It got a few things wrong. It doesn't mention filter bubbles and algorithmic radicalization, for instance.
It got a few things wrong. It doesn't mention filter bubbles and algorithmic radicalization, for instance.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5549627 (2013)
There you link to writing of your own from 1997, "Real News":
http://www.canonical.org/~kragen/real-news.html
A book that explores some of these concepts (in terms of the Net's impact on traditional news media) is Andrew L. Shapiro's book The Control Revolution (1999).[2]
What numerous prognosticators (yourself, Epic, Shapiro, and more) got right was that the traditional print media would be profoundly disrupted. What seems to have been broadly missed was that digital, algorithmic media would allow for individual targeting and manipulation, if not by the publishers or platforms themselves then by those who exploited them, either in partnership or as hostile attackers.
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Notes:
1. Not stalking, honest! I was looking for this particular comment to come back and respond to it.
2. Not to be confused with James Beniger's similarly-titled 1986 book. Shapiro does reference it, both are well worth reading. Shapiro's is far more politically-conscious.
Shapiro's: https://www.worldcat.org/title/control-revolution-how-the-in...
Beniger's: https://www.worldcat.org/title/ltltthegtgt-control-revolutio...
I did know about individual targeting last millennium, thanks to the controversy around DoubleClick, but didn't know it would become central to people's experience of the web. I don't remember whether I thought it was ridiculously unlikely, nearly certain, or somewhere in between.
My gross error was in thinking that by not assisting in the development of same, the world might be spared such a thing.
When Friendster, MySpace, and Facebook emerged shortly afterward, the seemed manifestly harmful on that basis alone. That wasn't nearly the half of it, of course....
Google picking up Doubleclick was also one Very Large Step for man toward the dark side. Contrary to the "personal choice and responsibility" philosophy, individual actions and blackholing didn't do much against that either, ultimately,