Windy.com
windy.com
windy.com
Also note that Windy can get it wrong. I grew up in Cape Town and forecasting there is easy compared to here because it's the tip of Africa surrounded by Atlantic and Indian Ocean. Here it's very mixed with land, sea, big 11,000ft mountain ranges like the Olympics and so on and this region is hard to forecast. For where we are, the forecasts - and Windy's map specifically - is wrong fairly often.
A trick that a lot of folks don't know about is using ATIS, AWOS or ASOS at a local airport or airfield. If you want to know what the weather is at a given location, find a nearby airport, get their ATIS (or AWOS or ASOS) phone number and you can call and get a real-time report that is extremely accurate. I do this for KORS, our local airfield all the time. You can get this data off Foreflight although I'm sure there are plenty of free alternatives. Obviously it's current weather, not forecast, but it's often helpful.
https://www.aviationweather.gov/metar/data?ids=KSEA&format=d...
It's unclear to me if Windy is doing much more than creating a great presentation of existing data. Their website does list an open ML role, though..
I wonder how much rolling your own weather forecast is tantamount to rolling your own crypto??
ECMWF, GFS and ICON are made by national/international forecasting agencies. IBM also has its own proprietary weather forecasting service, notably used by The Weather Channel. Other apps mostly use one of these models or aggregate predictions from different services (e.g. AccuWeather claims to aggregate many different models, including those from national agencies around the world)
in my experience AROME tends to forecast on the drier side of the weather. Since I'm in the UK I use AROME first and flick between ECMWF. (ECMWF tends to forecast on the wetter side!!)
for the next hour(s) forcast, I tend to use rain radar - windy has this, but it's not the best I use netweather.tv (there's many others though)
Their utility depends a bit on what is causing the uncertainty in the forecast though. For the mid-latitutdes, a lot of the uncertainty comes from timing the arrival of a weather system. In these cases, the high resolution simulation doesn't help you, as it just incorporates the uncertainties of the lower resolution driving model.
The ensemble simulations that the weather servies perform will help you there, ECMWF has a really nice meteogram for individual locations [2].
[0] - https://www.dwd.de/EN/ourservices/nwp_forecast_data/nwp_fore...
[1] - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/modelling-sys...
[2] - https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/openchart...
I don't know why it's not there - I'm assuming it costs money
Is it not the case that IBM bought the weather channel to acquire the technology with no interest in the WC business?
Equally dangerous, but not designed to be private and a huge different set of risks.
Very dangerous.
I kind of lost trust in it, when I was in the middle of a thunderstorm, yet windy showed me all sunny.
Granted, it was in the alps and forcasting there is hard, but it was the current state of things they got wrong.
I did. And they showed me no clouds, rain or wind worth mentioning.
Here is a great resource to read up on the various models (there are far more than Windy offers): https://luckgrib.com/models/
The US Government makes both METARs (current report) and TAFs (area forecast) available online. You can also get PIREPs (pilot reports) if you are interested in the conditions in the air.
You can make plots of things like thunderstorm probability, thickness and altitude of different cloud layers, azimuth and elevation for all planets in the solar system, pollen index, tide height, you name it.
There's also a non pro version, but I'm not clear on the differences because I still have a decade or more worth of the old system credits bought to support what's always been a great app/widget.
To get the phone number:
curl -Ls https://www.airnav.com/airports/get?s="$1"|sed -n '/<TR>.*WX/{s/.*=right>//;s/ .*top>//;s/<.*//p;}'"
For example, Orcas Island curl -Ls https://www.airnav.com/airports/get?s=orcas|sed -n '/<TR>.*WX/{s/.*=right>//;s/ .*top>//;s/<.*//p;}'
or, without the redirect curl -s https://www.airnav.com/airports/KORS|sed -n '/<TR.*WX/{s/.*=right>//;s/ .*top>//;s/<.*//p;}'I don't like the zooming ratio
https://a.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/
I recommend starting with the 4km or 1.3km WRF-GFS model and looking at something like 3hr Precip.
https://windy.app/features/hrrr-weather-forecast-model.html
Other models:
https://windy.app/guide/windy-app-weather-forecast-models.ht...
It's really great to be able to contextualize the state of a Windy map, for example especially in Seattle where the weather patterns are tightly influenced by the Olympic mountains and other local conditions which these global maps usually fail to capture or express well.
Windy is impressive stuff but looking is half the battle with these maps, wind directions and "that weather blob is orange right now" only really go so far when your weather area's geography isn't simple; in fact, i think that the older static Weather Channel style maps which expressed the pressure gradients and fronts better and helped you build a model of what the weather is doing rather than which way the wind is blowing. (see https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/journeynorth.org/images/g... for an example)
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?new&wfo=...
The other favorite of mine is the HRRR high-res models. You can see a simulated radar map for the next 48 hours: https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php...
I find apps that use that kind of marketing to make it sound like they are associated with the big agency they yank the data from to be really sleazy.
Anyway, just a small bug report. Thanks for the app, useful enough to keep it installed!
Live View of Hurricane Laura - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24289287 - Aug 2020 (54 comments)
About Windy (2018) - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21701065 - Dec 2019 (34 comments)
Typhoon Lands in Japan – Windy Storm-Tracking Platform - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21232332 - Oct 2019 (44 comments)
How wind and geography influences wildfire smoke - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18416850 - Nov 2018 (6 comments)
Windy.com - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15094639 - Aug 2017 (103 comments)
But, I'm curious if there are any apps or weather models that give probability distributions? Telling me that it is going to blow 10 mph is useful, but telling me, for example, that there is a 60% chance that there will be a 10 mph wind and a 40% chance that the wind will blow at 15 mph seems more in line with how I would naively assume weather forecasting works.
Right now, the ECMWF [0] model in Windy shows 6 mph winds gusting to 30 mph for my area (SE Alaska, with lots of mountains and fiords, so a area that is gusty and hard to predict by nature). It almost feels like they're throwing their hands up in the air and admitting that they have no idea what the wind will actually do today. Which, is fine, if that's the case.
I just wish consumer weather forecasts did a better job communicating probabilities and uncertainties instead of spitting out a single value.
So, when clients like windy forecast "10 knots east gusting to 20" for ECMWF, do you know if those numbers are directly copied and pasted from the ECMWF model, or do clients take the probabilistic forecast model and make some sort of average prediction that they display?
I'm very interested in how clients like windy go from a probibilistic forecast model to a singular hard number. Unless this is something built-in to ECMWF itself.
I work in the sailing space, so this is what happens there:
A racing offshore sailor would consider a variety of models and ensembles. Then they would consider the various possibilities for the weather systems and fronts (e.g. front crosses your path +/-5% East/West within a +/-3h gap). A sailor would then avoid any possible dangerous situations, and pick a path that on the most number of models gives them an optimal wind.
It is both an art and a science. If you compare the results of sailors who compete in offshore competitions (such as the Vendee globe), where the boats are all constructed in very similar ways, you'll see that the best sailors consistently get good results, and that is based on good meteorology and a good gain to risk ratio for route choice.
You'd be surprised how many people make their living on the water up here, but their understanding of forecasting seems to amount to "download windy app"!
Anyways, the word ensemble is new vocabulary for me when it comes to forecasting - things are making more sense knowing what an ensemble is.
I'm more comfortable on the water knowing terms like ECMFW, myself!
A lot of private providers roll up different agencies models to provide their own proper ie tart weather model because this is a lot cheaper than running the HPC required for most deterministic models.
The most important thing when checking the weather, especially with apps like windy, is to compare multiple models for your self to see how “stable” the forecasts are that day.
meteoblue.com offers 18 models if you click on 'MultiModel'. I found them to be very reliable.
windy.com is cool though, respect to the Czech founder https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivo_Luka%C4%8Dovi%C4%8D
What's the difference?
Their premium tier is for automatic routing and can get expensive for budget sailors.
This stuff really only applies to offshore or other low bandwidth connection use cases. When I have decent cell/internet it’s hard to beat windy’s UI.
My primary visual weather site is the National Weather Service Enhanced Data Display.
https://preview.weather.gov/edd
It's been "*Experimental*" for several years, and the site looks kind of dated, but it provides a useful visualization of radar, satellite, tropical storms, etc, plus it runs on my old PC! =)
I also like the NWS Hourly Graph to give a better idea of for example when it's going to start or stop raining or go below freezing on a given day.
This is the forecast page for my area:
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.7445&lon=-7...
Put in your own zip code, or type in town and state (sorry, just US). Then click "Hourly Weather Forecast" below the daily descriptions to get this:
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=43.7445&lon=-7...
There's no location picker on that page though.
Are there raw historic datasets or nice visualization for solar irradiation including over seas and oceans ?
For visualizing gridded data products you can use panoply[3]. If you just care about GRIBS zyGrib works pretty well too.
[1]https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datas... [2]https://www.ready.noaa.gov/archives.php [3]https://www.giss.nasa.gov/tools/panoply/
It seems that out to sea (over 100 km from shore) solar actually weakens due to humidity/clouds?
In hot weather I have outfit our California house with an assortment of commercial (quiet whole-house exhaust) and homebuilt (computer fan arrays in each window) fans. We rarely use air conditioning even in extreme heat, instead waiting till outdoor air is cooler than inside air to open up the house overnight. It's important to hang box fans between rooms to stir the air as much as possible; one is storing coolth in the walls. People are always surprised we're not on AC when they come inside the next afternoon.
As we're both on east coast schedules I sometimes have to set an alarm to get up and open up the house. This is guesswork. Better forecasting would really help. I don't see any multimodel tools in any of these paid apps that give me a better view, zooming in on this precise question, than a generic hourly forecast by the usual suspects.
(New construction near us forces a reliance on AC. One would think that in regions with good daily temperature swings, designing a house like a water-cooled computer would make sense. We should be seeing as many rooftop radiators as solar panels. Not a thing...)
Really nice to just watch this on the screen in realtime.
Also in the rain map, it's fun to look at huge clouds spanning entire Europe. Especially if my city is precisely in a small window of clear skies amid the rains.
In my spare time over the last couple weeks I've been building a PWA for paramotor pilots to better visualize winds aloft: https://ppg.report.
Wind modeling - especially for aviation - is really an interesting subject. The main API I use at ppg.report is https://rucsoundings.noaa.gov/, lots fun to learn about (CIN, CAPE, the historical "soundings" manually reported from aircraft and balloons, versus the modern ones automatically pulling data from commercial flights.)
Screenshot: https://i.imgur.com/eLyQa6X.jpg
It's bonkers, but I think I understand what's happening here, actually. Relatively recently, Firefox started color correcting the content of <canvas> elements. However, some sites will download an image, load it into a canvas created in Javascript, and then use the data for some other purpose.
In particular, Windy downloads a bunch of what appears to be wind data in the form of false color images like [1][2]. Presumably they are using this data to generate the wind animation on the fly in the browser. However, if they're utilizing canvases as part of that process, (my copy of) Firefox is changing the colors out from under them as part of the color management process. Presumably a large enough change in the colors would be enough to break the wind display code completely.
[1] https://ims.windy.com/im/v3.0/forecast/ecmwf-hres/2021091012...
[2] https://i.imgur.com/z3hQKvs.jpg (backup of [1] in case the link dies)
The road to bugs is paved with good intentions.
It works for me on FreeBSD, running "firefox amd64 92.0+build3-0ubuntu0.18.04.1 " in an Ubuntu linux jail.
Edit: Testing different hardware reminds me of the IE5-8 days. Sigh...
My understanding is that windy primarily just shows data from different forecast models, so isn't your issue really with the third-party models, not with Windy's weather client?
One thing I don't see mentioned, or I may just be unfamiliar with the terminology (and haven't dug much into the docs yet), is how exactly the 'map data' API (ie not the point-location API) works/what format the data is returned in, or if it's more expected to be used as an "embed".
My ideal, based on our current code/implementation thus far, would be to be able to supply a lat/lon coordinate bounding box & have it respond with the data in GeoTIFF format with multiple bands, one for each "data-set".
If anyone at Windy is here & might potentially be interested in discussing our game & the game's use-case for the data, please definitely feel free to reach out -- email in profile. :)
The same idea could apply to long distance running or hiking, canoeing, and other non-wind sports.
For example "Our rain/no rain 2 day in advance forecast for Seattle was accurate 280 days last year".
If all providers published that, I would be able to get my weather from the best forecaster for my area rather than guessing.
Bonus points if there is a more scientifically rigorous metric to compare by that they all publish.
https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:2021-09-10..2021...
I'm looking at San Francisco, as well as Portland and Seattle, all of which the temperature is right around 60. No matter how much I zoom in or out, there are dozens of 59s and 61s, but no 60. Curious why. It can't be coincidence based on how many I looked at.
15C = 59F 16C = 60.8F
Does meterology use differential equations to model wind?
The AQI overlay is really interesting to combine with it, since it can give you an idea why certain pockets of air are lower/higher quality.
I'm interested in the grey/outlines basemap like this: https://www.windy.com/-Weather-radar-radar?radar,50.310,1.15... . The shading around the coastlines in particular is exquisite.
How did they generate this grey basemap? Does Mapy.cz offer the tools to generate such a map or do they just host the tiles?
The gray map is probably custom made by Windy.
What is the problem with PWA mode on the iPad?
I’m just curious because it’s not clear to me.
[0] https://community.windy.com/topic/11552/we-are-launching-win...
Damn, that's a fast site!
It's a amazing!
I like to watch the current wind reports.
Add that together with twitter reports and flightradar24 and you can actually get some idea what a wildfire is doing. It's an area where government and the local news are essentially useless.
This is a great site for dispatch streams.
They often have ftac channels too where the firefighters will be communicating.
Windy’s whole value add can be “not WeatherUnderground or Darksky”