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Is there any reason to believe these will have improved single-core performance? Or are these just more M1 cores in the same package?

FWIW initial Geekbench scores that surfaced today do not show a significant improvement in the single-core performance for M1 Max compared to M1. https://www.macrumors.com/2021/10/18/first-m1-max-geekbench-...