So lets say I have a 30% chance of getting covid without a vax and a .1% chance of serious long term illness or death from covid.
Now If I get the vaccine, I have a 1% chance of getting covid, and.01% chance of serioues injury or death + an unkown chance of unkown serious health complications from a vaccine.
Id take bet 1 any day, personally, since the odds and stakes of the vaccine are unkown.
Admittedly though, I think the chance of serious injury from vaccine is probably quite low or nonexistant but Im just trying to make the point that that perspective involves some reasonable value judgements.
Note : all oercentages listed are majorly hand wavy. This comment is in no way intended to be statistically accurate
Cheers.