Western U.S. could become nearly snowless due to climate change
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
Just calmly report the median. The median is bad enough, no need to go to the outliers.
Also it's good to show people an idea of how it can affect them personally. By the time we're ready for this to be proven right or wrong (the article speaks of 35-60 years in the future) we're so far into the global warming process that all the worst scenarios will happen anyway. Or we did something about it and that's the reason why this didn't occur.
So I don't think it's overly alarmist. We need to act now to stop the worst.