should we even make it to the next decade. So far, this seems to look rather complicated.
I personally think that's incredibly far off base, but if you are confident in your prediction for mass doom, I recommend throwing some money into prediction markets around it. It could be a great way to calibrate your model of reality (and potentially make money if you are right!).
If you're betting against collapse, and you are wrong, you aren't going to be around to pay up.
If you're betting on collapse, and you are wrong, you will be around to pay up
If you bet against collapse, and you are right, you will be around to collect
It should also be said that with prediction markets, you don't have to wait until the event happens before selling your position.