Always use the Original not Manjaro but Arch, not Ubuntu but Debian etc.
One example Ubuntu...first Unity then Amazon then Snaps, and ubuntu is even considered an "enterprise distro"
But i am really not a distro fanboy (super happy if one uses linux and not windows/mac), in fact i use Free-BSD (no truenas etc...again same rule, take the original (i know technically that would be netbsd)) wherever i can, and if i have/can touch linux i choose a old warhorse-distro, mostly because of future predictability/stability.
Oh, and as others have said, upgrades are quite a YMMV thing, Manjaro upgrades haven't broken things for me since the last few years.
Archinstall is a thing now.