Steve, Please Buy Us A Carrier
mondaynote.com
mondaynote.com
I'm bringing this up not to say that this is insider's information or that it is thus more likely to happen, but just because in this case, the author is more significant than some rambling from a random blogger. That theme is not new, so it's interesting that he would bring it up.
- Lots of opportunities to innovate (regulation and spectrum issues with the FCC, patents on the major wireless technologies involved, all the infrastructure equipment is produced/procured from 3rd parties)
- Large profit margin (carriers aren't generally 40-60% margin operations like the rest of Apple)
- Low ongoing overhead (lots of maintenance on a large, nationwide physical plant of towers)
Sounds to me like far more trouble than it's worth.
The proof that is was such a unique experience? The labels spent the next 2 years fighting tooth and nail for 'control' of their music catalogs back from iTunes.
Remember, this is back during the heydays of Napster, Audiogalaxy and the free download craze for music. iTunes, along with mp3.com, made it completely easy to download legit copies of music, which hadn't been possible before.
On an aside note, there's a group of students here in the Netherlands that want to do that: setup a MVNO as a coop or a non-profit, that will essentially give you SIP/data of your calls, instead of handling routing from A-Z. See http://limesco.org/wordpress/, though most of it is in Dutch.
And getting back to Apple: an iPhone MVNO could work well. On the other hand, Apple has rules about selling iPhones on networks that make Apple like a carrier already: iPhone data has to be 2x as fast as any other comparable plan, etc. Apple has the carriers in their grip...
- Apple knows how to pull strings at FCC (e.g. appearance of Apple's products of FCC's website seems coordinated with official announcements). Apple isn't scared of patent battles and is well armed in this field. They can make their own hardware and work with 3rd party vendors.
- Apple keeps high margins on their computers, while PC manufacturers are in the race to the bottom. Perhaps a "premium" carrier could pull that off too? (especially if they could do more innovations like visual voicemail).
In fact, I think Apple has lots of room to win in these areas. From TFA, think how much waste there is in cell implementations for legacy/interop-- not to mention carrier overhead-- that could be eliminated if Apple made every single device on the network?
Apple is full-stack from today's perspective. What if tomorrow's "stack" includes the towers and the complete customer billing relationship? People might say this was an obvious step along the road to e-wallet phones.
I agree this feels a little far fetched. But so did AAPL becoming the world's largest company, and switch to x86, before the fact... :)
Nearly two-thirds (62%) of the company's sales are international [1]; furthermore, I would guess that much of the company's growth is in international markets, especially in Asia.
Unless Apple is seeking to improve its operational expertise in running carriers in order to buy up carriers throughout the world, this acquisition would be a very curious one.
[1] http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2011/07/19Apple-Reports-Thir...
Considering Apple's capital structure, interest rates aren't really a key consideration here. "Apple's stock value" reflects the fact that they invest in relatively high return projects and that investors expect them to continue to do so. This type of acquisition would not be satisfactory.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weighted_average_cost_of_capita...
So no, as bad as the current duopoly is, I don’t think Apple becoming a carrier will make it any better.
I try to use mark the spot religiously but dunno if it loses it's impact when I'm marking it daily
Why didn't they?
It was locked to Cingular/AT&T, but that was, as the other commenter said, more of a Visual VM thing than anything else.
I'm thinking this started because Apple wanted to change the way phones were sold, but changed because selling a $599 (or $399 after the price drop) phone wasn't tenable in the US market.
Considering Apple's control obsession, a telecom buyout is more likely to make things even worse. Wireless spectrum is a public good, what we need is a company that has zero interest vested in the bits going down the pipe.
Given the news last week that Apple's market cap was larger than the federal government's cash on hand, i thought this was going to be a request for an aircraft carrier.
Second thought: Would a phone that doesn't support native apps, but HTML5, really be called a 'dumbphone'? Running Javascript even requires a faster CPU for the same experience.
It is still a foolish idea. To keep costs down, you would probably use the same chip as your other iPhone / iPod Touch or the previous generation chip. You might have less flash, but the commodity chips have increased in size. The biggest cost savings would be to use the original iPhone LCD resolution. No significant cost savings for Apple comes from just having a browser phone. Plus, it would annoy app developers, increase support costs, and cost Apple their 30% cut. I see it as a no go.
Unless they have a magic way to make 3G/4g work for everybody and everywhere, they will just pick up all the consumer rage that at the moment AT&T and the likes are shielding away from them.
Not to mention the antitrust issues.
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