Totally agree, however I haven't seen any sources saying that these mint operations were paid for by commerical paper given by Alameda or Cumberland.
That's what I suspect and I'll be shorting more USDT today on AAVE.
That's what I suspect and I'll be shorting more USDT today on AAVE.
Sorry, I don't see how this can work.
USDT is a fraud. Exchanges are active participants in the fraud by pegging USDT at $1.
The only way your short can pay off is if the exchanges stop the "pegging" game. When the pegging stops, the exchanges will likely fold up and disappear.
Who will you collect from for your short?
Deposit ETH on AAVE (this is a DeFi DAPP)
Use this collateral to borrow USDT (~4% APY at current rates)
Trade that USDT for ETH.
If the peg breaks for USDT than I can get USDT for very cheap to pay back the loan and unlock my collateral.
If it doesn't break than I owe ~4% APY for the period that I shorted.
One of the really amazing things about DeFi is that it allows counter-party free financial operations.
Of course that ETH will be worth much less, but long term I am optimistic about ETH.
Short answer --- no. They can just print more tethers --- which exchanges and crypto-fools will readily accept as being worth $1 USD.
You're making a common mistake --- you're assuming that the crypto market is actually a "free market" similar to the regulated stock and currency markets. You're assuming it is free of the inside manipulation that keeps the price of USDT artificially pegged at $1 USD no matter what.