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Then I can say that I've done my research and I think it's reasonable that USD won't remain global reserve currency forever and that it's replacement won't be a governmental currency, but a decentralized one and Bitcoin would be the only reasonable candidate.

Does this mean that I'm not speculating all of a sudden because I've done research and came up with a reasonable forecast?

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Yes, I would say you are not speculating because speculating is simply buying/selling and hoping to profit.

Whether or not your forecast is reasonable or even useful is not within my sphere of knowledge. I can also almost certainly say that the USD wont be the global reserve currency forever, but making decisions based on a forever timeline poses a wide range of risks.

People won't invest in a reserve currency, they will use it for trade. Anything people are buying and holding is by definition not a reserve currency. You are describing "treasure".

I mean people buy USD through forex markets all the time, the same way that people buy Bitcoin through crypto exchanges. Also, it won't become reserve currency overnight, it's a gradual process and until it happens it acts as a store of value with a huge upside.

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