P(vaccine worth it | aforementioned) = low
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01442-9
https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/928365 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.08.24.21262415v...
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s0806-vaccination-pr...
“If you have had COVID-19 before, please still get vaccinated,” said CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky. “This study shows you are twice as likely to get infected again if you are unvaccinated. Getting the vaccine is the best way to protect yourself and others around you, especially as the more contagious Delta variant spreads around the country.”
What is clear, however, is young people with antibodies (either through vaccination or prior infection) don't need to live in fear.
"SARS-CoV-2-naïve vaccinees had a 13.06-fold (95% CI, 8.08 to 21.11) increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant compared to those previously infected, when the first event (infection or vaccination) occurred during January and February of 2021. The increased risk was significant (P<0.001) for symptomatic disease as well."
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.08.24.21262415v...
There's more data coming out supporting getting vaccinated even with a prior infection: https://www.nebraskamed.com/COVID/covid-19-studies-natural-i...
It is also just logical that vaccination + natural immunity is better than one or the other.
BTW, the WaPo opinion piece you linked is out of date based on the numbers: https://www.nebraskamed.com/COVID/covid-19-studies-natural-i...
vaccinated vs. unvaccinated & previously uninfected vs. unvaccinated & previously infected.
Giving any support to the middle group runs the risk of individuals who need to be vaccinated to not get vaccinated.