>"... Of course the thing to emphasise is that, whilst it might break through, the vaccine still stops serious illness to a high degree...."
Important to note, vaccines do not protect you, its the immune response they trigger and the level of antibodies that will protect you.
What really should be happening should be a mass vaccination program and a mass antibodies level testing program at the same time. Except for a few clinical studies, whose results are only now starting to come out I do not think any country is doing that. Frankly it puzzles me a little bit.
There is not enough data yet to see how these antibodies levels reduce with time, but there is already plenty of information to show they drop dramatically after 6 months, hence the talk now of the third shot.
Hence I think its better to say vaccines will produce level of antibodies that will protect...for now.
"Understanding mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines"
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/different...