Society Will Never Be Free of Covid-19–It’s Time to Embrace Harm Reduction
cato.org
cato.org
So yeah, a world free of covid isn't on anyone's best interest.
LOL!
> The only human virus ever to be eradicated was smallpox, and that took 200 years
Bullshit; it would not take 200 years with our current level of technology and understanding.
Smallpox was declared by the WHO to be eradicated in 1980. The last naturally occurring case was in 1977.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smallpox_vaccine
"The smallpox vaccine was the first vaccine to be developed against a contagious disease. In 1796, the British doctor Edward Jenner demonstrated that an infection with the relatively mild cowpox virus conferred immunity against the deadly smallpox virus. Cowpox served as a natural vaccine until the modern smallpox vaccine emerged in the 20th century. From 1958 to 1977, the World Health Organization conducted a global vaccination campaign that eradicated smallpox, making it the only human disease to be eradicated."
Really, if we honestly look at it, the actual eradication of smallpox took only 20 years. The 1796-195x years were just hobbling along with poor vaccines and half-assed effort.
Also, most of the focused effort was only the last 10 years of that.
"Smallpox was eradicated by a massive international search for outbreaks, backed up with a vaccination program, starting in 1967. It was organised and co-ordinated by a World Health Organization (WHO) unit, set up and headed by Donald Henderson. The last case in the Americas occurred in 1971 (Brazil), south-east Asia (Indonesia) in 1972, and on the Indian subcontinent in 1975 (Bangladesh). After two years of intensive searches, what proved to be the last endemic case anywhere in the world occurred in Somalia, in October 1977."
So, there is support in taking the viewpoint that when the effort was properly stepped up, it was licked in ten years.
And genetically they are as different as a worm is to a human.
Acting as though we're going to eradicate it any day now is nonsensical. We'd need a global solution, a solution to animal reservoirs and a vaccine that isn't leaky. If and when we have a solution, then we should implement it. In the meantime, let's face it: It's endemic and it's time to go back to normal. Everyone, in the US at least, can get the vaccine if they want to reduce their risk.
And the current vaccines have NOT CHANGED THAT FACT.
The nature of coronavirus pretty much assures no vaccine can ever be possibel due to how they mutate.
Being Pollyanna about technology and vaccines will NEVER change biology and reality as we understand it in STEM!
In WW1 the UK armed forces were shocked at the low levels of health and nutrition in recruits, such that large numbers were unfit to serve. This also affected labour available for strategic industries like arms and munitions. This is why the establishment of robust public health systems and a public primary care system were not controversial here and mostly still aren't. I say this as a lifelong conservative voter. This isn't about socialism. We're not a huge nation and we needed a healthy capable population.
We're waging a global war on this virus, whether we like it or not. What we need is co-ordinated and effective action on a global scale to combat it. The virus itself, and the delta variant has showed that what happens in one country is of vital interest to the rest of the world, we're all in this together. However the first step to effective international action is for the nations with the resources to act globally to put their own houses in order first. Here in Britain this is what we've done, with a few missteps and misjudgements along the way, but we're finally on top of this thing.
Vaccination, vaccination, vaccination. All the other tools we have - lockdowns, mitigating treatments, masks, they're all useful tools in their place, but the Vaccine research efforts were our Manhattan project. The vaccines are the wonder weapons. They're the path to getting on top of this thing.
We're in this for the long haul. New variants will arise that are more infection, more deadly, vaccine resistant, or all three. We need to be ready for them. This is the real deal, it's a proper global war with a massive global body count, and we need to stop bickering about it and get organised.
Especially in the sense of how a given set of mutations will impact transmissibility, virulence and vaccine effectiveness.
Fortunately it's not mutated too much in terms of vaccine resistance. Delta seems significantly more resistant to single doses than Alpha but a second dose so far does the job. We've only recently exposed the virus to large numbers of vaccinated people though, so there's not been much time for resistant variants to gain an advantage.
The "War on Drugs", "War on Poverty", "War on Terrorism", "War on Alcohol" (Prohibition) all are 100% failures.
Not only telling people. We should work to enable this. Missing a week of work can be expensive and many are broke. There is a perverse incentive here. I'm not sure the best way to address it.
Like Cato says, "embrace harm reduction."
It's easier to move the needle with vaccinations and masks, compared to obesity and smoking - both of which have been in the crosshairs of public health officials for decades. They're just harder to move in the short term.
Almost all obese people are less than 150 lbs overweight. So yeah, at both an individual and societal level, we should have responded (and should respond today) by treating obesity as a public health emergency (or at an individual level a personal medical emergency) similar to early stage cancer, severe hypertension, or serious nutrient deficiency, etc.
The medical evidence even before covid was clear: obesity kills.
I'm going to cross over into controversial territory when I say that in the total absence of modern processed foods and modern sedentism, becoming or staying obese is difficult for most people. (If this were not true, how to explain that obesity was and is rare in places with neither of the above? Why do my size L clothes get labelled as size XL in France and Asia? Why do obesity levels keep rising in America as sedentism and processed food keep marching on? WHY was obesity unknown in my family until immigrated from a traditional agricultural society where every family had deep culinary knowledge and walked or rode horses everywhere to a modern industrialized car dependent one where food comes from freezers and microwaves, and then immediately became very common? Why is Asia thinner than Europe, Europe thinner than NYC and other walkable northeastern cities with a lot of food choice, and those places thinner than flyover country america?)
This is an easy problem to solve. It hasn't been solved for decades because bathing the population in processed food and sedentism can't be offset by a few public service ads imploring people to spend all their energies fighting their artificially unhealthy environment. Instead, just give people a healthy environment and watch the problem melt away.
Sell healthy food as ubiquitously as fast food and make it easy to get around without a car. Problem solved or at least severely improved. Lots of data obviously showing this.
This is a problem we can solve, or at least make enough headway on to save millions of lives. We should have been on it before, but covid should have been a watershed moment on this.
Instead we got pandemic stress baking and in some places, even outdoor exercise bans.
Source for this claim? Asking because I see stats being thrown around constantly: unvaccinated are 97% of ICU patients, etc. The only problem is, there's no data to back it up.
I've followed sources to the very end to try and locate this data but it doesn't exist. Most lazily point at the CDC but even they openly admit the data isn't reliable because they aren't tracking breakthrough cases correctly.
Maybe your source is legit.
https://apnews.com/article/coronavirus-pandemic-health-941fc...
This is also consistent with figures from the UK that keeps much more comprehensive and consistent records, because it has a unified national health infrastructure, as well as much higher vaccination rates.
Bring on the downvotes.
I have a compromised immune system. Germ control is a big part of my life.
I do simple things that are readily available, like get takeout instead of eating at the restaurant and use self checkout as much as possible. I know these strategies are effective. I just don't know how to get past a bunch of people wanting to dismiss it as anecdotal and "That's just your opinion, man!"
Which makes no sense to me given the current state of things. But that's how it tends to go, if people are bothering to be polite. It sometimes is a lot uglier, which makes it hard to bring up such ideas at all.
Novelty, curiosity and exploration made the Human. You can no more take it out of us than the cat's meow. These cycles of lockdown can't last much longer without mass revolts. I say that not as one who is some great conspiracy thinker or who has a particular anger toward the G-Man for penning me in.
We've done that now, tried our best. It's time for a new approach.
Per-capita, the 1918 flu pandemic killed far more people (and far younger people) than Covid. Why is there nothing in history books about major disruptions to society and normal throughout the 20s and 30s as a result?
They weren't at war so were happy actually putting information on the radio/newspapers while everyone else suppressed it because they didn't want troops at the front line worrying about their families dying of plague behind them...