I personally can’t see them switching any time soon, as DuckDuckGo’s search results are something between worse to terrible and I’m not sure they can do much better without collecting more data.
I would like someone to make some objective research on that.
My experience is the reverse, so I strongly suspect our reticence is just one of changing our habit more than an real thing.
I switched to DDG years ago and it took a few weeks to wean out the tendency to compare searches, usually brought on by the fear of missing out something.
I very rarely have to resort to a !g search and usually if I can't find it on DDG, I won't easily find it on google either.
I don't feel like missing out on anything and I always find what I need (and if I don't, I can't find it in other searches either).
Other platforms have some strength in some area, like Bing and Google have more tools for image searches, and it's possible that one of these is better than the others at some specific domain, like research papers or patent searches.
But after switching to DDG, all these options are still available and -at least in my case- 99%+ of my needs are met with it.
Still, no matter how much I like and promote DDG, I'm definitely not in the 'I always find what I need' camp. I don't know why but DDG is simply bad in some aspects. Sometimes it can be circumvented by altering search terms, but other times I have the impression after all those years its crawling or database is still lacking. I encounter this almost daily, most recent example: searching for 'preamp for hypex' Google and Bing (in private search windows) immediately turn up posts from audio forums I expect to have these topics. DDG just doesn't have those probably, because instead it automatically "Includes results for amplifier hypex" (which I find extremely annoying in any case, and makes no sense in this case since the word 'preamp' is key) and after forcing it to quote each term instead then it still doesn't come up with the expected results.
This means at least about half the time I end up with a !g I'm my DDG search.
I don't think bing will be a useful competitor in the long term, but a company that focuses on non-English national/linguistic markets, especially those with own character sets can compete in that area, innovate and hopefully also branch out on the EN market (see Yandex - RU; Yahoo - JP; various CN players).
It's scary how the web feels much more narrower.
BTW I wish any stackexchange sites are under single domain.
But the reverse is true too. DDG is now my default, but before, when Google didn't find something, I'd switch to DDG.
There is an implicit learning curve switching search engines. The way one crafts searches differs in subtle ways I don't understand on a conscious level.
Last I checked, DDG's search results are just Bing (aside from the infobox-type stuff which is from their own data sources), and Bing does collect data from Microsoft's browsers and toolbars https://www.wired.com/2011/02/bing-copies-google/
I think this is closer to a 50B problem than a 1B problem. Not impossible, but I don’t know anyone who has 50B that they would want to spend fighting uphill to kill google.
Say, you manage to recruit the top-30 engineers who know all the in-and-outs of the google search engine. Add to that, their recent replacement of trad AI methods with full NN I believe, and I can't realistically believe it's not more than a 1B problem.
One of the reasons Google is going horizontal because their search engine can't be "magical" forever, this applies to their ad platform too.
Nobody else has this, and until they do, they won't be able to recreate Google.
You do NOT get added benefit from big data by taking it from millions to hundreds of billions. It becomes just a lesson in scale, without bringing any added benefit of insight.
You can see that yourself with Google by searching for something obscure (eg. "how to unblock a drain jammed with cat fur") and getting three friends to click the 2nd search result. Come back in a week, and suddenly the 2nd result is now the first result! (ignore the videos and answer box)
It turns out just three new data points is enough to influence ranking for that query. It even affected related queries if you change the word "jammed" for "gunked".
* how many people worldwide keep their google places information up-to-date and not their local government office or their website.
* how advertisers can get value for their search ad campaigns; how to convince them of this
* how much google ad/targeting intelligence comes from off-site (eg Adsense, partner programs, xml ads)
* how many websites and website owners focus obsessively on their google presence making sure that even where Google’s tech gets it wrong they can get it corrected.
* how valuable the feedback loop is: google ads literally tells google what pages and terms are useful, what people like, and what to do more of at scale
* giving away free email and chat to build a whitelist of “good shares”
And that doesn’t cover video or the inverted index you need to provide governments access to emails and search terms. And so on.
These are largely not-software problems.
Hell they can even throw a spin on how it's about "privacy" and not about taking another way to bank on their walled garden monopoly and the Apple crowd here will gobble it up with "we are finally free from Google spying, praise Tim and his holy father Steve in heaven".
I've been arguing app stores are a monopoly for years now and the amount of cultist here that were like "Apple is doing it to protect me from bad software" and "I would not use my iPhone if there was an option to install a different store" was staggering.
Apple's shareholders won't.
They'll want to know where their 10bn (ish) USD went that Apple currently gets from Google.
Is Apple going to increase their device sales substantially because of an Apple search engine? I think everyone who is going to buy Apple has bought Apple, so I think not.
On the other hand, if Apple sells ads on Apple search, and they charge the same fees Google does, they'll still need 50bn in turnover to drop Google; Advertisers aren't going to double their marketing budget, they'll split it based on the ROI, and unless Apple ads convert as good or better than Google, this is a net loss.
Google is valued like "real estate", it's the best address. And then you need the advertising network for it be worthwhile.
Apple, like Microsoft, can replace google as the default search, but that alone is not a big chunk of the market. It might not be worthwhile.
Otherwise, of course it can be done, and for even less than that.
Apple started to ship this operation over to India 5ish years ago, and their contractors over there produce much worse results as they are not hiring professional geographers with degrees like they did stateside.
It doesn't really help OSM that its home page is considered just an example of what can be done with the data and not positioning it as an alternative to Google/Bing Maps is somewhat intentional.
I love answering questions on Maps and providing information for others (in my eyes: effectively working for them, not Google). Google Maps seems like it has a significantly larger user base, so my contributions help significantly more people.
It's very much a help-and-be-helped community, too. I can ask questions about businesses and have answers from other people in just a couple minutes. I don't imagine I'd have the same quality/speed asking questions on OSM (if they even have that feature?).