Plandemic Revisited: A Planned Disinformation Campaign
frontiersin.org
frontiersin.org
If the authorities combated things like this with openness and actually answered the difficult questions maybe people wouldn't be pushed towards dis-information through distrust.
Nobody has or should have all of the answers. I'm not expecting a public official to stand up and be a global expert on all things.
But there have been so many lies on both sides now and so much political goal scoring by sport term politicians on both sides I'm not surprised that people turned to social media.
Were all dancing around the elephant in the room that clearly everyone panicked due to china's lies at the start of 2020 and its created a culture of fear and distrust.
The only way of combating bad speech is with more speech. This means actual openness and transparency and talking about how you made decisions. This unfortunately does show how ill prepared governments all were for an actual pandemic which is a bit disappointing but it's good to know that some things are being learned from this. Even if it is that this isn't smallpocks++...
Apart from the political feasibility there's also the question of return on the investment. If this caused a 5% increase in the number of vaccinations, would it be worthwhile?
Even then there'd be people who think these are just two sides, and both of them make good and equally valid points.
In not suggesting we can ever change 100% of opinions 100% of the time, but open clear communication is the only proper tool for contering misinformation. Alas we seem to be restoring to the old teachers approach of sit down and shut up or you get the cane for speaking out. Which is damaging for public trust in the long run.
That policy and openly communicating it to the public would get my ass shoveled out of any government position within a fortnight of course.
As I read you, and I could be wrong, it appears that your real complaint is that you can only get your strategy through by lying, but lying is bad so we should make lying not bad so you can ram your strategy through. If my reading is right, then it appears to be the same attitude that the plandemic people claim politicians have.
A much more honest solution is to end all restrictions once everybody has been offered a vaccine. You take it, or you don't.
We can discuss research funding once this is over.
Stuff like plandemic is a byproduct of how our society is organised, and how our minds work and so is the attitude that politicians take. They act close to optimal within the framework that they work in.
Complaining that elected officials lie or not tell us the truth comes from a need for stability and predictability that we're looking for in authority figures, which is an illusion, and every leader knows that perfectly.
Your proposed solution is an expression of that need. You want to make some sort of deal with someone, that's going to make the situation more bearable to you. This is analogous to a child that gets promised an hour of watching cartoons if they finish their homework.
Because in this situation nobody really knows how long it will last, or what we need to do to solve it, we're unsatisfied, scared and vulnerable. And easy pray for people that want to capture our minds, and use it for their goals, be it political, financial, or just grabbing the attention that they need.
I'm encouraging discussion and debate and that people be informed to the point their decision can be trusted.
Being a bit obsoletist about discussion and presenting evidence is bad is extremely concerning.
Now that's out the way...
Unfortunately I'm talking about people's emotions and their decision to trust a source of information. This is clearly NOT a purely logical situation.
There is a false expectation that govt groups are always correct and don't admit mistakes,even if they were correct as they could be at the time. Failure to own these mistakes publically and discuss the shortcomings and failings puts you into the same level of distrust as a scientist view's a snake oil salesman.
I take part on science outreach and one of the most damming things is having to explain when some media celebrity scientist said something utterly stupid and not correct. You then get the envetable "who can i trust" argument and the best way to resolve that is to share more information in a respectable slow and distant way...
Aka actually educating people.
They dug their own hole (and they keep digging).
E.g. conspiracy theorists were spouting "China designed this virus" on Twitter from the beginning, but I never took those claims seriously (I mean, it's technically possible, but I'm 100% certain that anyone claiming this has absolutely 0 proof of it and are just saying it to stir shit up); on the other hand, government suppression of "lab leak" theory (and intentionally conflating it with the crazy "lab designed" theory) was extremely concerning.
The reason I object to the false equivalence between the two is that it helps legitimize the conspiracy nuts, which is worse all things being equal, regardless of mistakes made by institutions.
My argument is that by holding ourselves to a higher standard that eventually these morons selling magical promises will be left exposed as liars to 90%+ of people.
It's not easy, the biggest problem (imo) at the moment is that when these groups latch onto a small fact and spin lies most people are branding the small fact as misinformation of wrong other than accepting a common ground. This is dangerous and erodes the position of having sane intercourse.
Calmly explaining why people are wrong and explaining the reasoning behind this is always better imo than simply slapping someone down as happens all to often.
Not meaning to sound like I'm disagreeing, just trying to explain my position.
I'm probably wrong, I normally am about something, and I've probably gone counter to published papers on human nature but this is my 2 pence based on science outreach and seeing it done right and wrong.
Given what I've witnessed since the start of the pandemic in my own country, it seems more plausible to me that china's actions are a product of people and states not knowing how to deal with an unknown situation and changing it's course as situations unfold. What are the lies China has told that I'm not aware of?
Failure to share correct information or worse inventing false data is tantamount to lying unfortunately.
I'm very welcome to be told how I'm wrong in this regard but as it stands these concerns alone I raised are on record and points of concern.
I'm willing to admit china is sharing better information now. At the same time that they start to blame Australian beef and American imports for the mythical typhoid Mary. Always helps to drip feed enough information to get slapped on the wrist by the WHO for not fully cooperating rather than standing to be accused of not taking part...
Social media is still relatively new, and the pandemic was amplified way more than it should have been IMHO. Nothing to tweet about? Tweet about COVID. No dramatic headlines to conjure up if you're a news outlet? COVID it is.
The pandemic didn't need 'campaigns', for it is its own campaign. With little effort it has graced news outlets' headlines for nearly 2 years now.
Related thought: we are super mad at Facebook for isolating us into similar belief bubbles. Where's the outrage at CNN and Foxnews? Yes, you hardly ever hear anything positive about them, but there's no threat of regulation, their CEOs didn't have congress hearings, etc.
And they have their social media channels where they parrot everything that's on TV, adding to the hype
I believe they are self printed as they are often printed on labels and don't come off in one piece.
I assume their funding probably goes back to some dark money org.
* Their chosen name is distasteful: the original white rose were anti nazi activists who were executed, this is clearly not the same.
To stir things up, I'll give an example of such an opinion right now. Health organizations around the world are systematically lying to us about the basic reproduction number (R0) of the delta variant being astronomical (the figure of 8 is now commonly cited). Serious virologists[1] remind us that the evidence for such high estimates is thin and not based on biology; changes in human behavior, combined with antigenic drift (as observed regularly in influenza without the inference of constantly climbing R0 values) can explain what we're seeing.
It is likely that the R0 value is somewhat higher than the ancestral strain, but a value of 8 is an extraordinary claim which requires extraordinary evidence. And that we do not have, in spite of preprints that show higher viral load[2].
I use the word "lying" but it's most likely this is as much self-delusion than a conscious choice to mislead. But the motivation is very strong: the "delta variant is scary" narrative is much more compelling than "Covid is still dangerous," and indeed is likely contributing to increased vaccination rates.
I'll also note that what I just said would likely trip the "misinformation" filters at the big Internet providers, as it contradicts "medically reliable sources" [WP:MEDRS]; these high estimates are being published by major medical and scientific organizations. It is interesting to note, though, that the official info from the CDC[3] is less out there than the astronomical estimates being breathlessly published by the press. The CDC page says "50% increased transmission" for delta, based on a paper from the UK[4]. That might well be true, though it's an observational study. So even on that basis, mainstream public science communication is way ahead of (in the sense of pushing higher R0 values) what would count as MEDRS.
[1]: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/27/opinion/covid-vaccine-var...
[2]: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.07.21260122v...
[3]: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-i...
[4]: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.24.20248822v...
[WP:MEDRS]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Identifying_reliable...
I personally remain skeptical that an R0 of 8 will hold up once biological evidence is taken into account. Reasonable people can disagree.
Instead you could say current R0 in London is 8 (or whatever) and it is mostly delta variant.
One thing I can say in my defense is that I’d absolutely love to be wrong. I’d love to believe this will all be over soon with (0 covid?) and then they give us back everything they’ve taken and we’re back to normal.
Is that what most people believe?
The side insisting not to take the pandemic at face value has no institutional power, in a sense no ego to lose. With no institutional power, they are always held to account.
The corporate media, pharmaceutical companies, almost all officials, social media companies, universities, police forces all insist people unquestioningly accept their viewpoint. Their "ego" is built on years of solidifying their position of authority. With all institutional power, they are not held to account. If they were to be held to account, their house of cards tumbles.
If anyone is genuinely interested this might be a good place to start?
https://old.reddit.com/r/LockdownCriticalLeft/
They’re usually open to good faith questions too.
1.) If the thesis is correct and the strategy was indeed as coherent as claimed, how did the authors learn these techniques?
2.) If the thesis is not correct, to what extent was the success due to serentipity?
Returning to my original point this does not seem like an attempt to promote disinformation.
Probably the most hilarious claim from that video was the line: "The controversial article sent shockwaves through the scientific community, as it revealed that the common use of animal and human fetal tissue were unleashing devastating plagues of chronic diseases".
None of that is true, her [research](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3073172/) had nothing to do with autism or vaccines. Many people tried to replicate her research, which contradicts her claim that she was being shut down by the government/big pharma/the boogeyman.
The fact that people don't care to distinguish between Mikovits and someone like Tyrone Hayes just shows how easy it is for grifters to take advantage of people's strongly-held opinions about the health system. Sorry to say, but if you buy into Plandemic just because you're critical of vaccines/shutdowns/whatever then you fall into that group, and you hurt your position rather than reinforce it by buying into such garbage.
It's true. Some fools will believe that Covid was a grand plan by the elites to control society, while other fools will believe that the 2016 election was stolen by the Rooskies -- both for the reasons cited above, right? Or, I wonder if the author meant only "those people" (i.e. conservatives). I'm betting on the latter.
Left fools, right fools, the people in charge and the people who aren’t in charge and are not fools.
The final group seems to be growing, as the lunacy of the others increases.
It's also been very clear to anyone who's watched it happen on places like Reddit that 'russiagate' itself is a meme driven by powerful media management, brigading, and trolling. Anytime you're in a community and have the ability to examine heavily downvoted content and analyze it for the likely reasons it got hammered with six times the downvotes any other post in the community got, you don't soon forget what you observed.
If you are looking for a delusional character that will say that Russia doesn’t do this, go watch Jimmy Dore.
Hillary also edged Bernie in the primaries receiving over $740m over sanders $320m [2]
We also know free media is becoming more effective than political advertising [3]
Which all means if you want to blame anyone in stealing the election it’s the corporate media. Also brings up the point that we really need to reinstitute some kind of equal coverage time, otherwise all these election donation limits are meaningless when media bosses can give billions to their favorite candidates.
[1] https://www.thestreet.com/politics/donald-trump-rode-5-billi...
[2] https://money.cnn.com/2016/03/15/media/trump-free-media-cove...
[3] https://www.businessinsider.com/2020-election-confirmed-free...
Russia has always interfered with US elections and the US has always waged propaganda war in the Russia and former USSR.
There is always bought votes or people voting when they are not allowed and so on.
Russian impact on election was way smaller than the media time and mind share of democrats and vice versa for Republicans.
Using propaganda effectively to make people believe fake things in service of a foreign power is an issue. And it changes votes at scale.
Exactly what scale is open for debate. How many votes do you think Russian propaganda influenced? And which study are you basing that belief off?
You do admit that Canadians have their fair share of fools, right?
I just wonder if by "some fools" you betray a bias toward thinking the U.S. is the only country in the entire world.
Putting blatant covid misinformation and facts about the 2016 election in the same category is complete bullshit.
These are really bad examples to try to equate. There was intervention by Russia into the US election ("stolen" is a harsh word that is up for debate), while the idea that a government entity unleashed a virus on the worldwide population is a much more serious acquisition and far less evidence to support.
Things are not always black and white and we as a nation need to understand that. Nothing is 100% but that is ok. No one is 100% good or evil, we all have our flaws and we need to deal with that.
Only because someone believes something "stupid" doesn't make them unable to change their mind.
I have talked to many who did not want to get vaccinated. I never told them they should, I respect their choice. I did inform them and answer uncertainties that they heard about and had. I also listened and acknowledged the concerns they had, even ones that are completely baseless but I was diplomatic about it. You can tell someone they are wrong without throwing it in their face or making them feel like an idiot. To my surprise a lot of these people ended up getting vaccinated which was never really a goal of mine.
EDIT: if you are down voting me please explain why.
I have to disagree, sure some are arguing just for the sake of it but the majority are not. They get bits and pieces of the discord and don't really know what is going on. No bad faith there.
And oddly, it’s not just the ones who are arguing in bad faith who are like this. It seems to affect anybody who’s went to do “research” and stumbled upon the mountains of disinformation. The handful of people who are uncertain and haven’t been taken in by disinformation are somewhat reasonable to talk with, but they’re a vanishingly small group. The mind closing aspect of the conspiracy stuff is wildly infectious.
For example the infamous Marin county anti-vaxxers were defecting in a prisoner's dilemma type game. They got all the benefits of vaccination since herd immunity existed in the school system and none of the risks that pharmaceutical intervention carries. So as a selfish risk minimization and benefit maximization strategy that anti-vaxxing behavior was entirely rational and indeed locally optimal.
Other anti-vaxxers are capable of distinguishing between a therapy that's been used widely in the general public for decades, and thus has decades of data supporting that the intervention carries less risk than the disease, and a therapy for a disease that was rushed out in under a year and still hasn't been approved by the FDA for a disease that's known to carry minimal risk to those under the age of 40 without comorbidities. Now you can smugly say well I know the risks better and these people are religious fanatics, but really, you don't. Nobody knows the long term risks and benefits of the mRNA interventions because they have never been used in the long term. Vaccine development has historically taken about 10-15 years, so it's far from irrational to have doubts when it was done in under a year.
Edit: If any of the above is logically fallacious or based on misinformation please reply. I am willing to have my mind changed by dialectic.
Being wrong means being convinced that it happened or not. It is wrong position because we don't have enough information and no reasonable position should jump to either conclusion.
- There still isn’t conclusive evidence on that question, unless I’m missing something
- A broken clock is right twice a day