> It started off about as common as humans having green eyes.
Elephant poaching has been around since long before the Mozambique civil war. The number of tuskless elephants may have been at 2-4% prior to the war, but that doesn't mean that lower levels of poaching didn't push it up to that level from some much lower naturally-occurring level.
2-4% seems like a _very high_ rate for a trait that could negatively impact a female's chance of survival AND kills 100% of her male offspring.