I've seen too much to underestimate the MIC, as Afghanistan's hard fall could easily become "the taliban can't run a nation, we must war", as endless wars resume.
Afghanistan will be busy waring itself. For the past 20 years they probably recruited off the fact that dirty Americans were occupying their glorious country. Now that they're gone, it'll be a straight civil war. They'll be too busy attacking each other. Now that the US is gone, the people who blindly followed will realize that the US wasn't the one in the way of their magical muslim Utopia, and life sucks more than it did before.
It's really going to break our hearts when they just have a relatively peaceful and increasingly prosperous nation...
As if we can allow that to happen. My guess is some CIA backed Afghani Death Squad can go on murdering sprees causing unrest, so we can I told you so roll eyes 'savages'.