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Has anyone worked on this kind of modeling software? The article is very light on technical details. Specifically, it seems like humans are required to accurately model the problem domain and assign weights. I find it surprising that the answer doesn't fall directly out of that analysis. What exactly is it that the software computes?

Anyone else think of Foundation's "Psychohistory" when reading this article?

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In a past life, I used to do mathematical modeling for IR and had the awesome opportunity to work with Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. The stuff I worked on under his direction definitely has developed in this decision making/ forecasting engine. You can probably find more information here:

http://www.predictioneersgame.com/game

A form of the game can be found here:

http://imcomputerconsulting.com/PredictioneersGame/

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