Recent deaths in young people in England and Wales

The source it gives for the mortality of myocarditis is a paper titled "A clinical trial of immunosuppressive therapy for myocarditis" I.e. they were testing a possible treatment. The conclusion was "Our results do not support routine treatment of myocarditis with immunosuppressive drugs."

Referencing this as though it's the true mortality rate is woefully misleading. This is the mortality rate when using this experimental treatment.

In regards to the cardiac arrests and ambulance calls, it seems that the graph almost exactly follows the baseline, except for the two heatwaves. It doesn't say what the baseline is - I guess 2020 figures?

Edit: on further inspection - figures 1a,b,c are from a paper[1] and are showing an increase in cardiac arrest, unconsciousness, e.t.c. however this article ignores 2 graphs from the paper which show a decrease in chest pain and decrease in breathing difficulty, both of which are myocarditis symptoms.

I think this article is wilfully misleading.

[1] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...

Pre-covid definitely seems like the better baseline to use here, because lockdowns may have prevented some other deaths in 2020.

For the 2015-2019 data, I would be interested in seeing the standard deviation, not just the mean, to be able to judge how likely such a deviation is, historically. The fact that female deaths show a similar order of magnitude change in the opposite direction makes me suspect this may be within the noise?

> However, in the literature the overall mortality rate for myocarditis after one year is 20% and after five years 44% to 56%.

I haven't looked in to this but if this is correct it's orders of magnitude larger than what my intuition after all the discussion of myocarditis had led me to believe.

Hopefully there's a confounding factor such as old age and other comorbidities I'm missing.

The lack of actual statistics to evaluate the significance of these findings means that it's hard to discern whether this is within the limits of year-to-year variation. Also note that the 2020 numbers are already consistently lower than the average from 2015-2019. They also only address one possible cause, myocarditis caused by the Covid-19 vaccine. If there is a significant increase in deaths in young males, you still need a lot more than 2 graphs with similar spikes to prove that the vaccine is the cause. See also: ice cream trucks and shark attacks.

Break's over, so no time to tidy this up. I'll be back, probably.

It's like we are witnessing the stage 3 clinical trial being tested in production.

Finland, Sweden and Denmark have already banned use of Moderna due to their findings of it increasing myocarditis, but it's still unknown if other vaccines have a high rate of this side effect.

Good to see other countries investigating this too.

The Hart Group is one of a number of overlapping organisations that target children and parents with vaccine-related misinformation:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-58783711

I think there is enough evidence now to pause the vaccine for young people, like Sweden and Denmark have done. It's simply not worth it for a young person.

More anti-vax pseudo-science backed up with data.