So do you consider VAERS to have a credible tether to reality?
Using VAERS as proof of anything is a literal demonstration that the person in question has no idea what he's talking about.
In other words, VAERS data should be treated as at most a "this may be worth looking into," and certainly nowhere near a level of "this is a definitive proof something goes wrong." Especially in a time when tens of millions of people are getting vaccinated with the same vaccine at the same time, you're going to get lots of reports of people falling ill with something just by sheer coincidence.