Obviously I am not the only one who have been experiencing the issue, e.g. https://webapps.stackexchange.com/questions/71153/takeout-br...
The issue does not happen when doing backup with another tool e.g. mbsync.
The responses I've seen to other people with this problem are not encouraging, amounting to "oh, you must have done something out of the ordinary, try again in a few days". See, for example:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20054083
https://old.reddit.com/r/DataHoarder/comments/i6cn1x/google_...
https://support.google.com/accounts/thread/13380514/i-can%E2...
https://twitter.com/veerismo/status/1341605248834498561
Edit: better links