Pavel Durov: Most studies show humanity is now less free than several years ago
t.me
t.me
As the Internet connects everybody together, I wonder if it is unavoidable that individual liberties will be restrained. Whether true or only perception, when we are all connected more people feel affected by stuff that, thirty years ago, nobody would have noticed or known about.
The best way to attack this subject is to first define "freedom".
But if you want my opinion, the internet has created a greater expression of liberty than anything else ever invented. The issue regarding the restraint of individual liberties isn't the medium but the people and what they value.
On the other hand, we also have "personal activity/behaviour" that we could call a part of our greater freedom as well. In rural area, you are free to do "whatever" i.e having fun in your barn, whereas in urban area, you time and space and having fun definition is more constrained.
Go back 40 years, and it was possible for you to be anonymous living both far out in the woods, or amongst the crowd of a huge city. In a small town, though, everyone knows everyone.
The internet is bringing everyone closer together and stripping us of our anonymity and privacy. There are tremendous benefits of this, but there are also costs.
The close connection means that people now know about all kinds of things they simply couldn’t have in past generations. Culture clashes spanning the planet happen every day now, but 40 years ago that was just not something most people would ever experience.
I think the close connection creates conflict, and as conflict escalates more and more people reach their tipping point where they would rather the state come in and suppress the conflict via law and regulation. It’s hard to live and let live when the people who offend you are in your face.
It’s a big challenge for our era, and I imagine the history books will have a lot to say about how world civilization changed as a result.
Russia, India, and the US are all more authoritarian than they were a few years ago. Russia and China aren't even democracies.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freedom_House
It's a shame that Durov can start off with "there are many studies" and not cite any of them. What?
It definitely favors the west but despite the bogeyman a lot of academics just want good data. It also is not rating the US especially high.
Even people who unthinkingly vote for the same party no matter what are just cancelled out by their counterparts and are effectively abstaining. That's helpful because they didn't vote intelligently anyway.
Are we sure? they are both funded by the same corporate lobbyists...
On your second point, you assume there are an equal number of tribalists without any data on that. It's beside the point anyway.
Because people care about different things and don't always align neatly with party policies.
Suppose I care deeply about both gun rights and abortion rights. Who do I vote for? Pluralistic systems with proportional representation are better at reflecting the values of the electorate.
> As long as they're both competing for your vote and not colluding...
Now say I want to tax the rich. That's got strong bipartisan opposition. Who do I vote for?
The obvious answer is, what if I want neither?
FPTP form of elections are both brittle and very high stakes. Begetting our insane polarization.
Switching from FPTP to approval voting would greatly improve the robustness.
Switching to proportional representation would greatly reduce the stakes.
If anything, these countries (^) have had a bigger growth in authoritarianism than US,Russia,China in the past ~decade.You just don't hear about it because the press in W.E is so biased you probably get more reporting in some parts of China(HK) and Russia.(due to the US press there) Frankly, EU(28*),Canada, AUS and NZ derailed the most when it comes to tyrannical laws, privacy, transparency of leadership, etc. US,Russia & China have been like this for a while now, if not ~ever (in modern history at least). If anything, China has been de facto becoming more and more fascist(incorporating into its government and state body the rapid-growing companies that rose due to capitalism, ironically)
And yes every country gets worse over the time.
How did we get democracy in the first place?
PS. I always vote against him every time he runs. I think there should be term limits, and I didn't "get" him early on. His results are hard to argue against. At a very minimum (and unlike in the US) the oligarchs don't overtly own the parliament (duma) anymore, and the standard of living has improved massively.
He us working hard to make you believe that.
Everyone agrees that he serves as a bad example to follow.
So yes, first hand knowledge may fail you.
Edit: to put a finer point on it, Canada, NZ and Australia all seem to be post-democratic, post-constitutional medical police states. If you disagree with that description, please respond with what exactly they lack to be properly described that way.
More clarification might help.
This is just someone's opinion.
What do we do about this? Like Durov, I don't know. My country of birth has been through several massive upheavals that left tens of millions of people dead, so I'm not into that. But I do not see a peaceful, rational way out of this.
Aren't you getting carried away? How is Apple one with the US gov?
Maybe not "one and the same" but give it time, that's the way it'll be.
I mean Putin's chef, (owns Wagner) was in Soviet prison for pimping out minors.
I do not see a peaceful, rational way out of this too, but I am not discouraged at all to see the regime's end, whatever are the means needed.
Moreover, if the "massive upheaval leaving millions of people dead" is increasingly becoming the only way out of this, it becomes an even more important matter.
We know, the regime will end, sooner, or later. People die, and tyrants are people too.
Would you like the end of it becoming an all out civil war with millions dead, or will you do your effort to end this regime in some more graceful manner?
In the US, in the 50s and 60s and even 70s, you could build your house how you wanted, grow what you wanted in your yard, but you got drafted. I'd say we've come a long way on getting drafted.
Since the 90s across the US gun laws have been relaxing. You couldn't get a handgun carry permit in Texas in 1995 unless you were law enforcement, as of yesterday you can carry a gun open without a license. That's one example, similar is happening nationwide. But you can't get on an airplane without potentially letting someone look in your butthole or rummage through your text messages.
Overall I'd say that the US at least has gotten more free progressively throughout it's history. This trend feels like it is turning around right about now, but we will only know in the future. As far as the rest of the world, it does seem more and more countries are getting less free, at least the more developed and fast developing places.
i kept thinking tech could be a point of resistance to the consolidationing, the stratification. tech still soeaks to me as radically personally empowering, as something that enables choice & self direction, that has low gatekeepers, many ambient potentials, expanding our options. it hasnt been. more and more we are under the sway of giant tech powers, whonhave served us well, who are now being increasingly pressured by endless world governments & constant media pressure, who fuck up & only get narrower, smaller, less ennobling for their citizens, in a cycle of ongoing reducing & narrowing.
tech can totally break out we can break out and our only optimistic good upsides frel like tech driven break outs. but some new shit has got to get started. because the cycles of control, the reduction in options/capabilities, the rising of power out of the loccal & into higger & higger less & less accessible tiers... it needs a response.
tech can empower & ennoble. i'm not going to present arguments. open source is amazing & incredible & can help lift us up & keep the door open to the future, to always be adapting. we can rejuvenate ourselves & build new ways of doing things. if we have the will. i do. i think each of us need to assess what we wish to deploy our wills towards, and tech especially open source tech is here to make you super powerful & to reinforce your ability to structure & determine how you want to do things.
yes the big powers of the world are clutching at tech to control & mechanize. to prescriptize technology, by which they can process human beings. but the flipside is that tech has enormously large heart, of holistic technologies, that humankind leverages rather than is-leveraged-by to expand their potential & power. and i think we have never been better enabled, but that we are struggling to tell the tale, amid so many other losses of control/immediacy/locality.
and when we do begin to wade into technogenesis, more often than not we are bombarded by too much choice, too many options, too much responsibility. we are too free, too unable to understand how to steer, where to go. so again technology does not feel like a win, does not feel enobling, even when we are engaging in holistic technology endeavours.
but i continue to think the place to focus, the place to think of, the place to move to is 100% in advance. is 100% about focusing on general systems research that is pro-user, pro-observable systems for everyone, pro-malleability. the word user itself needs replacing, needs to be supplanted by more ennobled forms, by software & systems that respect the humans working with them more broadly, by a sense of ownership & control over the everyday technology about us. i ride with hope.
Unfortunately, I don't see any proposed solutions.
* Most studies show humanity is now less free than several years ago.
* more countries become authoritarian [because] China overtook the US as the largest economy in the world by purchasing power
The things he complains about seem like things worth complaining about, but the broad, sweeping claims need sources/evidence. Especially that dubious second one
That economic success isn't necessarily correlated to individual freedom seems like a weaker claim (although equally dubious in my mind, as freedom index and, say, income per capita look very strongly correlated to me)
Let me explain.
I'm not talking about the constitution, elections, or anything official like that.
I'm talking just about what you are free to do with your life every day in your home, in your business and in your neighborhood.
Most people in the USA, Canada, Australia and Europe don't realize how NOT free they are in terms of personal agency. It's actually mind-blowing.
And yes, you can argue it's that freedom that bought peace and security to the west. But slowly and surely, every day, from the mayor in your town, to the school board, to the local authorities, our freedoms in the west are almost gone.
And the interesting thing about it, we tend to spend a lot of time talking about the federal government, but the ones who are taking the freedoms are your local town counsel who refuses to give the permit for something, or neighborhood group who prohibits you from cutting your grass, or painting your home a different color, or parking your car on the street, or having a party past 10pm.
We have become a country of Karen's. And it's not going back.
Indeed some HOAs are ridiculously overbearing and limit things you'd think aren't even possible to limit. There's a nice middle ground somewhere but not all HOAs are there.
They park on the streets? Unless you live on a private road, that's a municipal matter. Parking rules should be up to the city, not your HOA.
Honestly it sounds like you are exactly who the top-level comment was talking about. You care more about restricting your neighbors than your own personal freedoms.
Indeed, I don't want broken down RVs and trucks that leak oils and fluids all over the place on the street, or on their lawn where it eventually ends up in the water table.
It also makes the area look like an industrial area, not residential.
>Why do you care what they put on their own property?
I don't want symbols of oppression and racism flying around anywhere, and especially not in my neighborhood.
>They park on the streets? Unless you live on a private road, that's a municipal matter.
HOAs can also enforce this it's not simply a municipal matter. It makes the roads cluttered and more dangerous for pedestrians, bikes, etc.
>Honestly it sounds like you are exactly who the top-level comment was talking about. You care more about restricting your neighbors than your own personal freedoms.
Not at all, I just want some simple standards so where we live doesn't look like the city dump.
It's not the worst, but I don't want my neighbor to look like the city dump.
>glad you made it to somewhere where we can fine them for it.
You agree to the HOA when you purchase your home. Don't like it? Don't move there.
You're complaining as if you moved to Germany and you're upset you can't fly the Nazi flag. Isn't that just the worst? Not at all, you made a conscious effort and agreed to the laws when you to move to Germany. You should follow them. Same logic applies here.
IMHO, the only reason to have a HOA is to pool money for common area maintenance. Anything beyond that tends to do more harm than good.
Not entirely true as you outlined, since HOAs can put liens on your property and they can end up foreclosing. The HOA will absolutely get it's money and enforcement, either through a foreclosure or court order.
Anyway I tried going to the HOA about it, and they explained that a lien would be a waste of time. Even in an egregious case like this nobody wants to take responsibility for a property like that. It's a lot of work to get the lien, foreclosure from a HOA basically never happens, and even then all they inherit is a huge problem that nobody wants to deal with. So instead I get to sell my house attached to one that literally has siding falling off, missing shingles, and a goddamn window in the front yard.
This is the same HOA that wrote me up for refilling the windshield washing fluid in my car parked in front of my house and hassled my neighbour because he replaced the shitty wooden windows with vinyl that you couldn't even tell the difference without tapping on them.
Basically, they only have power over people who are already trying to be good neighbours.
As an epilogue, the bank eventually foreclosed on the property and presumably sold it as distressed. A coworker of mine toured it, but apparently the basement was black mold city. A lien on the property wouldn't have helped the situation.
What countires do you think are free? Like those in South (East) Asia, South America or Africa?
Also, in general terms, more money == more freedom.
It would be so freeing to live in a world of no rules. But in practice that is just barbarism. It's a terrible way to run a society.
Street vendors don't need permits, or if they do, it's only in the books but not in practice.
You might not have to have a health department license to sell food for example.
Buying beer or alcohol may not have strict age requirements. Parents have more dominion over their kids and the state interferes with that less.
There are of course disadvantages such as more abuse because, you know, you can't have nice things because the few spoil it for the majority of people who behave.
Starvation by definition doesn't mean death by lack of food. It means you are deficient and unhealthy because of it. Which absolutely happens a LOT in this country.
It is literally: work in our system or starve. There is no free food unless you're doing something 20 hours a week that has government oversight (i.e. tax forms).
The problem is that this in fact exactly what happened in this country over last few decades, and the parchment has been only mildly helpful in slowing that down.
Unfortunately, sometimes, freedom is a zero-sum game. I'd rather be free to sleep comfortably at night, than being "freee tooo parrtyyyy, broooo". And those who complain about this are usually the kind of people I wouldn't want near my house.
I love to have the freedom to live in a regulated neighborhood with like-minded people and those who don't like it are free as well to go buy a house literally anywhere else in the world.
Real estate is costly, you have permitting, ordinances at city and county level, building codes... Doing anything nonstandard is hard and requires a lot of time, knowledge, and/or money
The freedom of someone ends where the freedom of others begins.
Basically saying that living in a stable society is like signing a contract to restrain your liberty of doing anything when it's proved harmful for the others.
HOAs are a similar situation: you might have a house attached to a private street, whereas in a non-HOA neighborhood it would be a public street.
In most cases the differences between public and private right-of-ways is subtle, but I suppose if a person wanted to make a point of defending their private property it might be more obvious. For instance, a business might be able to exclude a political protest from their property but not from a public sidewalk or street. (I'm not a lawyer and I don't know what the exact legal rights of people versus property owners in this situation is.) And I imagine it's easier for prejudiced people to make an ethnic minority feel like they're unwelcome if they're on private property.
I don't know how much of the world is like this, but something weird you see some places outside the U.S. is the idea that rural land is a sort of public right-of-way. It's not seen as weird to cross through someone's land while going on a walk or whatever. If you trample on their crops they might get mad at you I suppose, but sticking to the paths is seen as acceptable.
https://www.illinoislawreview.org/print/vol-2017-no-3/the-cr...
Americans are completely dependent on their cars. Which means that children in the US have no freedom at all.
America is a big place with a lot of different situations.
> Which means that children in the US have no freedom at all.
This does not follow, and is not true. In America we tend to think of freedom as freedom from various kinds of persecution.
Eight percent of European migrants live in the U.S. and five percent in Kazakhstan. Is this evidence that Kazakhstan is comparable to the U.S?
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/european-immigrants-...
The things you’ve pointed out to be “taking away” your individual freedom are things that you have to put up with when you’re choosing to live in a society or a civilization, i.e. in togetherness with other people who do not have the same preferences as you. This scenario is inherently rooted in conflict, and everyone has to make compromises if everyone wants to live peacefully. If you don’t want to have to put up with other people then your only choice is really to just live alone in a forest where you can exercise your near-total individual freedom.
So since there seems to be a genuine binary between living a life of compromises in a society and living freely but like an hermit, aren’t we actually advocating for the dissolution of society when we’re talking about exercising our individual freedoms? Government and laws are, after all, just manifestations of how people in a (democratic) society want to run their society, but it’s not like we can draw a clear line on where government control and regulation should end, no? Because not even all democratic societies are the same.
So then since you can’t always have it your way when you’re living in a society, isn’t it that the only other option to have things your way is for you to live alone, all consequences entailing? Therefore, isn’t the argument for the full exercise of individual freedom an argument for the dissolution of society and ergo government? Because this topic seems to me about the full realization of individual freedoms and not making any compromises at all.
An important detail here. Technically you are kind of correct, but sadly there are plenty of examples of people who should have nothing to hide who have rightly had reasons to fear.
I.e. many people have reasons to fear without having anything to be ashamed of.
I’m not sure about the permit, but for the most part, permits are needed in many non western countries as well. In fact, in most of those countries the laws are even more egregious. The difference is that they usually have corrupt or inadequate enforcement mechanisms which allow you to do things illegally or by paying a bribe.
The neighborhood group stuff is ridiculous but it’s something people have voluntarily agreed to as a group. And the individuals have voluntarily chosen to live there.
You are absolutely allowed to have parties past 10pm. What you’re not allowed to do is play loud music that infringes on the persons of others after a certain time.
I guess it’s good to have a choice.
I bought a house this year. I bought it in a neighborhood without an HoA, I will admit. The houses on my street are older, smaller, ‘50s houses. I like my neighbors, we stay out of each other’s business. A lot of them like cars, and they work on them. I don’t care much, I do my own things. I had a dozen friends over to my place last week, they parked all along the street. My neighbors didn’t say anything.
Perhaps someone places in America are rules oriented, where rules are rigorously enforced. It certainly makes the news when someone can’t paint their house the color they want or a veteran can’t fly the flag. What I’m saying isn’t ground breaking, it won’t make the news, but there are places in America where you won’t be bothered for minor infractions. There are places where you do have freedom to do what you want and you can find these places.
It makes sense that in a period of increased insecurity the incentives to either hold onto that security or fight for increased security holds enough value that people are willing to give up freedoms whose importance has almost become esoteric among those who have never experienced what they are meant to protect us from.
This is probably why there has been little concern expressed about the slow erosion of freedoms in western societies, or the fact that many actively advocate for them to be eroded for short term securities.
Now, if you compare modern times to the freedom we enjoyed 50 years ago, the difference is absolutely phenomenal. Absolutely no comparison. I mean it's crazy.
Numerous lockdowns, curfews, mask mandates, vaccination mandates, societal segregation based on medical records, enormous tracking - this is far from exhaustive list of measures governments imposed within last 2 years.
We can certainly discuss whether those things were justified or needed in separate thread, but bottomline is the governments used covid as justification for ramping down freedoms at enormous scale, I'd go ahead and say at the scale never seen before.
You just can't avoid seeing that unless you're lucky enough not to live in place where all those things are observed.