Uncle Sam could cut payments to China or Japan in a crisis. It’s much harder to cut payments to your own people. It would instantly make any crisis much worse.
Uncle Sam could cut payments to China or Japan in a crisis. It’s much harder to cut payments to your own people. It would instantly make any crisis much worse.
Keep in mind that debt is a liquid asset. If you were foolish enough to not pay out Chinese debt holders, they would simply sell to Americans. The notion of "lets not pay xyz" has spectacularly bad outcomes because it signals to the world that you are not a serious nation when it comes to debt.
In the long term, the US strategy has clearly paid off.
The US has excellent credit because it has largest military and is the dominant global player. That makes money parked in US T-bills safe. Liquidity and good, healthy economy (but not perfect) helps.
A country with a reputation for stealing people’s money does not attract foreign investment no matter how big the military. Does a robber seem trustworthy to you just because he’s got a big gun?
Maybe the USA is looking for a reason to not pay?
If the past 2 decades haven't blown the "deficit/inflation" correlation myth out of the water, just wait until the US goes all Japan and turns up the printers even more and have absolutely nothing of consequence happen to it (especially considering the US is even more isolated from raw resource allocation cuz of all the sheer size and diversity of the economy).
Simply the evolution of the economic output moving from manufacturing driven to what it is now makes the comparison a little less jarring.
It flips the inference the author of that website is pushing on its head if you consider what those numbers are actually indicating with the context of what the definition is. Maybe it means the "Volume of input" has been greatly improved because of technological assistance, maybe it means human elements contributing to economic input have more help from advancement in sciences, maybe there are a lot more complex factors at play here than what we are aware of.
tl;dr: "Productivity" in economics is not the intuitive sense of "productivity" the word in common English usage that indicates human work.
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2020/01/17/debunking-the...
> tl;dr: "Productivity" in economics is not the intuitive sense of "productivity" the word in common English usage that indicates human work.
Oh snap. I read your link but not the tl;dr, oops.
> It’s much harder to cut payments to your own people.
is it though? wouldn't cutting payments to foreign investors going to hurt your credit rating abroad?also, ive heard its an advantage to japan to have its govt debt owned by its own people as well...
curious to hear counter points!
You never have to when you control the actual production of the currency.
A foreign entity might demand to be paid back in actual assets, whereas joe citizen will have to accept any monkey money the USD decides to pay him back with.