Melting glaciers may produce thousands of kilometers of new salmon habitat
science.org
science.org
If you try to make specific predictions, you’re going to turn people off.
It’s far better to frame it as a matter of, “Look we don’t know what’ll happen and since we only have 1 planet and pollution is bad, we’re going to try and minimize the impact we have, because we don’t get a second chance.”
And then just take it from there.
We don’t need to understand what’s inside the box when it arrives on our doorstep. We just have to avoid opening it.
cost/benefit analysis, i do agree with though. or maybe a “risk-adjusted” cost/benefit. the biggest disagreement i have is with people who think climate change is inherently bad, rather than believing specific outcomes/effects of climate change are bad. when you unpack climate change often the bad things are common across catastrophes caused by other disruptions, e.g. food/water insecurity is something we could see both from climate change or large-scale war. certain ways of thinking about the situation might lead a person to believe that addressing these effects is the way to make humanity more bulletproof, rather than trying to prevent the several distinct causes (CO2 emissions being one of them) that lead to the real problems. though it’s never an all-or-nothing, more like “reduce the causes to the point that you’re not reducing our ability to respond to the effects”. cost/benefit analysis, like you say.
There is a high correlation and probably causal relationship between increasing global pollution and improved living standards. It is extremely unclear that "pollution is bad". Someone taking a strictly data driven approach could reasonably conclude that pollution is good.
There is a reason that the pro-environment types are struggling to have an impact on actual policy. Their ideas have, up until very recently with the relative cheapness of solar and wind, been likely to doom us all.
There is nothing negative happening to the planet. We couldn't hurt it if we tried. "Human life supporting environment" is what's at stake.
Even if we dug up every gram of fissile material on earth, made it into a bomb, and detonated it.
[0] https://youtu.be/nJ4K0hHin9s "China Celebrates Status as Number One Polluter"
"The labor of the people has made the sky black with the smoke of progress... We are overjoyed."
"Cancer is a very modern disease"
"If pollution ruins a river, we will build a new river"
That would be if pollution was a global phenomenon. Climate is global and chaotic, and we only have one planet so we can't compare, but pollution levels are local are different between heavily industrialised places and times and less so places and times. I'm sure there is extensive and conclusive research that pollution is bad for your health, which is an important part of living standards.
Visible local pollution: This includes things like particulate matter in air, river pollution, dirty streets, toxic water etc. This is clearly inversely correlated with development and health and developed countries generally sorted it out better.
Global level: This mostly includes greenhouse gases etc. This is very correlated with development and health among countries. The countries with highest emission has best quality of life and they are sharing the burden with undeveloped countries.
For example we know from studies that long car commutes are terrible for your health and even dramatically rise divorce rates. With that in mind, jurisdictions with good public rapid transportation networks have higher quality of life than SF, and at the same time have less CO2 emissions due to the more efficient transportation system.
The reason for friction against environmentalism is because the low carbon solutions have been politicized into being part of the left/right culture war.
The result is inexplicable push back against dull public works that benefit everyone on top of also lowering CO2.
1. Scientific dishonesty among some environmentalist researchers
2. Vocal advocates caught doing exact opposite in their personal lives - hypocrisy
There is a high correlation and probably causal relationship between consuming heroin and pleasure yet you don't want to do that every day because short term positive effects don't cancel long term negative ones.
Everyone knows pollution is a long term catastrophe, us being addicted to it doesn't make it a good thing....
I think it's fuzzier than that. Like, I think it's extremely useful to say out loud that climate change will cause large tidal events in the relative short term (sea level rise in the long term). And that an immediate action is for cities like Venice, New Orleans, and Miami to ready themselves for that. It's specific and should be motivating for a large group of people to do something (or risk losing their homes and possibly lives). You have to hope they connect it to the larger picture of things happening too.
> We don’t need to understand what’s inside the box when it arrives on our doorstep. We just have to avoid opening it.
The problem with this is that a lot of folks will do nothing if you don't unpack the box for them and explain how it will affect them.
If you really believe in what you say, now is the time to go short on housing in these (mega-expensive) cities and re-invest your incredible profits into clean energy.
Alas, nobody is actually serious about what they say, on both sides of the so-called "debate".
I wonder what salmon would habitat the ne habitat and how long it would take. Presumably salmon return to where they were born to spawn. So only the lost salmon would be able to populate the new habitat.
It's very common to stock streams with fry from a hatchery located somewhere else. Salmon generally spend a year or more (much more, in some species) in fresh water before migrating to the ocean. That's plenty of time for them to imprint on the "foster stream" -- they'll return to it, no problem.
Straying is partly why you can see salmon spawning above former dam sites, even shortly after removal. It's also why you will occasionally see salmon in a stream with no documented population (sockeye salmon on the oregon coast for example).
As for how long it takes for a population to take hold I'm not sure. But I have read about salmon populations getting completely wiped out by landslides and recovering in 50 years or so, including the same adaptations (for example larger bodies for navigating a steep gorge) that the extinct population held. So potentially pretty quickly in the grand scheme of things.
What can be done about overfishing of international waters?
It seems that the fish is destined to become another farm animal.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-coal-power-expected-to-h...
Anyway, there are lots of little dams like this everywhere that have negative economic value, but no one wants to pay the cost to remove them.
I agree with you that some dams are mostly negative. And all dams have some negatives. Witness our Site C dam project currently under construction.[2] It has been a political, environmental, legal, First Nations, and agricultural shitshow. I just think it's worth knowing that river dams still produce the vast majority of electricity for a lot of people on this part of the planet. I vote for change. Fingers crossed.
[1] https://www.cer-rec.gc.ca/en/data-analysis/energy-markets/pr...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_generating_stations_in...
I would like to see them all destroyed. We can find electricity elsewhere.
Jokes aside, everything's a tradeoff and while flood control / irrigation is helpful to farmers, it can also introduce a resiliency problem in quake zones, since a dam breakage can cause devastating floods. Actually, it doesn't even have to be an earthquake. Exhibit A: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oroville_Dam_crisis
Off, but really not by much.
Look at dams like Oroville and Hoover now -- despite producing a lot of electricity, they are not resilient to drought, and river systems lose a lot of drought resistance when you add dams. When you dam a river, you slow and warm the water -- this threatens entire ecosystems adapted to survival where the river runs.
Particularly in salmonid / coldwater fish habitats, dams are pretty damaging. If you want to learn more about the subject, there are a lot of books & documentaries about the Eel river that are worth reading and watching -- the Eel is a good case study in what happens when you dam a river, and what happens when you un-dam it.
The dams in the Pacific Northwest have decimated the wild salmon population. Salmon are big, meat eating fish that sustain several other animals, such as the Southern Resident orcas. This population of orcas is literally being starved by us destroying the salmon population., amongst the other challenges they face due to humans, such as poisoning and toxicity.
So are cattle. Sounds like we just saved a bunch of carbon so we can keep eating steak for a while.
Cattle in their current form are a “crop” that sort of sustains humans and their pets. It is likely that this is not an efficient way to sustain humans, but it’s easy and profitable.
I have fished every dam on the river I live on (in IL) for about a 60 mile stretch. There is 1 fish ladder I can think of. Every dam removal project gets fought tooth and nail by locals who like how they look, or fishermen who like how fish bunch up under them.
They also don't solve the problem where dams slow and warm the waters running through them. Trout and Salmon need cold water to survive.
The cause of so many damn problems in the U.S.
There's a popular meme for this "This looks like free real estate"