You will pay me $250 if NIRCam returns one scientifically useful observation (i.e. photograph). I will pay you $25 if it does not. If the only observations are of debatable scientific value (e.g. somewhat blurry), then the wager is off.
There are three analogous wagers for NIRSpec, for MIRI, and for NIRISS (for a total of $1000/$100).
The deadline is when all four wagers are resolved in my favor, or when it is obvious that they will be resolved in your favor (i.e. loss of vehicle), or December 31st, 2023, whichever comes first.
In the event of a dispute, we will attempt to find a JWST team member, instrument team member, or active professional astronomer to resolve the dispute via a public social media post. In the event that this does not resolve the dispute, that wager is off.
My real name is Nils Enevoldsen. You can find a $10,000 wager I have accepted with Robin Hanson at https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1390439816148525058.
Do you accept?