design hardware and software. Hardware form factor of "Your Next Mac" is basically known, but the software is going to be a surprise. And there might/should be the improved convenience.
You could easily turn the clock 30 years back and ask the same question with smartphones/computers.
When a truly profound device hits the market we’ll see a very creative race to come up with all the different uses for it imho.
I think you need to look at the phrase 'truly profound' that you're using and consider what that actually means in context: the world wide Web has had a truly profound impact on human development contrasted to promote media. Colour TV, for example, hasn't (given radio, cinema, black and white TV already existing)
That’s what made smartphones exciting for a couple years, right? Not only were we buying devices that were doing the things that we expected them to, but new uses and applications for them were being delivered regularly.
When we imagine the new paradigm we’re usually constrained by the current one.
I imagine DevOps as really close to mode of operation to programming – you google stuff, write things in text files, have terminals open, etc. This type of work trades short-term memory for screen real estate – you need to see a lot of stuff at the same time (everything is one saccade away). That's why you have two monitors. One head-mounted display can simulate any number of monitors, while your desk is free to be used for physical stuff that matter. You can pack these monitors into your bag for work-from-home scenario and you don't have to do any additional setup – everything is right where you left it.
Yeah, you missed the part where I'm zoning out on reddit and checking my phone during the boring bits of video calls, didn't you? The real world isn't imaginary and I don't want my entire reality susbsumed in my employer's walled garden. Also f*k packing everything in a bag. I work from home 99% of the time. The other 1% external monitors are provided but I'm not doing any proper workstation-based work.
Apple has a good track record for making their devices accessible for a lot of people.
Making sense of data and being able to turn into something meaningful for a VR display would need an army of people using normal computers, or AGIs, in the cases where that could be done, that may not be the most common case.
I strongly suspect that the majority of the kinks will be ironed out before the end of this decade.
Within the next 5 years the screen quality will be dramatically improved and will become a viable alternative to our monitors and laptop screens.
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2017/0...
To think people are going to do this in mass, it's just stupid thinking.
Edit: Okay drive-by downvoter(s), I get it, The above didn't "add" anything to the discussion. But you know what, this has been discussed and THE MASSES AREN'T GOING TO WEAR THAT SHIT.
And no, seeing clearly is not a value. It is a necessity.
At one point they were the future, now they are nowhere.
Same will happen with the VR headsets.
Note: just like the peddlers are predicting that VR is the future, I’m predicting it’s not. Neither of us know the future. I’m as confident in my prediction as they are in theirs, or probably more since my prediction is not driven by self interest.
You having a tiny living room was just my assumption/prediction. It might be wrong as everything I am saying.
It's also led to much faster laptimes in my sim racing, you can judge breaking points much better and the proper depth just makes driving more realistic.
Finally, I've done meetings in VR and found it to be less fatiguing, even with an HMD strapped to my face, than zoom.
What conferencing software did you use? Horizon Workrooms?
But what about within 1~10 years?
It's not like 3D TVs in that nobody really needed them. AR/VR is needed, we just lack the tech to make it so far.
needed by whom and for what?
Metaverse?
We suck at visualizing large numbers, perceiving probabilities or feeling intuitively anything that hunter-gatherer primates weren't designed to intuit.
An AR/VR set isn't just goggles: it's a wearable computer plugged into your eyes, which are plugged into your brain.
Our greatest leaps were made by people who could visualize things others couldn't, simulating them in their heads in 50 complex steps that build upon one another, then coming back down to Earth to explain it to the rest of us.
Give Isaac Newton, Nikola Tesla, Alan Turing, Albert Einstein, or Srinivasa Ramanujan an AR/VR set and see how much further they could extend their vision.
This is a powerful sentence and your whole comment nicely expresses why the tech is so important. Thank you.
Do normal people use computers for less than 5 hours per day?
[1] Elon Musk Says the Metaverse Sucks and Neuralink Will Be Better "Sure you can put a TV on your nose. I’m not sure that makes you 'in the metaverse.'": https://futurism.com/elon-musk-metaverse-sucks-neuralink-bet...
Musk saying VR is good would be like him talking about how great the newest BMW is.