> You quoted me wrong
I'm sorry, you're right about that, and yes, I don't know how good other approaches would have done it for me.
> However you cannot say with confidence what the future retention rate will be
At the time I studied, I stopped doing Japanese whatsoever, so retention dropped as it should. But I think if I have continued reading texts, I would have retained the meanings of kanji, just like it works with other languages I managed to stick with.
You have a fair point, I think we could conclude that both methods have its odds and cons and it's up to each to decide if they want to use it, so long as no rigid testing is provided, as you say.