U.S. Warns Allies of Possible Russian Incursion as Troops Amass Near Ukraine

I have to imagine Russia is unlikely to launch a full scale invasion of the entire country at this time, the response by the west would be too great of a risk. I do however think that Russia will continue to test the waters in smaller scale efforts like they do with flying their jets in or near foreign airspace.

The whole goal is to reduce situational awareness as western nations become numb to their actions. Eventually they could launch a larger offensive and catch NATO on the back foot. Russia overall seems far more willing to engage in full scale conflicts than China, and western nations need to take them seriously.